EUR\/USD, Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc Asya i\u015flemlerinde 1,1735 civar\u0131nda Per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc elde etti\u011fi kazan\u0131mlar\u0131 korudu. ABD Dolar\u0131, d\u00f6viz piyasalar\u0131na Japonya\u2019n\u0131n m\u00fcdahale etmi\u015f olabilece\u011fi \u015f\u00fcpheleri sonras\u0131 zay\u0131f kald\u0131. ABD Dolar\u0131 Endeksi (Dolar\u0131n ba\u015fl\u0131ca para birimleri kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131ndaki g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00f6steren sepet endeks) Per\u015fembe g\u00fcnk\u00fc dip seviyesine yak\u0131n, 98,00 civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc.<\/p>\n
ABD\u2019nin ilk \u00e7eyrek (Q1) \u00f6nc\u00fc Gayrisafi Yurt \u0130\u00e7i Has\u0131la (GSYH) b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi y\u0131ll\u0131kland\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f (\u00e7eyreklik verinin y\u0131l geneline uyarlanm\u0131\u015f hali) %2 ile %2,3 tahmininin alt\u0131nda kald\u0131. Piyasalar, 14:00 GMT\u2019de a\u00e7\u0131klanacak Nisan ay\u0131 ABD ISM \u0130malat PMI verisini (sat\u0131n alma y\u00f6neticileri endeksi; 50 \u00fcst\u00fc b\u00fcy\u00fcme, 50 alt\u0131 daralma) bekliyordu. Beklenti 53,0, \u00f6nceki 52,7 idi.<\/p>\n
Euro, karar sonras\u0131 sessizlik d\u00f6nemi (merkez bankas\u0131 karar\u0131 \u00f6ncesi\/sonras\u0131 yetkililerin a\u00e7\u0131klama yapmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 d\u00f6nem) biterken Avrupa Merkez Bankas\u0131 (ECB) yetkililerinden gelecek a\u00e7\u0131klamalar beklentisiyle genel olarak g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc seyretti. EUR\/USD, 20 d\u00f6nemlik EMA\u2019nin (\u00fcssel hareketli ortalama; fiyata daha h\u0131zl\u0131 tepki veren trend g\u00f6stergesi) 1,1702 seviyesinin \u00fczerinde kald\u0131 ve 1,1745\u2019teki %50,0 Fibonacci d\u00fczeltme seviyesinin (olas\u0131 destek\/diren\u00e7 noktalar\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steren teknik seviye) hemen alt\u0131nda dalgaland\u0131. RSI (g\u00f6reli g\u00fc\u00e7 endeksi; 0-100 aras\u0131 momentum g\u00f6stergesi) 55 civar\u0131ndayd\u0131.<\/p>\n
Diren\u00e7 seviyeleri 1,1745 ve ard\u0131ndan 1,1825 olarak belirtilirken, daha yukar\u0131da 1,1938 ve 1,2082 seviyeleri izleniyor. Destekler 1,1702 ve 1,1666; daha a\u015fa\u011f\u0131da 1,1567, d\u00f6ng\u00fc dibi (daha uzun vadeli dip seviye) ise 1,1408 yak\u0131n\u0131nda g\u00f6sterildi.<\/p>\n
Raporda, teknik analizde bir yapay zek\u00e2 arac\u0131n\u0131n kullan\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 belirtildi.<\/p>\n
Ekonomik veriler de ge\u00e7mi\u015fe g\u00f6re benzer bir ayr\u0131\u015fmaya i\u015faret ediyor. 2025\u2019te ABD\u2019nin ilk \u00e7eyrek %2\u2019lik GSYH b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi, %2,3 tahminine g\u00f6re s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 bir hayal k\u0131r\u0131kl\u0131\u011f\u0131 olarak g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyordu. Bu y\u0131l ise 2026 ilk \u00e7eyrek \u00f6nc\u00fc veri %1,8 ile daha belirgin bir yava\u015flamaya i\u015faret etti. Ayr\u0131ca Nisan ay\u0131 ISM \u0130malat PMI 49,5 ile geldi; bu seviye, 2025\u2019te beklenen sa\u011fl\u0131kl\u0131 geni\u015flemenin aksine daralmaya i\u015faret ediyor.<\/p>\n
Bir y\u0131l \u00f6nce ECB\u2019den gelecek a\u00e7\u0131klamalar beklenirken, \u015fimdi merkez bankalar\u0131 aras\u0131nda net bir politika ayr\u0131\u015fmas\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. ECB daha \u201cg\u00fcvercin\u201d (faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131na daha az istekli, ekonomiyi desteklemeye yak\u0131n) bir duru\u015f sinyali verdi ve faiz indirimi yapt\u0131. Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131 (Fed) enflasyon nedeniyle temkinli kal\u0131yor. Bu temel fark, Euro \u00fczerinde a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bask\u0131y\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n
2025\u2019te Japonya\u2019n\u0131n yeni (JPY) desteklemek i\u00e7in m\u00fcdahale etmi\u015f olabilece\u011fi \u015f\u00fcpheleri dolar\u0131n zay\u0131flamas\u0131nda etkiliydi. Ge\u00e7en hafta da benzer m\u00fcdahale haberleri g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc, ancak bu kez etkisi daha k\u0131sa s\u00fcreli kald\u0131. Piyasa, daha \u00e7ok faiz farklar\u0131na (\u00fclkeler aras\u0131 faiz oran\u0131 fark\u0131; kur \u00fczerinde \u00f6nemli etki yarat\u0131r) odaklan\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Dikkat: EUR\/USD 1,1735\u2019te kazan\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131 koruyor. M\u00fcdahale \u015f\u00fcpheleri dolar\u0131 zay\u0131flat\u0131rken, zay\u0131f ABD b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi ve daralan ISM bask\u0131 yarat\u0131yor. ECB-Fed politika ayr\u0131\u015fmas\u0131 Euro\u2019da y\u00f6n\u00fc belirliyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-45926","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45926","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=45926"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45926\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=45926"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=45926"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=45926"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}