{"id":45916,"date":"2026-05-01T04:56:23","date_gmt":"2026-05-01T04:56:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/ingiltere-merkez-bankasinin-sahin-duraklamasinin-ardindan-gbp-usd-kritik-veri-aciklamalari-oncesinde-1e-yakin-yukselerek-13600e-cikti\/"},"modified":"2026-05-01T04:56:23","modified_gmt":"2026-05-01T04:56:23","slug":"ingiltere-merkez-bankasinin-sahin-duraklamasinin-ardindan-gbp-usd-kritik-veri-aciklamalari-oncesinde-1e-yakin-yukselerek-13600e-cikti","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/ingiltere-merkez-bankasinin-sahin-duraklamasinin-ardindan-gbp-usd-kritik-veri-aciklamalari-oncesinde-1e-yakin-yukselerek-13600e-cikti\/","title":{"rendered":"\u0130ngiltere Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n \u015fahin duraklamas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan GBP\/USD, kritik veri a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131 \u00f6ncesinde %1\u2019e yak\u0131n y\u00fckselerek 1,3600\u2019e \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131"},"content":{"rendered":"

GBP\/USD Per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc %0,96 y\u00fckseldi ve dalgal\u0131 bir seans\u0131n ard\u0131ndan 1,3600 civar\u0131nda kapand\u0131. Avrupa sabah\u0131nda yakla\u015f\u0131k 1,3455\u2019e geriledi, ard\u0131ndan New York \u00f6\u011fleden sonras\u0131nda y\u00fckseli\u015fe ge\u00e7erek g\u00fcnl\u00fck mumda uzun bir alt fitil b\u0131rakt\u0131 (fiyat\u0131n g\u00fcn i\u00e7inde a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 sarkt\u0131ktan sonra geri topland\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6sterir).<\/p>\n

\u0130ngiltere Merkez Bankas\u0131 (BoE) politika faizini %3,75\u2019te 8\u2019e 1 oyla sabit tuttu. Huw Pill 25 baz puanl\u0131k art\u0131\u015f\u0131 destekledi (baz puan: faizde y\u00fczde 0,01\u2019lik de\u011fi\u015fim; 25 baz puan = %0,25). Ba\u015fkan, \u201cikinci tur\u201d enflasyon risklerine ve enerjiden kaynakl\u0131 fiyat bask\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n \u00fccretlere yans\u0131ma ihtimaline de\u011findi.<\/p>\n

BoE And Fed Signals<\/h3>\n

ABD\u2019de PCE Fiyat Endeksi Mart\u2019ta y\u0131ll\u0131k %3,5 artt\u0131 ve beklentilerle ayn\u0131 geldi (PCE: ABD\u2019de Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n yak\u0131ndan izledi\u011fi t\u00fcketim harcamas\u0131 enflasyon g\u00f6stergesi). 1. \u00e7eyrek GSYH b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi %2 ile %2,3\u2019l\u00fck piyasa beklentisinin alt\u0131nda kald\u0131; bu da g\u00fcn\u00fcn ilerleyen saatlerinde Dolar\u2019\u0131 zay\u0131flatt\u0131 (GSYH: \u00fclke ekonomisinin toplam \u00fcretimi).<\/p>\n

Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc ISM \u0130malat PMI verisi a\u00e7\u0131klanacak; piyasa beklentisi 53 seviyesinde (PMI: sat\u0131n alma y\u00f6neticileri endeksi; 50\u2019nin \u00fcst\u00fc b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye i\u015faret eder). \u201c\u00d6denen Fiyatlar\u201d alt endeksi i\u00e7in beklenti 80 (\u015firketlerin girdi maliyet bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6sterir). Huw Pill\u2019in de Avrupa sabah\u0131nda konu\u015fmas\u0131 bekleniyor.<\/p>\n

Gelecek hafta \u0130ngiltere\u2019de Pazartesi banka tatili var ve \u00f6nemli veri ak\u0131\u015f\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131. ABD takviminde Sal\u0131 ISM Hizmet PMI, \u00c7ar\u015famba ADP \u00d6zel Sekt\u00f6r \u0130stihdam De\u011fi\u015fimi (ADP: \u00f6zel sekt\u00f6r istihdam\u0131na dair \u00f6nc\u00fc g\u00f6sterge) ve gelecek Cuma Tar\u0131m D\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u0130stihdam (Non-Farm Payrolls: ABD\u2019de tar\u0131m d\u0131\u015f\u0131 istihdam de\u011fi\u015fimi; piyasalar i\u00e7in kritik i\u015f g\u00fcc\u00fc verisi) yer al\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Options And Volatility Positioning<\/h3>\n

Bug\u00fcnk\u00fc g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm (1 May\u0131s 2026) farkl\u0131: BoE\u2019nin politika faizini %4,5\u2019e indirdi\u011fi belirtiliyor. Son veriye g\u00f6re \u0130ngiltere enflasyonu %3,1\u2019e geriledi, ancak hizmet enflasyonunun inat\u00e7\u0131 kalmas\u0131 (kolay d\u00fc\u015fmemesi) bankay\u0131 temkinli tutuyor. Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k ABD\u2019de daha diren\u00e7li ekonomik faaliyet ve 2026\u2019n\u0131n ilk \u00e7eyre\u011finde y\u0131ll\u0131kland\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f %2,2 b\u00fcy\u00fcme, Fed\u2019in (ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131) faizi h\u0131zl\u0131 indirme ihtiyac\u0131n\u0131 azalt\u0131yor (y\u0131ll\u0131kland\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f: \u00e7eyreklik performans\u0131n bir y\u0131la \u00e7evrilmi\u015f hali).<\/p>\n

Bu ayr\u0131\u015fma, GBP\/USD\u2019de artan oynakl\u0131\u011fa (volatilite: fiyatlar\u0131n h\u0131zl\u0131 ve b\u00fcy\u00fck dalgalanmas\u0131) kar\u015f\u0131 opsiyonlarla pozisyon almay\u0131 g\u00fcndeme getiriyor; parite 1,2750 civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcyor. Paritede \u201cima edilen oynakl\u0131k\u201d (implied volatility: opsiyon fiyatlar\u0131ndan t\u00fcretilen, piyasan\u0131n bekledi\u011fi oynakl\u0131k) gelecek haftaki ABD Tar\u0131m D\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u0130stihdam verisi \u00f6ncesinde y\u00fckseldi. ABD istihdam raporunun Fed\u2019in faiz patikas\u0131na dair beklentileri de\u011fi\u015ftirebilecek kritik bir veri olmas\u0131 nedeniyle, iki y\u00f6nl\u00fc b\u00fcy\u00fck harekete oynayan \u201cuzun straddle\u201d gibi bir strateji d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fclebilir (long straddle: ayn\u0131 vadede ayn\u0131 kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 al\u0131m ve sat\u0131m opsiyonu birlikte al\u0131n\u0131r; fiyat g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc hareket ederse iki y\u00f6nden birinden kazan\u00e7 hedefler).<\/p>\n

\u0130ngiltere\u2019de b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin daha k\u0131r\u0131lgan olmas\u0131 nedeniyle \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda riskin sterlin i\u00e7in daha \u00e7ok a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc oldu\u011fu de\u011ferlendiriliyor. GBP\/USD sat\u0131m opsiyonu (put: fiyat d\u00fc\u015ferse de\u011fer kazanan opsiyon) almak veya d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f y\u00f6nl\u00fc \u201cput spread\u201d kurmak (iki farkl\u0131 kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131nda put al\u0131p\/satmak; maliyeti ve riski s\u0131n\u0131rlamak i\u00e7in) 1,2500 destek seviyesine do\u011fru hareketi hedefleyen, riski tan\u0131ml\u0131 bir yakla\u015f\u0131m sunar. ABD istihdam\u0131n\u0131n g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc gelmesi ve piyasan\u0131n Fed faiz indirimlerini daha az fiyatlamas\u0131 (beklentiyi azaltmas\u0131) halinde Dolar g\u00fc\u00e7lenebilir; ayn\u0131 anda daha \u201cg\u00fcvercin\u201d bir BoE (faiz indirimine daha yatk\u0131n duru\u015f) sterlini bask\u0131layabilir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Sterlin\/Dolar\u2019da s\u00fcrpriz! Dalgal\u0131 seans sonras\u0131 1,3600\u2019e toparlanan parite, BoE-Fed ayr\u0131\u015fmas\u0131yla bug\u00fcn 1,2750\u2019de. NFP \u00f6ncesi volatilite y\u00fckseliyor; straddle\/put spread \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor, 1,2500 hedefte.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-45916","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45916","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=45916"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45916\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=45916"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=45916"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=45916"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}