{"id":45912,"date":"2026-05-01T03:57:30","date_gmt":"2026-05-01T03:57:30","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/japonyanin-mudahalesinin-guclu-abd-verilerine-ragmen-dolari-zayiflatmasiyla-aud-usd-07200nin-uzerine-yukseldi\/"},"modified":"2026-05-01T03:57:30","modified_gmt":"2026-05-01T03:57:30","slug":"japonyanin-mudahalesinin-guclu-abd-verilerine-ragmen-dolari-zayiflatmasiyla-aud-usd-07200nin-uzerine-yukseldi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/japonyanin-mudahalesinin-guclu-abd-verilerine-ragmen-dolari-zayiflatmasiyla-aud-usd-07200nin-uzerine-yukseldi\/","title":{"rendered":"Japonya\u2019n\u0131n m\u00fcdahalesinin g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ABD verilerine ra\u011fmen dolar\u0131 zay\u0131flatmas\u0131yla AUD\/USD 0,7200\u2019nin \u00fczerine y\u00fckseldi"},"content":{"rendered":"

AUD\/USD per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc 0,7200 seviyesinin \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019n\u0131n yedi g\u00fcn\u00fcn en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyelerine gerilemesinin ard\u0131ndan parite %1\u2019den fazla y\u00fckseldi. Parite, Japonya\u2019n\u0131n d\u00f6viz piyasalar\u0131ndaki hamlesinin ABD Dolar\u0131 \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 yaratmas\u0131yla g\u00fcn i\u00e7i 0,7110 dip seviyesinden toparland\u0131.<\/p>\n

ABD Dolar Endeksi (Dolar\u0131n ba\u015fl\u0131ca para birimlerine kar\u015f\u0131 g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00f6steren g\u00f6sterge) Asya-Avrupa seans\u0131nda USD\/JPY\u2019nin 400 pipten (paritenin en k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck fiyat ad\u0131m\u0131) fazla d\u00fc\u015fmesinin ard\u0131ndan %0,91 gerileyerek 98,00\u2019e yakla\u015ft\u0131. Reuters, Japonya\u2019n\u0131n per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc yeni m\u00fcdahaleyle yeni destekledi\u011fini (resmi d\u00f6viz al\u0131m-sat\u0131m\u0131yla kur \u00fczerinde etki yaratma) ve bunun yakla\u015f\u0131k iki y\u0131l sonra ilk resmi ad\u0131m oldu\u011funu bildirdi.<\/p>\n

ABD Verileri Ve Enflasyon G\u00fcncellemesi<\/h3>\n

ABD verileri, 2026\u2019n\u0131n ilk \u00e7eyre\u011finde b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin %2 oldu\u011funu ve %2,3 tahmininin alt\u0131nda kald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6sterdi. Yapay zeka ve veri merkezi harcamalar\u0131 %17,2 artt\u0131; 2025\u2019in d\u00f6rd\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyre\u011finde bu art\u0131\u015f %4,3\u2019t\u00fc.<\/p>\n

\u00c7ekirdek PCE enflasyonu (g\u0131da ve enerji gibi oynak kalemler hari\u00e7 tutulan, Fed\u2019in yak\u0131ndan izledi\u011fi enflasyon g\u00f6stergesi) martta y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda %3,2\u2019ye y\u00fckseldi. Bu oran %3\u2019\u00fcn \u00fczerinde ve son yakla\u015f\u0131k \u00fc\u00e7 y\u0131l\u0131n en y\u00fcksek seviyesi. \u0130lk i\u015fsizlik maa\u015f\u0131 ba\u015fvurular\u0131 (i\u015ften \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131lanlar\u0131n yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 ilk ba\u015fvuru say\u0131s\u0131) 25 Nisan ile biten haftada 189 bin oldu; beklenti 215 bindi.<\/p>\n

Avustralya\u2019da T\u00dcFE (T\u00fcketici Fiyat Endeksi) 2026\u2019n\u0131n ilk \u00e7eyre\u011finde %4,1\u2019in \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131; \u00f6nceki seviye %3,6\u2019yd\u0131. S\u0131rada 1. \u00e7eyrek \u00dcFE (\u00dcretici Fiyat Endeksi: \u00fcretici maliyetlerini \u00f6l\u00e7er) verisi var. Piyasalar, RBA\u2019n\u0131n (Avustralya Merkez Bankas\u0131) 5 May\u0131s\u2019ta faizi %4,35\u2019e y\u00fckseltme olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 %70 olarak fiyatl\u0131yor (piyasalar\u0131n fiyatlamalar\u0131ndan \u00e7\u0131kan olas\u0131l\u0131k).<\/p>\n

AUD\/USD 0,7201 seviyesindeydi. Destek (d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fte tutunma olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 olan seviye) 0,7074 ve 0,7059 civar\u0131nda, RSI (G\u00f6reli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi: fiyat\u0131n h\u0131z\u0131n\u0131\/ivmesini \u00f6l\u00e7en teknik g\u00f6sterge) ise 61\u2019e yak\u0131nd\u0131. Diren\u00e7 (y\u00fckseli\u015fte zorlanma olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 olan seviye) 0,7558 ve 0,7858 civar\u0131nda belirtiliyor.<\/p>\n

RBA Toplant\u0131s\u0131 Ve \u0130\u015flem Yakla\u015f\u0131m\u0131<\/h3>\n

5 May\u0131s\u2019taki Avustralya Merkez Bankas\u0131 toplant\u0131s\u0131 \u00f6ncesinde piyasa, faizin %4,35\u2019e \u00e7\u0131kma olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde fiyatlam\u0131\u015f durumda. T\u00dcFE\u2019nin %4,1\u2019e y\u00fckselmesi bu beklentiyi destekliyor. Beklenen art\u0131\u015f ve yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc ivmeden yararlanmak i\u00e7in yak\u0131n vadeli AUD\/USD al\u0131m (call) opsiyonlar\u0131 de\u011ferlendirilebilir; riskin net s\u0131n\u0131rland\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 gerekir (opsiyon: belirli tarihe kadar belirli fiyattan alma hakk\u0131; prim \u00f6denir).<\/p>\n

Avustralya Dolar\u0131 i\u00e7in temel g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm, yaln\u0131zca merkez bankas\u0131 politikas\u0131yla s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 de\u011fil. Demir cevheri fiyatlar\u0131 (Avustralya\u2019n\u0131n \u00f6nemli ihracat kalemi) y\u0131l ba\u015f\u0131ndaki geri \u00e7ekilmenin ard\u0131ndan ton ba\u015f\u0131na 120 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerine toparland\u0131. \u00c7in\u2019in Caixin \u0130malat PMI verisi (sat\u0131n alma y\u00f6neticileri endeksi: 50 \u00fczeri b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye i\u015faret eder) nisanda 51,4 oldu ve istikrarl\u0131 geni\u015flemeye i\u015faret etti. Bu tablo, Avustralya\u2019n\u0131n ihracat\u0131na talebi ve dolay\u0131s\u0131yla para birimini destekliyor.<\/p>\n

Buna kar\u015f\u0131n ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019n\u0131n dayan\u0131kl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131 temkinli olmak gerekiyor. \u00c7ekirdek PCE\u2019nin %3,2\u2019ye \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131, Fed\u2019in (ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131) \u015fahin duru\u015funu (enflasyonla m\u00fccadele i\u00e7in faiz y\u00fcksek kalabilir mesaj\u0131) s\u00fcrd\u00fcrme bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131r\u0131yor. Gelecek hafta g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir ABD ISM \u0130malat verisi (ABD imalat sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcn genel durumunu \u00f6l\u00e7en anket) dolar\u0131n son kay\u0131plar\u0131n\u0131n bir k\u0131sm\u0131n\u0131 h\u0131zla geri ald\u0131rabilir; bu nedenle uzun AUD pozisyonlar\u0131n\u0131 (AUD\u2019da y\u00fckseli\u015f beklentisiyle ta\u015f\u0131nan pozisyon) korumak mant\u0131kl\u0131 olur.<\/p>\n

Japonya\u2019n\u0131n 2022 sonundaki b\u00fcy\u00fck m\u00fcdahalelerine bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda etkilerin g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ancak ge\u00e7ici olabildi\u011fi g\u00f6r\u00fclm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc; \u00f6zellikle faiz farklar\u0131nda (iki \u00fclke faizleri aras\u0131ndaki fark) kal\u0131c\u0131 bir de\u011fi\u015fim olmazsa etki s\u0131n\u0131rlanabiliyor. O d\u00f6nemde Fed\u2019in enflasyonla m\u00fccadele kararl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131, dolar\u0131n yeniden g\u00fc\u00e7lenmesine yol a\u00e7m\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Bu ge\u00e7mi\u015f, ABD\u2019de enflasyonun y\u00fcksek kalmas\u0131 halinde mevcut dolar zay\u0131fl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n kal\u0131c\u0131 olmayabilece\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor.<\/p>\n

AUD\/USD\u2019nin 0,7200 \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f\u0131yla opsiyon piyasas\u0131nda ima edilen oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n (opsiyon fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n ima etti\u011fi beklenen dalgalanma seviyesi) artm\u0131\u015f olmas\u0131 muhtemel. Bu ortamda bo\u011fa al\u0131m spreadi (bull call spread: bir al\u0131m opsiyonu al\u0131p daha yukar\u0131 kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 ba\u015fka bir al\u0131m opsiyonu satarak maliyeti d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrme stratejisi) gibi y\u00f6ntemler daha cazip olabilir; \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc opsiyonu tek ba\u015f\u0131na almaya k\u0131yasla ba\u015flang\u0131\u00e7 maliyetini azaltabilir. \u0130\u015flemler, teknik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcmde belirtilen 0,7558 civar\u0131ndaki bir sonraki diren\u00e7 seviyesini hedefleyecek \u015fekilde kurgulanabilir.<\/p>\n

Create your live VT Markets account<\/a>\u00a0and\u00a0start trading<\/a>\u00a0now. <\/b><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

S\u00fcrpriz ralli: AUD\/USD 0,7200\u2019yi a\u015ft\u0131. Yen m\u00fcdahalesi dolar\u0131 zay\u0131flatt\u0131. Avustralya T\u00dcFE %4,1, RBA faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 %70 fiyatlan\u0131yor. Ancak ABD \u00e7ekirdek PCE %3,2 dolar riskini canl\u0131 tutuyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-45912","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45912","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=45912"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45912\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=45912"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=45912"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=45912"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}