AUD\/USD per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc yeniden 0,7190\u2019a yakla\u015ft\u0131 ve \u00e7ar\u015famba g\u00fcnk\u00fc d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc geri ald\u0131. Hareket, \u00c7in\u2019den gelen g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc \u015firket verileri ve ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019ndaki zay\u0131flaman\u0131n ard\u0131ndan geldi.<\/p>\n
\u00c7in\u2019de nisan ay\u0131 NBS \u0130malat PMI (Sat\u0131nalma Y\u00f6neticileri Endeksi: 50\u2019nin \u00fczeri geni\u015fleme, alt\u0131 daralma) 50,3\u2019e y\u00fckseldi; beklenti 50,1\u2019di. RatingDog imalat PMI da tahminleri a\u015ft\u0131. NBS \u0130malat D\u0131\u015f\u0131 PMI (hizmet ve in\u015faat gibi imalat d\u0131\u015f\u0131 faaliyetlerin g\u00f6stergesi) 49,4 ile 49,9 tahmininin alt\u0131nda kald\u0131.<\/p>\n
ABD\u2019de Haftal\u0131k \u0130\u015fsizlik Maa\u015f\u0131 Ba\u015fvurular\u0131 189 bine geriledi; piyasa beklentisi yakla\u015f\u0131k 215 bindi. Bu seviye, yakla\u015f\u0131k 60 y\u0131l\u0131n en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck d\u00fczeyi olarak kayda ge\u00e7ti. PCE Fiyat Endeksi (Ki\u015fisel T\u00fcketim Harcamalar\u0131 fiyat g\u00f6stergesi: Fed\u2019in en \u00e7ok izledi\u011fi enflasyon \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fct\u00fc) martta y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda %3,5\u2019e \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131; \u015fubat ay\u0131ndaki %2,8\u2019in \u00fczerinde ve beklentiyle uyumlu.<\/p>\n
ABD\u2019de 1. \u00e7eyrek \u00f6nc\u00fc GSYH (Gayrisafi Yurt \u0130\u00e7i Has\u0131la: ekonominin toplam \u00fcretimi) b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi %2 ile %2,3 tahmininin alt\u0131nda kald\u0131. Avustralya Merkez Bankas\u0131 (RBA) 5 May\u0131s\u2019ta toplanacak. Piyasalar, y\u00fcksek enflasyon nedeniyle art arda \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 ihtimalini fiyatl\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
D\u00f6rt saatlik grafikte AUD\/USD 0,7183 seviyesinde i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc; 20 ve 100 periyotluk SMA\u2019lar\u0131n (Basit Hareketli Ortalama: fiyat\u0131n belirli d\u00f6nem ortalamas\u0131; trendi izlemek i\u00e7in kullan\u0131l\u0131r) 0,7163 ve 0,7134 seviyelerinin \u00fczerinde kald\u0131. RSI (G\u00f6reli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi: momentum g\u00f6stergesi; 70 \u00fczeri a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 al\u0131m, 30 alt\u0131 a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 sat\u0131m) 59 civar\u0131ndayd\u0131.<\/p>\n
Diren\u00e7 seviyeleri 0,7184 ve 0,7192 olarak verildi. Destek seviyeleri 0,7167, 0,7163, 0,7145 ve 0,7134.<\/p>\n
Nisan 2026\u2019n\u0131n sonuna gelirken, 2025\u2019in ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nemini and\u0131ran bir tablo g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor: o d\u00f6nemde de y\u00fckselen AUD\/USD \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131km\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Avustralya Dolar\u0131, \u00c7in\u2019de beklenenden g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ekonomik aktivitenin deste\u011fini yeniden buluyor. Nisan 2026 i\u00e7in a\u00e7\u0131klanan resmi NBS \u0130malat PMI 50,9 ile g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir seviyede geldi. Avustralya\u2019n\u0131n en b\u00fcy\u00fck ticaret orta\u011f\u0131ndaki bu g\u00fc\u00e7, para birimi i\u00e7in pozitif sinyal olarak g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n
ABD taraf\u0131nda da benzer bir g\u00f6r\u00fcnt\u00fc var: 2026\u2019n\u0131n ilk \u00e7eyre\u011finde GSYH b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi beklentiden zay\u0131f %1,8 geldi ve bu durum ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019nda bir miktar gev\u015feme yaratt\u0131. \u00d6te yandan PCE Fiyat Endeksi (Fed\u2019in tercih etti\u011fi enflasyon g\u00f6stergesi) %3,1 ile y\u00fcksek kalmay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcyor; bu da faiz g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fc belirsizle\u015ftiriyor. ABD\u2019den gelen kar\u0131\u015f\u0131k veriler, ge\u00e7en y\u0131l dolar\u0131 bask\u0131layan belirsizli\u011fe benzer bir ortam olu\u015fturuyor.<\/p>\n
RBA\u2019n\u0131n gelecek hafta 7 May\u0131s\u2019taki toplant\u0131s\u0131 \u00f6ncesinde piyasalar \u201c\u015fahin\u201d (faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 veya s\u0131k\u0131 duru\u015fa i\u015faret eden) bir tutum beklentisiyle pozisyon al\u0131yor. Bu, k\u0131sa vadeli AUD\/USD al\u0131m (call) opsiyonlar\u0131n\u0131n (belirli tarihe kadar belirli fiyattan alma hakk\u0131 veren s\u00f6zle\u015fme) olas\u0131 yukar\u0131 hareketi yakalamak i\u00e7in kullan\u0131labilece\u011fi anlam\u0131na geliyor. Bu yakla\u015f\u0131m, y\u00fckseli\u015ften faydalan\u0131rken a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc riski s\u0131n\u0131rlamay\u0131 hedefler.<\/p>\n
Ancak 2025\u2019in ortas\u0131nda g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc gibi, RBA faiz art\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131 sonras\u0131 AUD\u2019daki ilk g\u00fc\u00e7lenme k\u00fcresel ekonomi endi\u015feleri \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131\u011f\u0131nda s\u0131k s\u0131k zay\u0131flam\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Bu nedenle \u201cbull call spread\u201d (ayn\u0131 vadede daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131ndan call al\u0131p daha y\u00fcksek kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131ndan call satma; maliyeti ve hem riski hem getiriyi s\u0131n\u0131rlar) daha dengeli bir y\u00f6ntem olabilir. Bu strateji, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda AUD\/USD\u2019de s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131-orta bir y\u00fckseli\u015ften kazan\u00e7 hedeflerken ani bir ters d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015fe kar\u015f\u0131 koruma sa\u011flar.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
AUD\/USD 0,7190\u2019a yeniden yakla\u015farak \u00c7in PMI s\u00fcrprizi ve zay\u0131flayan dolar\u0131n r\u00fczg\u00e2r\u0131n\u0131 arkas\u0131na ald\u0131. G\u00f6zler RBA\u2019da: \u015fahin mesaj y\u00fckseli\u015fi besleyebilir; 0,7184-0,7192 diren\u00e7.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-45891","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45891","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=45891"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45891\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=45891"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=45891"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=45891"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}