{"id":45875,"date":"2026-04-30T19:29:23","date_gmt":"2026-04-30T19:29:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/scotiabank-dolar-zayiflarken-ve-swap-spreadleri-daralirken-cad-yukseliyor-boc-petrol-ticaret-risklerini-gerekce-gostererek-politikayi-sabit-tuttu\/"},"modified":"2026-04-30T19:29:23","modified_gmt":"2026-04-30T19:29:23","slug":"scotiabank-dolar-zayiflarken-ve-swap-spreadleri-daralirken-cad-yukseliyor-boc-petrol-ticaret-risklerini-gerekce-gostererek-politikayi-sabit-tuttu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/scotiabank-dolar-zayiflarken-ve-swap-spreadleri-daralirken-cad-yukseliyor-boc-petrol-ticaret-risklerini-gerekce-gostererek-politikayi-sabit-tuttu\/","title":{"rendered":"Scotiabank: Dolar zay\u0131flarken ve swap spreadleri daral\u0131rken CAD y\u00fckseliyor; BoC, petrol-ticaret risklerini gerek\u00e7e g\u00f6stererek politikay\u0131 sabit tuttu"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Kanada Dolar\u0131, ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019n\u0131n zay\u0131flamas\u0131 ve 1 y\u0131ll\u0131k ABD\/Kanada swap (takas) fark\u0131n\u0131n daralmas\u0131yla s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 y\u00fckseldi. Kanada Merkez Bankas\u0131 (BoC) para politikas\u0131n\u0131 (faiz ve di\u011fer ad\u0131mlar\u0131) de\u011fi\u015ftirmedi.<\/p>\n<p>Banka iki riske dikkat \u00e7ekti: k\u0131sa vadede petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fckselmesi ve daha uzun vadede ticaret belirsizli\u011fi. BoC Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Macklem, ekonomide at\u0131l kapasitenin (\u00fcretim ve istihdam\u0131n potansiyelin alt\u0131nda kalmas\u0131) artan yak\u0131t maliyetlerini de\u011ferlendirmek i\u00e7in zaman tan\u0131d\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi; ancak b\u00fcy\u00fck bir petrol \u015foku arka arkaya faiz art\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131na yol a\u00e7abilir.<\/p>\n<p>Olas\u0131 ard\u0131\u015f\u0131k s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rma (faiz art\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131n pe\u015f pe\u015fe gelmesi) mesaj\u0131 ve petrol fiyatlar\u0131ndaki s\u0131\u00e7ramayla k\u00fcresel faizlerin y\u00fckselmesi sonras\u0131 Kanada\u2019n\u0131n k\u0131sa vadeli faizleri (k\u0131sa vadeli tahvil getirileri) g\u00f6rece zay\u0131f kald\u0131. 1 y\u0131ll\u0131k ABD\/Kanada swap fark\u0131 y\u0131l i\u00e7i band\u0131n alt taraf\u0131na do\u011fru darald\u0131; bu durum CAD\u2019i destekleyebilir ve \u015fimdilik USD\/CAD\u2019de 1,37 \u00fczerini s\u0131n\u0131rlayabilir.<\/p>\n<p>USD\/CAD 1,37 \u00fczerindeki kazan\u0131mlar\u0131 koruyamad\u0131; 1,3725 civar\u0131 diren\u00e7 olarak \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. 1,3700 \u00fczerine hareketin ard\u0131ndan g\u00fcnl\u00fck grafikte \u201cshooting star\u201d (yukar\u0131 deneme sonras\u0131 a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 kapan\u0131\u015fla zirvede zay\u0131flama sinyali veren mum) ve \u201coutside range\u201d (g\u00fcn\u00fcn en y\u00fcksek ve en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyesinin \u00f6nceki g\u00fcn\u00fcn aral\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 a\u015fmas\u0131; oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n artt\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret) olu\u015ftu. Daha uzun vadeli a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc ivme (d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f e\u011filimi) 1,3595\/00 b\u00f6lgesinin yeniden test edilebilece\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor.<\/p>\n<p>Y\u00fckseli\u015fleri s\u0131n\u0131rlayan zay\u0131f g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm nedeniyle, 1,3725 seviyesini opsiyon sat\u0131\u015f\u0131 i\u00e7in g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir tavan olarak g\u00f6rmek gerekir. Bu direncin hemen \u00fczerinde k\u0131sa kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 bear call spread (yukar\u0131 y\u00f6n riskini s\u0131n\u0131rlayan, prim geliri hedefleyen d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f y\u00f6nl\u00fc call opsiyon stratejisi) kurmak, prim toplamak a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan daha temkinli bir yol olabilir. Bu strateji, parite \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda bu kritik teknik seviyenin alt\u0131nda kal\u0131rsa kazan\u00e7 sa\u011flar.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>CAD, zay\u0131f ABD dolar\u0131 ve daralan 1Y swap fark\u0131yla k\u0131smi y\u00fckseldi; BoC faizi sabit tuttu. Petrol ve ticaret riskleri izleniyor. USD\/CAD\u2019de 1,3725 g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc diren\u00e7; 1,3595 yeniden g\u00fcndemde, bear call spread \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-45875","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45875","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=45875"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45875\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=45875"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=45875"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=45875"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}