Avustralya Dolar\u0131, Per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc Kuzey Amerika i\u015flemlerinin erken saatlerinde ABD Dolar\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda %0,5 y\u00fckselerek 0,7150 seviyesine yakla\u015ft\u0131. Avustralya Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (RBA) bu y\u0131l faiz art\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131na devam edebilece\u011fi beklentisi s\u00fcrerken, Avustralya Dolar\u0131 di\u011fer b\u00fcy\u00fck para birimleri kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda ise kar\u0131\u015f\u0131k bir g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm sergiledi.<\/p>\n
Piyasalar, h\u0131zlanan enflasyonun ard\u0131ndan RBA\u2019n\u0131n May\u0131s ay\u0131nda faizi yeniden art\u0131rmas\u0131n\u0131 bekliyor. Avustralya\u2019da 1. \u00e7eyrek T\u00fcketici Fiyat Endeksi (T\u00dcFE, t\u00fcketici fiyatlar\u0131ndaki genel art\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u00f6l\u00e7en enflasyon g\u00f6stergesi) %1,4 artt\u0131; bu oran tahminlerle uyumlu olurken 2025\u2019in son \u00e7eyre\u011findeki %0,6\u2019n\u0131n \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131.<\/p>\n
Y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda T\u00dcFE %4,1\u2019e y\u00fckseldi; beklentilere paralel ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti ve \u00f6nceki %3,6 seviyesinin \u00fcst\u00fcne \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. RBA, Mart ay\u0131nda Politika Faizi\u2019ni (resmi nakit faiz oran\u0131) 25 baz puan art\u0131rarak %4,1\u2019e y\u00fckseltti. (Baz puan, faiz oranlar\u0131nda 0,01 puanl\u0131k de\u011fi\u015fimi ifade eder.) Banka ayr\u0131ca, Orta Do\u011fu\u2019daki \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmayla ba\u011flant\u0131l\u0131 petrol fiyat\u0131 art\u0131\u015flar\u0131ndan \u00f6nce de enflasyonun zaten y\u00fcksek oldu\u011funu vurgulad\u0131.<\/p>\n
ABD Dolar\u0131, ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131 (Fed) faizlerin daha uzun s\u00fcre y\u00fcksek kalabilece\u011fine i\u015faret etse de, b\u00fcy\u00fck para birimleri kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda de\u011fer kaybetti. Fed Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Jerome Powell, mevcut para politikas\u0131 duru\u015funun uygun oldu\u011funu s\u00f6yledi ve Orta Do\u011fu\u2019daki geli\u015fmelerin belirsizli\u011fi art\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtti.<\/p>\n
ABD verilerinde, 1. \u00e7eyrek GSYH\u2019nin (Gayrisafi Yurt \u0130\u00e7i Has\u0131la, ekonominin toplam \u00fcretimi) \u00f6nc\u00fc okumas\u0131 y\u0131ll\u0131k %2 oldu. Bu oran %2,3\u2019l\u00fck tahminin alt\u0131nda kal\u0131rken, \u00f6nceki %0,5 seviyesinin \u00fczerinde ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti.<\/p>\n
RBA\u2019dan May\u0131s ay\u0131nda faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 beklentisi g\u00fc\u00e7lenmi\u015f durumda; son enflasyon verileri bunu destekliyor. Y\u0131ll\u0131k T\u00dcFE\u2019nin %4,1\u2019e \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131, RBA\u2019n\u0131n %2-3 hedef band\u0131n\u0131n belirgin bi\u00e7imde \u00fczerinde. Bu da bankan\u0131n faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcnde hareket etme bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131r\u0131yor. Buna ek olarak, i\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fc piyasas\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc; Mart verilerinde i\u015fsizlik oran\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviye olan %3,7\u2019de kald\u0131.<\/p>\n
RBA, Mart\u2019ta politika faizini %4,1\u2019e y\u00fckseltmi\u015f ve petrol fiyatlar\u0131ndaki son s\u0131\u00e7ramalardan \u00f6nce dahi enflasyon bask\u0131lar\u0131na dikkat \u00e7ekmi\u015fti. Piyasa beklentileri, May\u0131s, Haziran ve A\u011fustos aylar\u0131nda olas\u0131 ek art\u0131\u015flara i\u015faret ediyor. Ayr\u0131ca demir cevheri gibi \u00f6nemli ihracat \u00fcr\u00fcnlerinin fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n ton ba\u015f\u0131na 115 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerinde seyretmesi, ekonomik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc destekliyor.<\/p>\n
\u00d6te yandan ABD Dolar\u0131, Fed\u2019in k\u00fcresel belirsizli\u011fi gerek\u00e7e g\u00f6stererek beklemede kalmas\u0131yla zay\u0131fl\u0131yor. Powell\u2019\u0131n son a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131, mevcut politikan\u0131n yeterli oldu\u011fu g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00fc\u00e7lendirerek ek s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rma i\u00e7in aciliyet olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnd\u00fcr\u00fcyor. Bu duru\u015fu destekleyen veriler aras\u0131nda, pozitif olsa da %2,3 tahmininin alt\u0131nda kalan %2\u2019lik 1. \u00e7eyrek GSYH b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
ABD\u2019de enflasyonun son veride %3,1\u2019e do\u011fru \u0131l\u0131mlamas\u0131, Avustralya\u2019daki h\u0131zlanan fiyat bask\u0131lar\u0131yla keskin bir kar\u015f\u0131tl\u0131k olu\u015fturuyor. Ayr\u0131ca ABD ISM \u0130malat PMI\u2019\u0131n (Sat\u0131n Alma Y\u00f6neticileri Endeksi; 50\u2019nin alt\u0131 imalatta daralmaya i\u015faret eder) 49,5\u2019e gerilemesi, sekt\u00f6rde hafif bir daralmaya i\u015faret ediyor ve Fed\u2019in beklemede kalmas\u0131 i\u00e7in ek gerek\u00e7e sunuyor.<\/p>\n
VT Markets canl\u0131 hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturun<\/a>\u00a0ve\u00a0hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n<\/a>. <\/b><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" S\u00fcrpriz ralli: AUD\/USD %0,5 art\u0131\u015fla 0,7150\u2019ye yakla\u015ft\u0131. T\u00dcFE %4,1\u2019e t\u0131rman\u0131nca RBA\u2019n\u0131n May\u0131s\u2019ta faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 fiyatlan\u0131yor. Fed\u2019in \u201cbekle-g\u00f6r\u201d mesaj\u0131 ve zay\u0131flayan dolar pariteyi destekliyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-45861","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45861","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=45861"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45861\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=45861"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=45861"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=45861"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}