WTI, ABD ham petrol i\u00e7in temel g\u00f6sterge, per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc Asya i\u015flemlerinin erken saatlerinde 104,90 dolar civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc. Fiyatlar, ABD\u2019nin \u0130ran limanlar\u0131na y\u00f6nelik deniz ablukas\u0131n\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrmesi ve BAE\u2019nin OPEC\u2019ten ayr\u0131laca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131yla y\u00fckseldi.<\/p>\n
Bloomberg\u2019e g\u00f6re ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Donald Trump \u00e7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc, \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n n\u00fckleer program\u0131 konusunda Tahran\u2019la anla\u015fmaya var\u0131lana kadar ablukan\u0131n s\u00fcrece\u011fini s\u00f6yledi. \u0130ran, \u0130ran ba\u011flant\u0131l\u0131 gemilere y\u00f6nelik ABD ablukas\u0131 devam ederse \u201ce\u015fi g\u00f6r\u00fclmemi\u015f askeri ad\u0131m\u201d ataca\u011f\u0131 uyar\u0131s\u0131nda bulundu.<\/p>\n
BAE, 1 May\u0131s\u2019ta OPEC\u2019ten ayr\u0131laca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 bildirdi. Sal\u0131 g\u00fcnk\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131klama, \u0130ran\u2019a atfedilen ve BAE\u2019yi hedef alan haftalard\u0131r s\u00fcren f\u00fcze ve insans\u0131z hava arac\u0131 sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan geldi. \u0130ran da OPEC \u00fcyesi.<\/p>\n
Haberde bu ad\u0131m, \u0130ran sava\u015f\u0131yla ba\u011flant\u0131l\u0131 \u201cbenzeri g\u00f6r\u00fclmemi\u015f bir enerji krizi\u201d ile ili\u015fkilendirildi. Bu geli\u015fmeler ABD-\u0130ran hatt\u0131ndaki gerilimi art\u0131rarak WTI fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 destekledi.<\/p>\n
Piyasadaki tedirginlik opsiyon fiyatlamas\u0131na da yans\u0131d\u0131. CBOE Ham Petrol Oynakl\u0131k Endeksi (OVX), son d\u00f6nemde 55\u2019e y\u00fckseldi. OVX, petrol fiyatlar\u0131ndaki beklenen dalgalanmay\u0131 g\u00f6steren bir endekstir; seviye y\u00fckseldik\u00e7e piyasada sert ini\u015f-\u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f beklentisi artar. 55 seviyesi, 2025\u2019teki ilk fiyat \u015foklar\u0131ndan bu yana g\u00f6r\u00fclmeyen bir d\u00fczey. Bu kadar y\u00fcksek \u201cz\u0131mni oynakl\u0131k\u201d (opsiyon fiyatlar\u0131na g\u00f6m\u00fcl\u00fc, piyasan\u0131n bekledi\u011fi dalgalanma) nedeniyle do\u011frudan al\u0131m (call) opsiyonu almak pahal\u0131 olabilir. Bu nedenle yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar, maliyeti d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrmek i\u00e7in \u201cbo\u011fa call spread\u201d gibi stratejileri de\u011ferlendirebilir. Bo\u011fa call spread, daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck fiyatl\u0131 bir call al\u0131p daha y\u00fcksek fiyatl\u0131 bir call sat\u0131larak yap\u0131lan, yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc beklentiyi korurken \u00f6denen primi azaltan bir y\u00f6ntemdir.<\/p>\n
Son arz verileri de yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc destekliyor. EIA (ABD Enerji Enformasyon \u0130daresi) raporuna g\u00f6re ge\u00e7en hafta ticari ham petrol stoklar\u0131 3,8 milyon varil azald\u0131. Bu rakam, piyasa beklentisinin neredeyse iki kat\u0131. Stok d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc, piyasaya gelen petrol miktar\u0131n\u0131n talebe g\u00f6re yetersiz kald\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret eder. Bu da ablukaya ba\u011fl\u0131 k\u00fcresel tedarik aksamas\u0131n\u0131n ABD piyasas\u0131n\u0131 s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rmaya ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p>\n
Ayr\u0131ca Brent ile WTI aras\u0131ndaki fiyat fark\u0131n\u0131n 8 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor; bu, yakla\u015f\u0131k iki y\u0131l\u0131n en y\u00fcksek seviyesi. Brent, deniz yoluyla ta\u015f\u0131nan petrole daha fazla ba\u011fl\u0131 oldu\u011fu i\u00e7in Orta Do\u011fu kaynakl\u0131 deniz ticareti kesintilerinden daha \u00e7ok etkilenebiliyor. Bu durum, Brent\u2019te uzun (al\u0131m), WTI\u2019da k\u0131sa (sat\u0131\u015f) y\u00f6nl\u00fc \u201cspread i\u015flemini\u201d \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131yor. Spread i\u015flemi, iki varl\u0131k aras\u0131ndaki fiyat fark\u0131na oynayarak genel piyasa hareketinden \u00e7ok aradaki farktan kazan\u00e7 hedefleyen pozisyondur.<\/p>\n
Canl\u0131 VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturun<\/a>\u00a0ve\u00a0hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n<\/a>. <\/b><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Petrolde tansiyon: WTI 104,90 dolara t\u0131rmand\u0131! ABD\u2019nin \u0130ran\u2019a deniz ablukas\u0131 ve BAE\u2019nin OPEC\u2019ten \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f\u0131 arz korkusunu b\u00fcy\u00fct\u00fcyor; OVX 55\u2019te, stoklar sert d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc, Brent-WTI fark\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-45814","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45814","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=45814"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45814\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=45814"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=45814"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=45814"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}