GBP\/USD, ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (Fed) faizleri sabit b\u0131rakmas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan \u00e7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00fcn i\u00e7inde d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fte kald\u0131. Parite, Powell\u2019\u0131n bas\u0131n toplant\u0131s\u0131 \u00f6ncesinde 1,3480 civar\u0131nda, %0,30 ekside i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc.<\/p>\n
Sterlin, Fed karar\u0131 \u00f6ncesi ABD Dolar\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lenirken 1,3480 b\u00f6lgesine geriledi. BAE\u2019nin OPEC\u2019ten ayr\u0131lmas\u0131 sonras\u0131 yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n \u201cg\u00fcvenli liman\u201d (risk artt\u0131\u011f\u0131nda tercih edilen varl\u0131klara y\u00f6nelim) aray\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n artmas\u0131 da dolara talebi destekledi.<\/p>\n
Avrupa seans\u0131nda GBP\/USD genel olarak 1,3500 civar\u0131nda yatay seyretti. Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar hem Fed\u2019den hem de \u0130ngiltere Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019ndan (BoE) para politikas\u0131 (faiz ve likidite kararlar\u0131) mesajlar\u0131n\u0131 bekledi.<\/p>\n
2025\u2019in sonuna bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, piyasan\u0131n Fed\u2019de Powell d\u00f6neminin biti\u015fi konusunda tedirgin oldu\u011fu g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyordu. Sterlin o d\u00f6nemde dolar kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda 1,3500 civar\u0131ndayd\u0131. Bu d\u00f6nem, dolar\u0131n g\u00fc\u00e7lenmesinde belirgin bir d\u00f6n\u00fcm noktas\u0131 oldu.<\/p>\n
Sonras\u0131nda iki merkez bankas\u0131n\u0131n izleyece\u011fi yol (faiz politikas\u0131n\u0131n y\u00f6n\u00fc) net bi\u00e7imde ayr\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Yeni Fed y\u00f6netimi, kal\u0131c\u0131 (kolay d\u00fc\u015fmeyen) ABD enflasyonu ile m\u00fccadele i\u00e7in faizleri y\u00fcksek seviyede tutmak zorunda kald\u0131. Son veriler, enflasyonun h\u00e2l\u00e2 %3,8 civar\u0131nda oldu\u011funu g\u00f6steriyor. Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k BoE, \u0130ngiltere enflasyonu %2,5\u2019e gerileyince tutumunu yumu\u015fatt\u0131 ve oda\u011f\u0131n\u0131 daha \u00e7ok resesyondan (ekonomide k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclme) ka\u00e7\u0131nmaya \u00e7evirdi.<\/p>\n
Bu ayr\u0131\u015fmay\u0131 ge\u00e7en haftan\u0131n verileri de destekliyor. ABD\u2019de i\u015fsizlik maa\u015f\u0131 ba\u015fvurular\u0131 205 bin ile g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc geldi. \u0130ngiltere\u2019de ise mart ay\u0131nda perakende sat\u0131\u015flar (ma\u011faza ve online sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131n toplam\u0131) s\u00fcrpriz \u015fekilde %0,7 d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. Bu tablo, ABD ekonomisinin daha dayan\u0131kl\u0131, \u0130ngiltere ekonomisinin ise daha k\u0131r\u0131lgan oldu\u011funa i\u015faret ederek GBP\/USD \u00fczerinde a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bask\u0131y\u0131 art\u0131r\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
\u0130\u015flem yapanlar i\u00e7in bu durum, sterlinde d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f y\u00f6nl\u00fc stratejilerin cazip kalabilece\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor. \u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015ften faydalanmak i\u00e7in 1,2100 civar\u0131nda kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 (opsiyonun devreye girdi\u011fi fiyat) GBP\/USD \u201cput\u201d opsiyonlar\u0131 (kur d\u00fc\u015ferse de\u011fer kazanan hak) d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fclebilir. Daha yava\u015f bir geri \u00e7ekilme bekleyenler i\u00e7in ise \u201cout-of-the-money\u201d (kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131 mevcut fiyattan uzak oldu\u011fu i\u00e7in \u015fimdilik k\u00e2rda olmayan) \u201ccall\u201d opsiyonu (kur y\u00fckselirse de\u011fer kazanan hak) satmak, prim (opsiyonu satarken pe\u015fin al\u0131nan gelir) toplaman\u0131n bir yolu olabilir; bu yakla\u015f\u0131m genel y\u00f6n beklentisini yine a\u015fa\u011f\u0131da tutar.<\/p>\n
Paritedeki volatilite (fiyat dalgalanmas\u0131n\u0131n \u015fiddeti) yakla\u015fan merkez bankas\u0131 toplant\u0131lar\u0131 \u00f6ncesinde artabilir. BoE\u2019den faiz indirimi haz\u0131rl\u0131\u011f\u0131na dair bir sinyal gelmesi, sterlindeki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc h\u0131zland\u0131rabilir. Y\u00f6n\u00fcnden emin olmayan ancak sert bir hareket bekleyenler i\u00e7in \u201cstraddle\u201d gibi (ayn\u0131 vadede hem al\u0131m hem sat\u0131m opsiyonu almak; b\u00fcy\u00fck hareketten yararlanmay\u0131 hedefler) volatiliteye oynayan pozisyonlar, kritik tarihler \u00f6ncesinde dikkat \u00e7ekebilir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Fed faizleri sabit tuttu, GBP\/USD 1,3480\u2019e kayd\u0131. Dolar, g\u00fcvenli liman talebi ve ABD\u2019nin g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc verileriyle destekleniyor. BoE\u2019nin gev\u015feme sinyali sterlini bask\u0131layabilir; volatilite\/opsiyon stratejileri \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-45798","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45798","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=45798"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45798\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=45798"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=45798"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=45798"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}