GBP\/USD 1,3480 civar\u0131nda zay\u0131f kald\u0131 ve ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (Fed) faizleri de\u011fi\u015ftirmemesinin ard\u0131ndan yakla\u015f\u0131k %0,30 geriledi. Piyasalar, ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019n\u0131n y\u00f6n\u00fc i\u00e7in Fed Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Jerome Powell\u2019\u0131n bas\u0131n toplant\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 bekledi.<\/p>\n
Fed, ABD ekonomisini \u201cdayan\u0131kl\u0131\u201d olarak tan\u0131mlad\u0131 ve i\u015fsizlik oran\u0131n\u0131n son aylarda \u00e7ok az de\u011fi\u015fti\u011fini s\u00f6yledi. Enflasyonun h\u00e2l\u00e2 y\u00fcksek seyretti\u011fini belirten Fed, \u0130ran\u2019la ilgili \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalara ba\u011fl\u0131 enerji fiyatlar\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015f\u0131n enflasyon \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 yaratt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ifade etti.<\/p>\n
Yetkililer, Orta Do\u011fu\u2019daki geli\u015fmelerin ekonomik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcme belirsizlik katt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi. Fed, \u201c\u00e7ift hedefini\u201d (enflasyonu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrmek ve istihdam\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc tutmak) dengelemeyi s\u00fcrd\u00fcrece\u011fini belirtti.<\/p>\n
Karar 8\u2019e kar\u015f\u0131 4 oyla al\u0131nd\u0131. Stephen Miran faiz indirimi istedi. Beth Hammack, Neel Kashkari ve Lorie Logan ise metne \u201cgev\u015feme e\u011filimi\u201d (ileride faiz indirimi sinyali) eklenmesine kar\u015f\u0131 \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131.<\/p>\n
Powell, Kevin Warsh\u2019un haleflik s\u00fcrecinde erken bir a\u015famay\u0131 ge\u00e7ti\u011fini s\u00f6yledi. Hakk\u0131nda y\u00fcr\u00fcyen bir ceza soru\u015fturmas\u0131 sonu\u00e7lanana kadar Fed Y\u00f6netim Kurulu \u00dcyesi olarak kalmay\u0131 planlad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131, ayr\u0131ca 15 May\u0131s\u2019ta sona erecek 8 y\u0131ll\u0131k ba\u015fkanl\u0131k s\u00fcresinden sonra da g\u00f6revde kalaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtti.<\/p>\n
GBP\/USD yakla\u015f\u0131k 1,3467\u2019ye indi ve 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck basit hareketli ortalamay\u0131 test etti. Bu seviyenin alt\u0131na inilmesi 1,3400\u2019\u00fc g\u00fcndeme getirebilir. Powell\u2019\u0131n daha \u201cyumu\u015fak\u201d (faiz art\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131nda daha temkinli) bir ton kullanmas\u0131 ise pariteyi 1,3500\u2019ye ta\u015f\u0131yabilir.<\/p>\n
T\u00fcrev \u00fcr\u00fcn (opsiyon ve vadeli i\u015flemler gibi) yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan bu, ABD dolar\u0131ndaki g\u00fcc\u00fcn s\u00fcrebilece\u011fi ve oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n artabilece\u011fi bir d\u00f6neme i\u015faret ediyor. Piyasa oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6l\u00e7en VIX endeksi 12 civar\u0131ndaki diplerden 18\u2019in alt\u0131na y\u00fckselirken, \u201ckullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131\u201d (belirli fiyattan al\u0131m\/sat\u0131m hakk\u0131 veren opsiyonun hedef fiyat\u0131) mevcut seviyelerin d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda kalan al\u0131m opsiyonlar\u0131yla oynakl\u0131\u011fa pozisyon almak, ani dalgalanmalara kar\u015f\u0131 daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck maliyetli bir korunma y\u00f6ntemi olabilir. Ayr\u0131ca EUR\/USD\u2019de \u201cay\u0131 al\u0131m spreadi\u201d (bear call spread: iki farkl\u0131 kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131yla al\u0131m opsiyonu sat\u0131p\/almak; riskin ba\u015ftan s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 oldu\u011fu strateji) gibi opsiyon kombinasyonlar\u0131, daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc dolardan faydalanmak i\u00e7in riski tan\u0131ml\u0131 bir y\u00f6ntem sunabilir.<\/p>\n
GBP\/USD taraf\u0131nda ise para politikas\u0131 ayr\u0131\u015fmas\u0131 belirginle\u015fiyor. \u0130ngiltere Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (BoE) zay\u0131f i\u00e7 ekonomiyi desteklemek i\u00e7in faiz indirimini tart\u0131\u015fmas\u0131, paritede a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6n riskini art\u0131r\u0131yor. Bu nedenle \u0130ngiliz Sterlini\u2019nde uzun vadeli sat\u0131m opsiyonlar\u0131 (put: belirli fiyattan satma hakk\u0131) olas\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe kar\u015f\u0131 korunma amac\u0131yla daha \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Fed faizi sabit b\u0131rakt\u0131, GBP\/USD 1,3480\u2019de zay\u0131flay\u0131p %0,30 d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. Powell\u2019\u0131n tonu kritik: 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck ortalama k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131rsa 1,3400; g\u00fcvercin mesajla 1,3500 m\u00fcmk\u00fcn, oynakl\u0131k art\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-45795","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45795","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=45795"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45795\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=45795"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=45795"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=45795"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}