USD\/CAD \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc 1,3680 civar\u0131nda yatay seyretti. Kur, k\u0131sa s\u00fcreli 1,3710\u2019a y\u00fckseldikten sonra bir saat i\u00e7inde geri d\u00f6nd\u00fc. Parite, Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc 1,3600\u2019e yak\u0131n seviyelerden toparlanmas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan Avrupa sabah\u0131 boyunca \u00e7o\u011funlukla 40 piplik (d\u00f6viz kurlar\u0131nda k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck fiyat ad\u0131m\u0131) bantta kald\u0131.<\/p>\n
Kanada Merkez Bankas\u0131 (BoC) gecelik faiz oran\u0131n\u0131 (bankalar\u0131n bir gecelik bor\u00e7lanma faizi) beklentilere paralel \u015fekilde \u00fcst \u00fcste d\u00f6rd\u00fcnc\u00fc toplant\u0131da %2,25\u2019te sabit tuttu. Banka, Ekim 2025\u2019teki faiz indiriminin ard\u0131ndan temel senaryosunda (MPR \u2013 Para Politikas\u0131 Raporu) ham petrol\u00fcn 2027 ortas\u0131na kadar varil ba\u015f\u0131na 75 dolara d\u00f6nece\u011fini varsayd\u0131 ve faiz ad\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131n k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck olmas\u0131n\u0131n beklendi\u011fini belirtti.<\/p>\n
ABD i\u015flemleri, Ba\u015fkan Donald Trump\u2019\u0131n TS\u0130 ile sabaha kar\u015f\u0131 04:00\u2019te \u0130ran hakk\u0131nda yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 payla\u015f\u0131m\u0131n ard\u0131ndan dalgal\u0131 seyretti; ABD-\u0130ran g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeleri t\u0131kanm\u0131\u015f durumda kald\u0131. H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131 ablukas\u0131 k\u00fcresel petrol sevkiyat\u0131n\u0131n yakla\u015f\u0131k %20\u2019sini etkilerken, WTI (ABD tipi ham petrol) varil ba\u015f\u0131na 100 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Bu durum Kanada dolar\u0131n\u0131 destekleyerek USD\/CAD\u2019de y\u00fckseli\u015fi s\u0131n\u0131rlad\u0131.<\/p>\n
Dikkat daha sonra 18:00 GMT\u2019de a\u00e7\u0131klanacak ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131 (Fed) karar\u0131na \u00e7evrildi; faizin %3,50-%3,75 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda sabit kalmas\u0131 bekleniyor. 15 dakikal\u0131k grafikte USD\/CAD 1,3678\u2019deydi; g\u00fcn a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u015f\u0131 1,3677 seviyesine yak\u0131nd\u0131. Stokastik RSI (a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 al\u0131m\/a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 sat\u0131m\u0131 \u00f6l\u00e7en teknik g\u00f6sterge) yakla\u015f\u0131k 47,95 seviyesindeydi.<\/p>\n
Haberde, yapay zek\u00e2 destekli teknik analiz kullan\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve 29 Nisan 17:12 GMT tarihli bir d\u00fczeltme oldu\u011fu belirtildi.<\/p>\n
USD\/CAD\u2019de klasik bir \u201cdenge m\u00fccadelesi\u201d g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor; parite 1,3680 \u00e7evresinde dar bir bantta s\u0131k\u0131\u015f\u0131yor. \u0130ran\u2019daki gerilim petrol\u00fc 100 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerine itiyor; bu da emtiaya (ham madde) duyarl\u0131 Kanada dolar\u0131n\u0131 genelde g\u00fc\u00e7lendirir. Ancak bu etki, ABD dolar\u0131na \u201cg\u00fcvenli liman\u201d talebi (risk art\u0131nca dolara y\u00f6nelim) ve Fed\u2019in belirgin faiz \u00fcst\u00fcnl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcyle dengeleniyor.<\/p>\n
BoC\u2019nin faizi %2,25\u2019te tutmas\u0131 \u201cbekle-g\u00f6r\u201d yakla\u015f\u0131m\u0131na i\u015faret ediyor. Ge\u00e7en haftaki veriler, Kanada \u00e7ekirdek enflasyonunun (enerji ve g\u0131da gibi oynak kalemler hari\u00e7 enflasyon) beklenmedik \u015fekilde %3,1\u2019e y\u00fckseldi\u011fini g\u00f6sterdi. Bu, enerji maliyetlerinin ekonominin geneline yans\u0131maya ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret ediyor ve BoC\u2019nin \u201cg\u00fcvercin\u201d duru\u015fu (faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131na mesafeli tutum) b\u0131rak\u0131p beklenenden erken faiz art\u0131rmak zorunda kalma olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 y\u00fckseltiyor.<\/p>\n
Belirsizlik y\u00fcksek oldu\u011fu i\u00e7in yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar iki y\u00f6ne de sert hareketten faydalanan y\u00f6ntemleri de\u011ferlendirebilir. Opsiyonlarla (belirli fiyattan alma\/satma hakk\u0131 veren s\u00f6zle\u015fme) oynakl\u0131k almak; \u00f6rne\u011fin straddle (ayn\u0131 vadede ayn\u0131 fiyattan al\u0131m ve sat\u0131m opsiyonu alma) veya strangle (ayn\u0131 vadede farkl\u0131 fiyatlardan al\u0131m ve sat\u0131m opsiyonu alma) gibi stratejiler, mevcut yatay hareketten \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f i\u00e7in d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fclebilir. Z\u0131mni oynakl\u0131k (opsiyon fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n ima etti\u011fi beklenen oynakl\u0131k) y\u00fcksek, ancak hareketi tetikleyebilecek ba\u015fl\u0131klar g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc.<\/p>\n
2022\u2019deki enerji \u015foku, enflasyon kontrolden \u00e7\u0131k\u0131nca merkez bankalar\u0131n\u0131n nas\u0131l h\u0131zl\u0131 y\u00f6n de\u011fi\u015ftirebildi\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor. H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131 ablukas\u0131nda gev\u015feme i\u015fareti yok; son denizcilik verileri normal tanker trafi\u011finin %90\u2019dan fazlas\u0131n\u0131n h\u00e2l\u00e2 durdu\u011funu do\u011fruluyor. Bu arz k\u0131s\u0131t\u0131, ge\u00e7en haftaki ABD ham petrol stoklar\u0131ndaki beklenenden b\u00fcy\u00fck d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle (stok \u201c\u00e7ekili\u015fi\u201d\/azal\u0131\u015f\u0131) birle\u015fince petrol\u00fcn USD\/CAD i\u00e7in g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir kar\u015f\u0131 r\u00fczg\u00e2r olmaya devam edece\u011fi g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fc destekliyor.<\/p>\n
Di\u011fer yandan ABD dolar\u0131n\u0131n g\u00fcc\u00fc g\u00f6z ard\u0131 edilemez; Fed faizi daha y\u00fcksek bir %3,50-%3,75 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda. Bug\u00fcnk\u00fc toplant\u0131da de\u011fi\u015fiklik beklenmese de, fed funds vadeli i\u015flemleri (Fed politika faizine dair piyasa beklentisini yans\u0131tan kontratlar) Temmuz\u2019a kadar bir faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 ihtimalini %40\u2019\u0131n \u00fczerine fiyatl\u0131yor; gerek\u00e7e, ABD\u2019de kal\u0131c\u0131 enflasyon. Bu faiz fark\u0131n\u0131n a\u00e7\u0131lmas\u0131 parite i\u00e7in g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir destek zemini olu\u015fturuyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Piyasalar diken \u00fcst\u00fcnde: USD\/CAD 1,3680\u2019de s\u0131k\u0131\u015ft\u0131. BoC faizi %2,25\u2019te tuttu. \u0130ran gerilimi petrol\u00fc 100+ dolara ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131, CAD\u2019i destekledi. G\u00f6zler Fed karar\u0131nda; faiz fark\u0131 dolar\u0131 ayakta tutuyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-45784","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45784","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=45784"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45784\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=45784"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=45784"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=45784"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}