Alt\u0131n, \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc saat 18:00 GMT\u2019de a\u00e7\u0131klanacak ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131 (Fed) karar\u0131 \u00f6ncesinde yakla\u015f\u0131k bir ayl\u0131k dip seviyelere yak\u0131n i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc. XAU\/USD, 4.510 dolara kadar geriledikten sonra 4.546 dolar civar\u0131ndayd\u0131; bu hafta yakla\u015f\u0131k %3,5 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fte.<\/p>\n
Piyasalar, Fed\u2019in faizi \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc toplant\u0131da da %3,50\u2013%3,75 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda sabit tutmas\u0131n\u0131 bekliyor. Odak, Fed Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Jerome Powell\u2019\u0131n y\u00f6nlendirmesinde ve \u201cdot plot\u201dun (Fed \u00fcyelerinin gelecekteki faiz beklentilerini nokta nokta g\u00f6sterdi\u011fi grafik) h\u00e2l\u00e2 bir faiz indirimine i\u015faret edip etmedi\u011finde. CME FedWatch verilerine g\u00f6re 2026 i\u00e7in faiz indirimi beklentilerinin b\u00fcy\u00fck b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fc fiyatlardan \u00e7\u0131km\u0131\u015f durumda (yani piyasalar indirimi daha az olas\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcyor).<\/p>\n
Orta Do\u011fu gerilimlerine ba\u011fl\u0131 y\u00fckselen petrol fiyatlar\u0131, enflasyon (fiyat art\u0131\u015f h\u0131z\u0131) bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131r\u0131yor ve ABD Hazine tahvili getirilerini (tahvile yat\u0131r\u0131m\u0131n y\u0131ll\u0131k kazanc\u0131\/ faiz oran\u0131) yukar\u0131 \u00e7ekiyor. Bu durum, faiz getirisi olmayan (kupon\/ faiz \u00f6demesi yapmayan) alt\u0131na talebi zay\u0131flat\u0131rken belirsizlik ABD dolar\u0131n\u0131 destekledi.<\/p>\n
Reuters, bir Beyaz Saray yetkilisine dayand\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131 haberinde, Ba\u015fkan Donald Trump\u2019\u0131n petrol \u015firketleriyle \u0130ran\u2019a y\u00f6nelik blokaj\u0131n uzun s\u00fcre s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclmesi i\u00e7in at\u0131labilecek ad\u0131mlar\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc aktard\u0131. H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131 \u00fczerinden arz\u0131n, \u201c\u00e7ifte blokaj\u201d alt\u0131nda ciddi bi\u00e7imde aksad\u0131\u011f\u0131 belirtildi.<\/p>\n
4 saatlik grafikte alt\u0131n, yakla\u015f\u0131k 4.698\u20134.742 dolar aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda k\u00fcmelenen 200, 50 ve 100 d\u00f6nemlik SMA\u2019lar\u0131n (Basit Hareketli Ortalama: belirli d\u00f6nemdeki fiyatlar\u0131n ortalamas\u0131yla trendi g\u00f6steren teknik g\u00f6sterge) alt\u0131nda kald\u0131. RSI (14) (G\u00f6reli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi: 0-100 aras\u0131 \u00f6l\u00e7ekte momentum g\u00f6stergesi) 31\u2019e yak\u0131nd\u0131. MACD (Hareketli Ortalama Yak\u0131nsama\/Iraksama: trend ve momentum g\u00f6stergesi) negatif seyrini korudu. Diren\u00e7 4.698, 4.710 ve 4.742 dolarda, destek 4.550\u20134.500 dolar band\u0131nda.<\/p>\n
T\u00fcrev (de\u011feri ba\u015fka bir varl\u0131\u011fa ba\u011fl\u0131 finansal \u00fcr\u00fcnler) i\u015flemleri yapanlar a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan bu tablo, 2025\u2019te g\u00f6r\u00fclen y\u00fcksek \u201cimplied volatility\u201dnin (opsiyon fiyatlar\u0131na yans\u0131yan beklenen oynakl\u0131k) ortadan kalkt\u0131\u011f\u0131 anlam\u0131na geliyor. Bu durum, VIX endeksinde (piyasadaki beklenen oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00f6l\u00e7en g\u00f6sterge) 18 seviyelerine yak\u0131n sakin g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcmle de izleniyor. Bu da opsiyon al\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 ge\u00e7en y\u0131la g\u00f6re daha ucuz k\u0131l\u0131yor; alt\u0131ndaki olas\u0131 ek d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe kar\u015f\u0131 \u201cput\u201d (sat\u0131\u015f opsiyonu: belirli fiyattan satma hakk\u0131) alarak korunma, daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck maliyetli bir \u201chedge\u201d (riskten korunma) stratejisi haline geliyor. Alt\u0131n i\u00e7in ana risk art\u0131k sava\u015f de\u011fil, y\u00fcksek faizlerin kal\u0131c\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131.<\/p>\n
Fed sab\u0131rl\u0131 bir duru\u015f sinyali vermeyi s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fck\u00e7e, k\u0131sa vadeli \u201ccall\u201d (al\u0131\u015f opsiyonu: belirli fiyattan alma hakk\u0131) opsiyonlar\u0131 alt\u0131n taraf\u0131nda s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 cazibeye sahip. Bunun yerine yatay veya d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe yak\u0131n fiyat hareketinden fayda sa\u011flayan stratejiler de\u011ferlendirilebilir. \u00d6rne\u011fin, eldeki alt\u0131n pozisyonlar\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131 \u201ccovered call\u201d (elde varl\u0131k varken call satarak prim geliri elde etme) satmak gelir yaratabilir. \u201cBear call spread\u201d (d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f beklentisiyle iki farkl\u0131 kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131ndan call al\u0131m-sat\u0131m\u0131yla kurulan s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 riskli strateji) de alt\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda \u00f6nemli diren\u00e7lerin alt\u0131nda kalaca\u011f\u0131 beklentisine g\u00f6re pozisyon almak i\u00e7in kullan\u0131labilir.<\/p>\n
Canl\u0131 VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131n<\/a>\u00a0ve\u00a0i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n<\/a>. <\/b><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Kritik Fed \u00f6ncesi alt\u0131n ayl\u0131k dipte: XAU\/USD haftal\u0131k %3,5 ekside. Petrol kaynakl\u0131 enflasyon tahvil faizlerini y\u00fckseltip dolar\u0131 destekliyor. Teknikler zay\u0131f; opsiyonla ucuz hedge \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-45780","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45780","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=45780"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45780\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=45780"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=45780"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=45780"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}