Reuters\u2019in \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc, Beyaz Saray\u2019dan bir yetkiliye dayand\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131 haberine g\u00f6re ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Donald Trump, Orta Do\u011fu\u2019daki \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma s\u0131ras\u0131nda k\u00fcresel petrol piyasalar\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmek \u00fczere Chevron ve di\u011fer b\u00fcy\u00fck enerji \u015firketlerinin \u00fcst d\u00fczey y\u00f6neticileriyle bir araya geldi.<\/p>\n
Yetkili, Trump\u2019\u0131n gerekirse aylarca s\u00fcrebilecek \u0130ran ablukas\u0131n\u0131 (\u0130ran\u2019\u0131n petrol sat\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 ve finans eri\u015fimini k\u0131s\u0131tlamaya y\u00f6nelik yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar ve denetimler) s\u00fcrd\u00fcrmek i\u00e7in petrol \u015firketleriyle ad\u0131mlar\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n
Haberin ard\u0131ndan ABD Dolar Endeksi (dolar\u0131n ba\u015fl\u0131ca para birimlerine kar\u015f\u0131 de\u011ferini g\u00f6steren endeks) y\u00fckseldi ve en son 98,85 seviyesinde, g\u00fcn i\u00e7inde %0,26 art\u0131da seyretti.<\/p>\n
Trump y\u00f6netiminin enerji \u015firketleriyle do\u011frudan temas\u0131n\u0131n, \u0130ran\u2019a kar\u015f\u0131 daha sert bir tutuma i\u015faret etti\u011fi hat\u0131rlat\u0131ld\u0131. Orta Do\u011fu\u2019da yeniden artan diplomatik gerilim, k\u00fcresel petrol arz\u0131n\u0131 (piyasaya sunulan petrol miktar\u0131) bozabilecek bir risk olarak g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Bu durumun \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131 (fiyatlar\u0131n h\u0131zl\u0131 ve sert dalgalanmas\u0131) art\u0131rabilece\u011fi belirtiliyor.<\/p>\n
En do\u011frudan etkinin ham petrol t\u00fcrev \u00fcr\u00fcnlerinde (fiyat\u0131 petrol gibi bir varl\u0131\u011fa ba\u011fl\u0131 s\u00f6zle\u015fmeler; \u00f6rne\u011fin vadeli i\u015flem ve opsiyon) g\u00f6r\u00fclebilece\u011fi ifade ediliyor. Arz tehdidi fiyatlar\u0131 yukar\u0131 itebilece\u011fi i\u00e7in, WTI ham petrol opsiyonlar\u0131nda ima edilen oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n (opsiyon fiyatlar\u0131na yans\u0131yan beklenen dalgalanma) %38\u2019e \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131\u011f\u0131; 2026\u2019n\u0131n ilk \u00e7eyre\u011findeki %22 ortalamaya g\u00f6re keskin bir art\u0131\u015f oldu\u011fu belirtiliyor. Bu ortamda al\u0131m opsiyonu (call; belirli bir fiyattan alma hakk\u0131) veya al\u0131m opsiyonu spread\u2019i (farkl\u0131 kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 call\u2019lar\u0131 birlikte al\u0131p satarak riski s\u0131n\u0131rlayan strateji) ile olas\u0131 fiyat s\u0131\u00e7ramalar\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 riskle pozisyon al\u0131nabilece\u011fi s\u00f6yleniyor.<\/p>\n
Jeopolitik gerilimin enerji sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fc de destekledi\u011fi; \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc daha y\u00fcksek ham petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n \u00fcreticilerin gelirini art\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131 ifade ediliyor. Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLE) adl\u0131 enerji sekt\u00f6r\u00fc borsa yat\u0131r\u0131m fonunun (ETF; endeks\/sekt\u00f6r sepetini izleyen i\u015flem g\u00f6ren fon) bu ay %6\u2019n\u0131n \u00fczerinde y\u00fckselerek S&P 500\u2019\u00fc geride b\u0131rakt\u0131\u011f\u0131 aktar\u0131l\u0131yor. Chevron (CVX) gibi hisselerde opsiyon kullan\u0131larak da bu trendin de\u011ferlendirilebilece\u011fi belirtiliyor; zira petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n uzun s\u00fcre y\u00fcksek kalmas\u0131ndan fayda sa\u011flayabilecekleri ifade ediliyor.<\/p>\n
Ayr\u0131ca belirsizlik d\u00f6nemlerinde \u201cg\u00fcvenli liman\u201d (riskten ka\u00e7\u0131\u015fta tercih edilen varl\u0131k) olarak g\u00f6r\u00fclen ABD dolar\u0131n\u0131n g\u00fc\u00e7lenebilece\u011fi belirtiliyor. ABD Dolar Endeksi\u2019nin (DXY) 106,00 seviyesini bu y\u0131l ilk kez a\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131; bunun ABD piyasalar\u0131na sermaye ak\u0131\u015f\u0131yla ilgili bir tepki oldu\u011fu ifade ediliyor. Petrol ithalat\u00e7\u0131s\u0131 \u00fclkelerin para birimlerine kar\u015f\u0131 dolarda uzun pozisyonun (fiyat art\u0131\u015f\u0131 bekleyerek al\u0131m y\u00f6n\u00fcnde pozisyon) iyi performans g\u00f6sterebilece\u011fi belirtiliyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Petrol piyasalar\u0131nda f\u0131rt\u0131na m\u0131 kopuyor? Trump, Orta Do\u011fu gerilimi s\u00fcrerken Chevron ve devlerle \u0130ran ablukas\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc; dolar g\u00fc\u00e7lendi, petrol opsiyon oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131 %38\u2019e \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131, enerji hisseleri \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-45767","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45767","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=45767"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45767\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=45767"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=45767"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=45767"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}