AUD\/USD paritesi ikinci g\u00fcn de geriledi ve \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc Avrupa i\u015flemlerinde 0,7160 civar\u0131nda seyretti. D\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fte, ABD\u2019nin \u0130ran\u2019a y\u00f6nelik ablukay\u0131 (gemilerin \u0130ran limanlar\u0131na giri\u015f\u2011\u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 k\u0131s\u0131tlayan deniz\/liman engeli) uzatabilece\u011fine dair haberlerin tetikledi\u011fi \u201cg\u00fcvenli liman\u201d (risk art\u0131nca yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131n\u0131n y\u00f6neldi\u011fi daha g\u00fcvenli g\u00f6r\u00fclen varl\u0131k) talebiyle ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019n\u0131n g\u00fc\u00e7lenmesi etkili oldu.<\/p>\n
Wall Street Journal\u2019a g\u00f6re ABD\u2019li yetkililer, Ba\u015fkan Donald Trump\u2019\u0131n ekibine \u0130ran\u2019a y\u00f6nelik daha uzun bir ablukaya haz\u0131rl\u0131k yap\u0131lmas\u0131 talimat\u0131 verdi\u011fini aktard\u0131. Haberde, hedefin \u0130ran limanlar\u0131na gidi\u015f\u2011geli\u015f yapan ta\u015f\u0131mac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rlayarak \u0130ran ekonomisi ve petrol ihracat\u0131 \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 kurmak oldu\u011fu; yeniden bombard\u0131mana ba\u015flamak veya geri ad\u0131m atmak gibi se\u00e7eneklerin daha riskli g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc belirtildi.<\/p>\n
ABD Dolar\u0131 ayr\u0131ca, ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (Fed) \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcnk\u00fc Nisan toplant\u0131s\u0131nda faizleri sabit tutaca\u011f\u0131 beklentisiyle destek buldu. Piyasalar, politika faizi band\u0131n\u0131n (federal fon hedef aral\u0131\u011f\u0131: bankalar\u0131n birbirine gecelik bor\u00e7 verme faizi i\u00e7in belirlenen hedef aral\u0131k) \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc kez \u00fcst \u00fcste %3,50\u2013%3,75\u2019te kalmas\u0131n\u0131 bekliyor.<\/p>\n
Avustralya Dolar\u0131, beklenenden daha zay\u0131f enflasyon verisi sonras\u0131 geriledi. Avustralya \u0130statistik B\u00fcrosu (ABS) verisine g\u00f6re y\u0131ll\u0131k T\u00dcFE (CPI: t\u00fcketici fiyat endeksi, t\u00fcketicinin \u00f6dedi\u011fi fiyatlar\u0131n genel de\u011fi\u015fimi) Mart\u2019ta \u015eubat\u2019taki %3,7\u2019den %4,6\u2019ya y\u00fckseldi; beklenti %4,7 idi. Ayl\u0131k T\u00dcFE ise %0\u2019dan sonra %1,1 artt\u0131.<\/p>\n
Ancak kay\u0131plar s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kalabilir; \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar Avustralya Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (RBA) May\u0131s\u2019ta faiz art\u0131rabilece\u011fini fiyatl\u0131yor. Bu beklenti, s\u0131k\u0131 i\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fc piyasas\u0131 (i\u015f bulman\u0131n zor, \u00fccret bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fcksek oldu\u011fu d\u00f6nem) ve 2025\u2019in sonlar\u0131nda beklenenden g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyle ili\u015fkilendiriliyor.<\/p>\n
Geni\u015fleyen politika ayr\u0131\u015fmas\u0131 (Fed ve RBA\u2019n\u0131n farkl\u0131 y\u00f6nde\/\u015fiddette hareket etmesi) ve zay\u0131flayan Avustralya verileri nedeniyle yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar, AUD\/USD\u2019de mevcut 0,6550 seviyesinden a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcn s\u00fcrebilece\u011fini hesaba katabilir. Haziran ve Temmuz vadeli (vade: s\u00f6zle\u015fmenin sona erdi\u011fi tarih) 0,6400 kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 \u201cput\u201d opsiyonlar\u0131 (put: belirli fiyattan satma hakk\u0131 veren opsiyon) almak, riskin \u00f6nceden belli oldu\u011fu \u015fekilde olas\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015ften yararlanma imk\u00e2n\u0131 sunar. E\u011filim, Fed RBA\u2019ya g\u00f6re daha \u201c\u015fahin\u201d kald\u0131k\u00e7a (\u015fahin: enflasyonla m\u00fccadele i\u00e7in daha y\u00fcksek faizi savunan) daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ABD Dolar\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcnde.<\/p>\n
Bununla birlikte yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar, jeopolitik riskler nedeniyle y\u00fckselen \u201cima edilen oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131\u201d (implied volatility: opsiyon fiyatlar\u0131na g\u00f6re piyasan\u0131n bekledi\u011fi dalgalanma) izlemeli. Put almak fazla pahal\u0131 h\u00e2le gelirse, 0,6650 civar\u0131nda \u00fcst s\u0131n\u0131r\u0131 olan \u201ccall spread\u201d sat\u0131\u015f\u0131 (call spread: farkl\u0131 kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 iki al\u0131m opsiyonuyla kurulan, kazanc\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 strateji) alternatif olabilir. Bu strateji, paritenin yatay kalmas\u0131 ya da d\u00fc\u015fmesi halinde kazand\u0131rabilir ve y\u00fcksek opsiyon primlerinden (opsiyon primi: opsiyonun bedeli) faydalan\u0131r.<\/p>\n
Canl\u0131 VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturun<\/a>\u00a0ve\u00a0hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n<\/a>. <\/b><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" AUD\/USD ikinci g\u00fcn d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fte: \u0130ran ablukas\u0131 haberleriyle g\u00fcvenli liman talebi Dolar\u2019\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lendirdi, zay\u0131f Avustralya enflasyonu AUD\u2019u bask\u0131lad\u0131. RBA faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 umudu kayb\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rlayabilir, opsiyon stratejileri g\u00fcndemde.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-45739","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45739","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=45739"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45739\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=45739"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=45739"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=45739"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}