GBP\/USD paritesi, \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc Asya i\u015flemlerinde \u00f6nceki g\u00fcnk\u00fc s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kay\u0131plar\u0131n ard\u0131ndan 1,3520 civar\u0131nda hafif y\u00fckseldi. G\u00fcnl\u00fck grafikte y\u00fckselen bir kanal\u0131n alt band\u0131na yak\u0131n seyrediyor; bu durum, a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f riskine i\u015faret edebilir.<\/p>\n
Parite, 9 g\u00fcnl\u00fck **\u00dcstel Hareketli Ortalama (EMA)** ve 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck EMA\u2019n\u0131n \u00fczerinde i\u015flem g\u00f6rmeyi s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcyor. (**EMA**, son fiyatlara daha fazla a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131k vererek trendi izleyen bir ortalamad\u0131r.) 14 g\u00fcnl\u00fck **G\u00f6reli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi (RSI)** 56\u2019ya yak\u0131n. (**RSI**, fiyat hareketinin h\u0131z\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6l\u00e7en g\u00f6stergedir; 50 \u00fczeri yukar\u0131 e\u011filime, a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 al\u0131m b\u00f6lgesi ise genelde 70 \u00fcst\u00fcne i\u015faret eder.) Bu seviye, yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc momentumun s\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc ancak a\u015f\u0131r\u0131ya ka\u00e7mad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p>\n
Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc GBP\/USD %0,12 geriledi ve 1,3520 civar\u0131nda kapanarak 1,3500 \u00e7evresindeki yatay bantta (konsolidasyon) kald\u0131. G\u00fcn i\u00e7inde 1,3465 ile 1,3580 aras\u0131nda yakla\u015f\u0131k 115 pip hareket etti; erken saatlerdeki y\u00fckseli\u015fler zay\u0131flad\u0131, ard\u0131ndan dipten toparlanma g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc. (Pip, kurda en k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck fiyat ad\u0131m\u0131d\u0131r.)<\/p>\n
Piyasalar, Per\u015fembe 11:00 UTC\u2019de a\u00e7\u0131klanacak **\u0130ngiltere Merkez Bankas\u0131 (BoE)** karar\u0131na odaklanm\u0131\u015f durumda. **Politika faizi (Bank Rate)** i\u00e7in beklenti %3,75\u2019te sabit kalmas\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcnde. **Para Politikas\u0131 Kurulu (MPC)** oylamas\u0131n\u0131n ise \u00f6nceki 9-0-0 \u201csabit\u201d karar\u0131na k\u0131yasla 8-1-0 olmas\u0131 bekleniyor. (Bu da\u011f\u0131l\u0131m, ka\u00e7 \u00fcyenin \u201csabit\u201d, \u201cart\u0131\u015f\u201d ya da \u201cindirim\u201d y\u00f6n\u00fcnde oy verdi\u011fini g\u00f6sterir.)<\/p>\n
**Para Politikas\u0131 Raporu** ve Ba\u015fkan Bailey\u2019nin bas\u0131n toplant\u0131s\u0131 11:30 UTC\u2019de yap\u0131lacak. MPC \u00fcyesi Pill\u2019in konu\u015fmas\u0131 Cuma 11:15 UTC\u2019de planlan\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
Bu de\u011fi\u015fimin ana nedeni, 2025 sonu ve 2026 ba\u015f\u0131nda merkez bankas\u0131 politikalar\u0131n\u0131n farkl\u0131la\u015fmas\u0131 oldu. BoE, faizleri bir s\u00fcre daha art\u0131rd\u0131ktan sonra b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi zay\u0131f ekonomiyi desteklemek i\u00e7in son d\u00f6nemde faiz indirimlerine ba\u015flad\u0131 ve politika faizini %5,25\u2019e \u00e7ekti. Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131 (**Fed**), daha dayan\u0131kl\u0131 gelen veriler nedeniyle %5,00 seviyesini koruyarak indirim konusunda daha temkinli kald\u0131.<\/p>\n
Ulusal \u0130statistik Ofisi verilerine g\u00f6re \u0130ngiltere\u2019de enflasyon %2,8 seviyesinde. Zirvelerden gerilese de h\u00e2l\u00e2 %2 hedefinin \u00fczerinde. Bu tablo, belirsizli\u011fi art\u0131r\u0131yor; piyasa y\u0131l sonuna kadar BoE\u2019den en az iki ek faiz indirimi bekliyor. Bu beklenti Sterlin \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 kuruyor ve paritede a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcn daha olas\u0131 oldu\u011funu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnd\u00fcr\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n
\u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar, Sterlin\u2019in dolar kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda zay\u0131flamas\u0131n\u0131n s\u00fcrebilece\u011fi senaryosuna g\u00f6re pozisyon almay\u0131 de\u011ferlendirebilir. GBP\/USD i\u00e7in **sat\u0131m opsiyonu (put)** almak, d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015ften do\u011frudan faydalanman\u0131n bir yoludur. (Put opsiyonu, belirli bir tarihe kadar belirli bir fiyattan satma hakk\u0131 verir.) **Ay\u0131 put spreadi (bear put spread)** gibi stratejiler de kullan\u0131labilir; bu yakla\u015f\u0131m ba\u015flang\u0131\u00e7 maliyetini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fcr ve riskin s\u0131n\u0131r\u0131n\u0131 ba\u015ftan belirler. (Spread, ayn\u0131 vadede farkl\u0131 kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 iki opsiyonun birlikte al\u0131nmas\u0131\/sat\u0131lmas\u0131d\u0131r.)<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Sterlin\/dolar 1,3520\u2019de tutunuyor ama y\u00fckselen kanal alt band\u0131 alarm veriyor. BoE karar\u0131 ve MPC oylamas\u0131 kritik. Fed\u2019in temkini, BoE indirim beklentisi bask\u0131 yarat\u0131yor; put stratejileri \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-45727","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45727","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=45727"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45727\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=45727"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=45727"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=45727"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}