AUD\/USD, sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fcn\u00fc neredeyse de\u011fi\u015fmeden yakla\u015f\u0131k 0,7180 seviyesinde kapatt\u0131. Parite 0,7130 ile 0,7200 aras\u0131nda 70 piplik (kurda 0,0070\u2019lik hareket; d\u00f6viz piyasas\u0131nda k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck fiyat ad\u0131m\u0131) bantta dalgaland\u0131. Avrupa seans\u0131n\u0131n erken saatlerinde 0,7200 g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc, ard\u0131ndan \u00e7ar\u015famba g\u00fcnk\u00fc enflasyon verileri \u00f6ncesinde yeniden 0,7180\u2019e geri \u00e7ekildi.<\/p>\n
Avustralya\u2019n\u0131n T\u00fcketici Fiyat Endeksi (T\u00dcFE; t\u00fcketicilerin \u00f6dedi\u011fi fiyatlar\u0131n genel art\u0131\u015f\u0131) \u00e7ar\u015famba 01:30 UTC\u2019de a\u00e7\u0131klanacak. Man\u015fet T\u00dcFE\u2019nin (toplam enflasyon) mart i\u00e7in y\u0131ll\u0131k %4,7\u2019ye, %3,7\u2019den y\u00fckselmesi bekleniyor. Merkez bankas\u0131n\u0131n olas\u0131 ad\u0131mlar\u0131na i\u015faret etmesi nedeniyle K\u0131rp\u0131lm\u0131\u015f Ortalama T\u00dcFE (Trimmed Mean; a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 y\u00fckselen\/d\u00fc\u015fen kalemler \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131larak hesaplanan \u00e7ekirdek enflasyon g\u00f6stergesi) de yak\u0131ndan izlenecek.<\/p>\n
ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131 (Fed) karar\u0131 \u00e7ar\u015famba 18:00 UTC\u2019de a\u00e7\u0131klanacak. Politika faizinin %3,50\u2013%3,75 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda sabit kalmas\u0131 bekleniyor. Piyasalar\u0131n oda\u011f\u0131nda enflasyonla ilgili y\u00f6nlendirme var. H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019ndaki (k\u00fcresel petrol ta\u015f\u0131mac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in kritik ge\u00e7i\u015f) aksamaya ba\u011fl\u0131 petrol kaynakl\u0131 maliyet bask\u0131lar\u0131 \u00f6zellikle izleniyor. Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131klanacak ISM \u0130malat PMI (sat\u0131n alma y\u00f6neticileri endeksi; imalatta faaliyetin g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc\/zay\u0131f oldu\u011funu g\u00f6steren \u00f6nc\u00fc anket verisi) da takvimde.<\/p>\n
15 dakikal\u0131k grafikte parite 0,7180 civar\u0131nda ve g\u00fcn a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u015f\u0131 olan 0,7191\u2019in alt\u0131nda; bu seviye diren\u00e7 (y\u00fckseli\u015fin zorland\u0131\u011f\u0131 b\u00f6lge) olarak \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. Stokastik RSI (momentum g\u00f6stergesi; a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 al\u0131m\/a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 sat\u0131\u015f b\u00f6lgelerini izler) 15\u2019e yak\u0131n. G\u00fcnl\u00fck grafikte fiyat 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck EMA (\u00fcstel hareketli ortalama; son fiyatlara daha fazla a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131k veren ortalama) 0,7041\u2019in ve 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck EMA 0,6800\u2019\u00fcn \u00fczerinde. G\u00fcnl\u00fck Stokastik RSI ise 79 civar\u0131nda.<\/p>\n
AUD\/USD\u2019deki mevcut durgunluk, s\u0131k\u0131\u015fman\u0131n (dar bantta yatay hareket) sert bir harekete zemin haz\u0131rlayabilece\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor. Bu t\u00fcr sakin d\u00f6nemler, \u00e7o\u011fu zaman belirgin bir k\u0131r\u0131lman\u0131n (fiyat\u0131n bant d\u0131\u015f\u0131na \u00e7\u0131k\u0131p h\u0131zlanmas\u0131) \u00f6ncesinde g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcr.<\/p>\n
Avustralya\u2019n\u0131n \u00e7eyreklik T\u00dcFE verisi izleniyor. Enflasyonun y\u0131ll\u0131k %3,9 ile kal\u0131c\u0131 seyretti\u011fi ve Avustralya Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (RBA) hedefinin \u00fczerinde kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Bu hafta benzer bir sonu\u00e7, Avustralya dolar\u0131nda h\u0131zl\u0131 bir y\u00fckseli\u015fi tetikleyebilir. Bu zeminde, y\u00fckseli\u015f y\u00f6nl\u00fc pozisyon almak i\u00e7in al\u0131m opsiyonlar\u0131 (call; belirli fiyattan alma hakk\u0131 veren t\u00fcrev \u00fcr\u00fcn) tercih edilebilir.<\/p>\n
Paritenin di\u011fer taraf\u0131nda Fed\u2019in duru\u015fu belirsizlik yarat\u0131yor. Fed fonlama faizi (bankalararas\u0131 gecelik hedef faiz) y\u00fcksek kalarak s\u0131k\u0131 duru\u015fu g\u00f6steriyor. \u00c7ekirdek PCE enflasyonu (Fed\u2019in izledi\u011fi, enerji ve g\u0131da hari\u00e7 enflasyon \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcm\u00fc) %2,9 seviyesinde. Ba\u015fkan\u2019\u0131n \u015fahin (faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131\/s\u0131k\u0131 politika yanl\u0131s\u0131) mesajlar\u0131 ABD dolar\u0131n\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lendirebilir. Bu iki y\u00f6nl\u00fc risk, a\u00e7\u0131klamalar \u00f6ncesinde y\u00f6nl\u00fc i\u015flem almay\u0131 zorla\u015ft\u0131r\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
Her iki merkez bankas\u0131ndan gelen \u00f6nemli veri\/karar riski nedeniyle z\u0131mni oynakl\u0131k (opsiyon fiyatlar\u0131na yans\u0131yan beklenen dalgalanma) y\u00fckseliyor. Y\u00f6n tahmini yapmadan b\u00fcy\u00fck hareketi yakalamak isteyenler i\u00e7in uzun straddle (ayn\u0131 vadede ayn\u0131 kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131ndan al\u0131m + sat\u0131m opsiyonu alma) veya strangle (ayn\u0131 vadede farkl\u0131 kullan\u0131m fiyatlar\u0131ndan al\u0131m + sat\u0131m opsiyonu alma) stratejileri \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kabilir.<\/p>\n
Parite \u015fu anda 0,6750 civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcrken, izlenecek ana destek (d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fte al\u0131mlar\u0131n geldi\u011fi seviye) 0,6680 civar\u0131ndaki 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck hareketli ortalama. Bu seviyenin korunmas\u0131 k\u0131sa vadeli y\u00fckseli\u015f e\u011filiminin devam\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan \u00f6nemli. Deste\u011fin alt\u0131na sarkma, daha belirgin bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe i\u015faret edebilir ve zarar durdur (stop-loss; belirli seviyede otomatik sat\u0131\u015f emri) emirlerini tetikleyebilir.<\/p>\n
Canl\u0131 VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturun<\/a>\u00a0ve\u00a0hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n<\/a>. <\/b><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" AUD\/USD\u2019de kritik saatler: Parite 0,7180\u2019de s\u0131k\u0131\u015ft\u0131; \u00e7ar\u015famba Avustralya T\u00dcFE ve Fed karar\u0131 k\u0131r\u0131lmay\u0131 tetikleyebilir. Volatilite art\u0131yor; opsiyonlarda straddle\/strangle, teknikte 0,7191 diren\u00e7, 0,6680 destek izleniyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-45703","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45703","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=45703"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45703\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=45703"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=45703"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=45703"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}