{"id":45699,"date":"2026-04-29T03:20:36","date_gmt":"2026-04-29T03:20:36","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/iran-ablukasi-riskinin-artmasiyla-petrol-100-dolara-yaklasti\/"},"modified":"2026-04-29T03:20:36","modified_gmt":"2026-04-29T03:20:36","slug":"iran-ablukasi-riskinin-artmasiyla-petrol-100-dolara-yaklasti","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/analysis\/iran-ablukasi-riskinin-artmasiyla-petrol-100-dolara-yaklasti\/","title":{"rendered":"\u0130ran ablukas\u0131 riskinin artmas\u0131yla petrol 100 dolara yakla\u015ft\u0131"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/9\/2026\/05\/Oil3-1024x573.webp\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-47960\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>\u00d6ne \u00c7\u0131kanlar<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>CL-OIL 99,194 seviyesinde i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc; 2,582 puan (y\u00fczde 2,67) y\u00fckseldi. Seans i\u00e7inde 100,684 ile zirveyi g\u00f6rd\u00fc.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Haziran vadeli Brent ham petrol <em>vadeli i\u015flemleri<\/em> (belirli bir tarihte teslim i\u00e7in bug\u00fcnden fiyat \u00fczerinden yap\u0131lan s\u00f6zle\u015fme) 52 sent (y\u00fczde 0,47) artarak 01.54 GMT\u2019de varil ba\u015f\u0131na 111,78 dolara \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131; sekizinci g\u00fcn \u00fcst \u00fcste y\u00fckseldi.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Haziran vadeli WTI (ABD tipi) 57 sent (y\u00fczde 0,57) y\u00fckselerek varil ba\u015f\u0131na 100,50 dolara \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. \u00d6nceki seansta y\u00fczde 3,7 artm\u0131\u015ft\u0131.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>API (American Petroleum Institute\/Amerikan Petrol Enstit\u00fcs\u00fc) verilerine g\u00f6re ABD ham petrol stoklar\u0131 24 Nisan\u2019da biten haftada 1,79 milyon varil azald\u0131. Benzin stoklar\u0131 8,47 milyon varil, distilat \u00fcr\u00fcn (dizel\/kalorifer yak\u0131t\u0131 gibi) stoklar\u0131 2,60 milyon varil geriledi.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity is-style-dots\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p>Petrol fiyatlar\u0131, ABD\u2019nin \u0130ran limanlar\u0131na y\u00f6nelik ablukay\u0131 uzataca\u011f\u0131na dair haberlerin ard\u0131ndan \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc birka\u00e7 g\u00fcnd\u00fcr s\u00fcren y\u00fckseli\u015fini s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fc. Bu ad\u0131m, Orta Do\u011fu kaynakl\u0131 arz kesintilerinin piyasalar\u0131n birka\u00e7 g\u00fcn \u00f6nce fiyatlad\u0131\u011f\u0131ndan daha uzun s\u00fcrebilece\u011fi endi\u015fesini art\u0131rd\u0131.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>ABD\u2019li yetkililere dayand\u0131r\u0131lan haberlere g\u00f6re ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Donald Trump, \u0130ran\u2019a y\u00f6nelik ablukan\u0131n uzat\u0131lmas\u0131 i\u00e7in haz\u0131rl\u0131k yap\u0131lmas\u0131 talimat\u0131 verdi. Plan, \u0130ran limanlar\u0131na gidi\u015f-geli\u015f deniz ta\u015f\u0131mac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 engelleyerek \u00fclkenin ekonomisini ve petrol ihracat\u0131n\u0131 daha fazla s\u0131k\u0131\u015ft\u0131rmay\u0131 hedefliyor. Haziran vadeli Brent ham petrol vadeli i\u015flemleri 52 sent (y\u00fczde 0,47) art\u0131\u015fla 01.54 GMT\u2019de varil ba\u015f\u0131na 111,78 dolara y\u00fckselerek sekizinci g\u00fcn \u00fcst \u00fcste de\u011fer kazand\u0131.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Even as Wall Street bets on oil staying above $100 amid dwindling stockpiles and a near-shuttered Strait of Hormuz, some traders are buying options to hedge against a sudden US-Iran deescalation <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/zcXtTW3SIC\">https:\/\/t.co\/zcXtTW3SIC<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Bloomberg (@business) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/business\/status\/2049193637490114750?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">April 28, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Haziran kontrat\u0131 (vade ay\u0131: haziran teslimi) Per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc sona eriyor. Daha \u00e7ok i\u015flem g\u00f6ren temmuz kontrat\u0131 ise y\u00fczde 0,4 art\u0131\u015fla 104,84 dolardan i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc. Haziran vadeli WTI 57 sent (y\u00fczde 0,57) artarak 100,50 dolara \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131; \u00f6nceki seansta y\u00fczde 3,7 y\u00fckselmi\u015fti. WTI son sekiz g\u00fcn\u00fcn yedisinde y\u00fckseldi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Bu tablo piyasay\u0131 \u201chaber ak\u0131\u015f\u0131na\u201d daha duyarl\u0131 hale getiriyor. Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar yaln\u0131zca mevcut arz kayb\u0131na tepki vermiyor; ablukayla birlikte sevkiyat gecikmeleri, sigorta maliyetlerinde art\u0131\u015f, navlun farklar\u0131n\u0131n a\u00e7\u0131lmas\u0131 (ta\u015f\u0131ma \u00fccretlerinde b\u00f6lge\/rota kaynakl\u0131 fiyat farklar\u0131n\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi) ve stoklar\u0131n daha h\u0131zl\u0131 erimesi olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 da fiyatl\u0131yor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Trump ablukay\u0131 uzat\u0131rsa, arz kesintileri a\u011f\u0131rla\u015fabilir ve ham petrol fiyatlar\u0131 \u00fczerinde yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bask\u0131 s\u00fcrebilir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">H\u00fcrm\u00fcz, Arz \u015eokunu G\u00fcndemde Tutuyor<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>ABD-\u0130srail ile \u0130ran aras\u0131ndaki sava\u015fta ilan edilen ate\u015fkes, net bir bar\u0131\u015f s\u00fcreci yaratm\u0131\u015f de\u011fil. \u0130ki taraf da \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131 resmen bitirecek ko\u015fullar \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 kurarken s\u00fcre\u00e7 kilitlenmi\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. \u0130ran, H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131 \u00fczerinden deniz ta\u015f\u0131mac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rlamay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcrken ABD de \u0130ran limanlar\u0131na y\u00f6nelik ablukay\u0131 koruyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Trump said Iran has asked the US to lift a naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz while the two sides negotiate an end to the two-month war, which has upended global energy supplies <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/Z9WQ7x3ajm\">https:\/\/t.co\/Z9WQ7x3ajm<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Bloomberg (@business) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/business\/status\/2049200652211847596?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">April 28, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>H\u00fcrm\u00fcz, d\u00fcnyadaki en kritik enerji ge\u00e7i\u015f noktalar\u0131ndan (dar bo\u011faz) biri. K\u00fcresel petrol ve LNG\u2019nin (s\u0131v\u0131la\u015ft\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f do\u011fal gaz: gaz\u0131n -162\u00b0C civar\u0131nda s\u0131v\u0131 hale getirilip gemiyle ta\u015f\u0131nmas\u0131) yakla\u015f\u0131k y\u00fczde 20\u2019si bu bo\u011fazdan ge\u00e7iyor. IEA (Uluslararas\u0131 Enerji Ajans\u0131), 2025\u2019te H\u00fcrm\u00fcz\u2019den ge\u00e7en LNG miktar\u0131n\u0131n 112 bcm\u2019yi (milyar metrek\u00fcp) biraz a\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131; bunun k\u00fcresel LNG ticaretinin yakla\u015f\u0131k y\u00fczde 20\u2019sine denk geldi\u011fini belirtti. Mevcut s\u0131v\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rma tesisleriyle Katar veya BAE\u2019nin (Birle\u015fik Arap Emirlikleri) k\u00fcresel LNG pazarlar\u0131na alternatif bir rotadan sevkiyat yapmas\u0131 m\u00fcmk\u00fcn de\u011fil.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>ABD, \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n \u201cn\u00fckleer silah program\u0131\u201d olarak tan\u0131mlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 faaliyetlerin sona ermesini istiyor. \u0130ran ise son \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma turu i\u00e7in tazminat, ekonomik yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n hafifletilmesi ve H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131 \u00fczerinde bir t\u00fcr kontrol talep ediyor. Bu mesafe, petrol\u00fc diplomatik ba\u015fl\u0131klara kar\u015f\u0131 k\u0131r\u0131lgan tutuyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan bu, tek ba\u015f\u0131na ate\u015fkesin yeterli olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 anlam\u0131na geliyor. Ham petrol\u00fcn rahatlamas\u0131 i\u00e7in askeri hareketlili\u011fin azalmas\u0131ndan \u00e7ok, deniz trafi\u011finin ger\u00e7ekten normale d\u00f6nd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcne dair i\u015faretler gerekiyor. Aksi halde her ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131z m\u00fczakere, Brent ve WTI fiyatlar\u0131na ek bir \u201crisk primi\u201d (belirsizlik nedeniyle fiyat\u0131n \u00fczerine eklenen pay) olarak yans\u0131yabilir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Stoklardaki D\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f Piyasay\u0131 S\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131r\u0131yor<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Arz taraf\u0131ndaki hik\u00e2ye stoklarda da g\u00f6r\u00fclmeye ba\u015flad\u0131. Piyasa kaynaklar\u0131na g\u00f6re API, ABD ham petrol stoklar\u0131n\u0131n ikinci haftada da d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc bildirdi. 24 Nisan\u2019da biten haftada ham petrol stoklar\u0131 1,79 milyon varil azald\u0131. Benzin stoklar\u0131 8,47 milyon varil, distilat \u00fcr\u00fcn stoklar\u0131 2,60 milyon varil geriledi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Bu veriler petrol i\u00e7in yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc beklentiyi g\u00fc\u00e7lendiriyor. Ham petroldeki stok d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc arz\u0131n s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret eder. Benzinde sert d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f, yaz s\u00fcr\u00fc\u015f sezonu \u00f6ncesi yak\u0131t taraf\u0131nda bask\u0131n\u0131n artabilece\u011fini g\u00f6sterir. Distilat d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc ise dizel, ta\u015f\u0131mac\u0131l\u0131k, sanayi ve \u0131s\u0131nma ba\u011flant\u0131l\u0131 talepte gerginli\u011fi art\u0131r\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">American imports of used cooking oil from China are set to accelerate as increased US biofuel-blending requirements kick in and the Iran war drives up energy costs, making the feedstock a relative bargain <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/KODciyfL9e\">https:\/\/t.co\/KODciyfL9e<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Bloomberg (@business) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/business\/status\/2049225368498770027?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">April 28, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Piyasa, yeni bir stok d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fc H\u00fcrm\u00fcz\u2019deki kapanman\u0131n sistemden varil \u00e7ekti\u011finin teyidi olarak g\u00f6rebilir. Resmi veriler (\u00f6r. EIA\/ABD Enerji Enformasyon \u0130daresi) API e\u011filimini do\u011frularsa, geri \u00e7ekilmelerde fiyatlar daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc destek bulabilir. Tersi olur ve stoklarda s\u00fcrpriz art\u0131\u015f gelirse, sert y\u00fckseli\u015fin ard\u0131ndan k\u00e2r sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fclebilir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Enflasyon Riski Di\u011fer Varl\u0131klara Yay\u0131l\u0131yor<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Petrol\u00fcn 100 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerinde kalmas\u0131, piyasa g\u00fcndemini de\u011fi\u015ftirir. Daha y\u00fcksek ham petrol; ula\u015f\u0131m, \u00fcretim ve enerji maliyetlerini art\u0131rabilir, akaryak\u0131t fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 yukar\u0131 \u00e7ekebilir. Talep zay\u0131flamaya ba\u015flasa bile bu durum enflasyonun (genel fiyat art\u0131\u015f\u0131) d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fc yava\u015flatabilir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>D\u00fcnya Bankas\u0131, Orta Do\u011fu\u2019daki sava\u015f nedeniyle 2026\u2019da enerji fiyatlar\u0131nda y\u00fczde 24\u2019l\u00fck s\u0131\u00e7rama \u00f6ng\u00f6rd\u00fc. Kurum ayr\u0131ca \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma s\u00fcrer ya da derinle\u015firse Brent\u2019in 115 dolara y\u00fckselebilece\u011fini; geli\u015fmekte olan ekonomilerde enflasyonun ortalama y\u00fczde 5,1 olabilece\u011fini, s\u00fcre\u00e7 uzarsa y\u00fczde 5,8\u2019e \u00e7\u0131kabilece\u011fini tahmin etti.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">The shock decision by the United Arab Emirates to quit OPEC blindsided its partners of six decades. Now the cartel will have to fight to stay relevant in a fast-shifting global oil market. <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/MOaps1uR59\">https:\/\/t.co\/MOaps1uR59<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Bloomberg (@business) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/business\/status\/2049259908738974062?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">April 28, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Bu da ham petrol\u00fcn etkisini geni\u015fletiyor. Kal\u0131c\u0131 bir petrol y\u00fckseli\u015fi enerji hisselerini destekleyebilir; ancak havayollar\u0131, lojistik \u015firketleri ve t\u00fcketici hisseleri \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 yaratabilir. Ayr\u0131ca yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (Fed) para politikas\u0131n\u0131 daha uzun s\u00fcre s\u0131k\u0131 tutaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcrse, ABD dolar\u0131n\u0131 da destekleyebilir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Her petrol y\u00fckseli\u015fi an\u0131nda borsay\u0131 olumsuz etkilemek zorunda de\u011fil. Ancak y\u00fckseli\u015f g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc b\u00fcy\u00fcmeden \u00e7ok arz riskinden kaynaklan\u0131yorsa, hisse yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131 genelde daha temkinli olur. Petrol y\u00fckselirken merkez bankalar\u0131 enflasyona kar\u015f\u0131 dikkatli bir dil kullan\u0131yorsa, risk i\u015ftah\u0131 (yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n riskli varl\u0131klara y\u00f6nelme iste\u011fi) zay\u0131flayabilir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Teknik Analiz<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>CL-OIL 99,20 civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcyor. Son diplerden g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc toparlanarak, bir s\u00fcre yatay seyrin (konsolidasyon: fiyat\u0131n dar bantta gidip gelmesi) ard\u0131ndan k\u0131sa vadeli band\u0131n \u00fcst b\u00f6lgesine d\u00f6nmeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131yor. Hareket, 119,40 zirvesinden gelen d\u00fczeltmenin (geri \u00e7ekilme) ard\u0131ndan geldi. Fiyat \u015fimdi 100 seviyesinin hemen alt\u0131nda yeniden ivme ar\u0131yor. 100 seviyesi psikolojik e\u015fiktir; yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n s\u0131k izledi\u011fi \u201cyuvarlak\u201d bir d\u00fczey oldu\u011fu i\u00e7in al\u0131m-sat\u0131m ilgisi artabilir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Teknik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcmde k\u0131sa vadede yeniden yukar\u0131 y\u00f6n g\u00fc\u00e7leniyor. Fiyat, 5 g\u00fcnl\u00fck (97,42) ve 10 g\u00fcnl\u00fck (92,95) hareketli ortalamalar\u0131n (son g\u00fcnlerin ortalama fiyat\u0131; trendi izlemek i\u00e7in kullan\u0131l\u0131r) \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Bu ortalamalar yukar\u0131 e\u011fimli ve k\u0131sa vadede destek sa\u011fl\u0131yor. 20 g\u00fcnl\u00fck (96,55) ortalama da mevcut fiyat\u0131n hemen alt\u0131nda ve dengelenmeye ba\u015fl\u0131yor; bu da genel geri \u00e7ekilmenin g\u00fc\u00e7 kaybetti\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/9\/2026\/05\/image-33-1024x456.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-48951\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>\u0130zlenecek seviyeler:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Destek:<\/strong> 97,40 \u2192 96,50 \u2192 92,90<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Diren\u00e7:<\/strong> 100,00 \u2192 105,90 \u2192 110,00<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Fiyat 100,00 diren\u00e7 b\u00f6lgesini zorluyor. Bu seviye kritik bir e\u015fik. 100\u2019\u00fcn \u00fczerine net bir k\u0131r\u0131lma ve kal\u0131c\u0131l\u0131k (k\u0131r\u0131lmadan sonra fiyat\u0131n o seviyenin \u00fcst\u00fcnde tutunmas\u0131) 105,90\u2019a do\u011fru alan a\u00e7abilir. Bu b\u00f6lgenin a\u015f\u0131lmas\u0131, daha geni\u015f \u00f6l\u00e7ekte 110 b\u00f6lgesine yeniden y\u00f6nelimi g\u00fc\u00e7lendirebilir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>A\u015fa\u011f\u0131da ilk destek 97,40. Bu b\u00f6lgenin alt\u0131na geri d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f, toparlanmay\u0131 zay\u0131flat\u0131r ve 96,50\u2019yi g\u00fcndeme getirir. Sat\u0131c\u0131lar yeniden kontrol\u00fc al\u0131rsa daha derin geri \u00e7ekilme riski artar.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Genel olarak petrol, geri \u00e7ekilmenin ard\u0131ndan yeniden yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc ivme kurmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131yor. K\u0131sa vadede ana m\u00fccadele alan\u0131 100 seviyesi. Bu b\u00f6lgedeki fiyat davran\u0131\u015f\u0131, y\u00fckseli\u015fin s\u00fcr\u00fcp s\u00fcrmeyece\u011fini ya da fiyat\u0131n yeniden yataya d\u00f6n\u00fcp d\u00f6nmeyece\u011fini belirleyebilir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Temkinli Tahmin<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>K\u0131sa vadeli g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm, CL-OIL 96,555 ve 97,423 \u00fczerinde kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u00fcrece yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc. G\u00fcnl\u00fck kapan\u0131\u015f\u0131n 100,684 \u00fczerinde gelmesi, \u00f6zellikle ABD daha uzun bir abluka do\u011frular ve stok d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fleri s\u00fcrerse 105,927\u2019ye do\u011fru hareket ihtimalini art\u0131r\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<details class=\"wp-block-details is-layout-flow wp-block-details-is-layout-flow\"><summary><strong>Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131 Sorular\u0131<\/strong><\/summary>\n<p><strong>Petrol Fiyatlar\u0131 Neden Y\u00fckseliyor?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Petrol, ABD\u2019nin \u0130ran limanlar\u0131na y\u00f6nelik ablukas\u0131n\u0131n daha uzun s\u00fcrece\u011fi beklentisiyle y\u00fckseliyor. Haberlere g\u00f6re Ba\u015fkan Donald Trump, ablukan\u0131n uzat\u0131lmas\u0131 i\u00e7in haz\u0131rl\u0131k yap\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 istedi. Bu, \u0130ran\u2019a gidi\u015f-geli\u015f deniz ta\u015f\u0131mac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 daha fazla k\u0131s\u0131tlayabilir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nemde \u0130ran, k\u00fcresel petrol ve LNG\u2019nin yakla\u015f\u0131k y\u00fczde 20\u2019sinin ge\u00e7ti\u011fi H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019ndaki deniz ak\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rlamay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Petrol Ne Kadar Y\u00fckseldi?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Haziran vadeli Brent 52 sent (y\u00fczde 0,47) artarak 01.54 GMT\u2019de varil ba\u015f\u0131na 111,78 dolara \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Haziran kontrat\u0131 Per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc sona eriyor. Daha \u00e7ok i\u015flem g\u00f6ren temmuz kontrat\u0131 ise y\u00fczde 0,4 art\u0131\u015fla 104,84 dolardan i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Haziran vadeli ABD WTI ise 57 sent (y\u00fczde 0,57) y\u00fckselerek varil ba\u015f\u0131na 100,50 dolara \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131; \u00f6nceki seansta y\u00fczde 3,7 artm\u0131\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131 Neden Bu Kadar \u00d6nemli?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131, d\u00fcnyan\u0131n en kritik enerji rotalar\u0131ndan biri. Normalde k\u00fcresel petrol ve LNG arz\u0131n\u0131n yakla\u015f\u0131k y\u00fczde 20\u2019si buradan ta\u015f\u0131n\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Ta\u015f\u0131mac\u0131l\u0131k engellenirse arz s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fabilir; navlun (ta\u015f\u0131ma \u00fccreti) ve sigorta maliyetleri artabilir, teslimatlar gecikebilir. Bu da petrol fiyat\u0131na \u201carz riski primi\u201d ekleyebilir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>ABD Ablukas\u0131 Petrol Arz\u0131 \u0130\u00e7in Ne Anlama Geliyor?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>ABD\u2019nin \u0130ran limanlar\u0131na y\u00f6nelik ablukay\u0131 uzatmas\u0131, \u0130ran\u2019a deniz ta\u015f\u0131mac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 daha uzun s\u00fcre k\u0131s\u0131tlayabilir. Bu, \u0130ran petrol ihracat\u0131n\u0131n piyasaya ula\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131 zorla\u015ft\u0131r\u0131r ve Orta Do\u011fu\u2019daki arz kesintisini b\u00fcy\u00fctebilir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Haitong Futures analisti Yang An\u2019a g\u00f6re Trump ablukay\u0131 uzat\u0131rsa, arz kesintileri daha da k\u00f6t\u00fcle\u015febilir ve petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 yukar\u0131 itmeye devam edebilir.<\/p>\n<\/details>\n\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n &#8211; Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/trade-now\/\">buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Petrolde tansiyon y\u00fckseliyor: Trump\u2019\u0131n \u0130ran liman ablukas\u0131n\u0131 uzatma plan\u0131 ve H\u00fcrm\u00fcz riskiyle Brent 111,78$, WTI 100,50$. ABD stoklar\u0131 d\u00fc\u015ferken 100$ e\u015fi\u011fi a\u015f\u0131l\u0131rsa 105,9$ g\u00fcndemde.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":45698,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-45699","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-analysis"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45699","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=45699"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45699\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/45698"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=45699"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=45699"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=45699"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}