USD\/CAD Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc %0,33 y\u00fckselerek 1,3670\u2019e yakla\u015ft\u0131. Parite, Pazartesi g\u00fcn i\u00e7i 1,3600 civar\u0131ndaki dipten toparland\u0131. K\u0131sa s\u00fcreli\u011fine 1,3690\u2019\u0131n \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131 ve Mart ay\u0131ndaki 1,3950 civar\u0131ndaki zirvenin h\u00e2l\u00e2 %2\u2019den fazla alt\u0131nda. <\/p>\n
Kanada Dolar\u0131, daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc petrol fiyatlar\u0131ndan s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 destek g\u00f6rd\u00fc. WTI yedinci seansta da y\u00fckseldi ve varil ba\u015f\u0131na 100 dolara yak\u0131n i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc. ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Donald Trump\u2019\u0131n \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n son ate\u015fkes (\u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131 durdurma) teklifini reddetmesi sonras\u0131 bu hareket g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc. H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131 dokuzuncu haftada da fiilen kapal\u0131 kal\u0131rken, tanker trafi\u011fi (petrol ta\u015f\u0131yan gemi ak\u0131\u015f\u0131) neredeyse s\u0131f\u0131ra indi. <\/p>\n
Sal\u0131 g\u00fcnk\u00fc ABD Nisan T\u00fcketici G\u00fcveni verisi, \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcnk\u00fc geli\u015fmeler \u00f6ncesinde y\u00f6n\u00fc de\u011fi\u015ftirmedi. Piyasalar\u0131n oda\u011f\u0131nda, Kanada Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (BoC) gecelik faizi (bankalar\u0131n birbirine bir geceli\u011fine bor\u00e7 verirken uygulad\u0131\u011f\u0131 politika faizi) Mart ay\u0131nda enerji fiyatlar\u0131yla ba\u011flant\u0131l\u0131 enflasyon risklerine dikkat \u00e7eken a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan, faizi %2,25\u2019te sabit b\u0131rakmas\u0131 beklenen karar\u0131 var. <\/p>\n
ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (Fed) da politika faizini (federal fonlama faizi: bankalar\u0131n birbirine gecelik bor\u00e7 verdi\u011fi faiz aral\u0131\u011f\u0131) %3,50\u2013%3,75 band\u0131nda sabit tutmas\u0131 bekleniyor. Ba\u015fkan Jerome Powell\u2019\u0131n g\u00f6rev s\u00fcresi May\u0131s\u2019ta bitiyor. Kongre kaynakl\u0131 itirazlara ra\u011fmen, yerine en g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc aday olarak Kevin Warsh\u2019\u0131n ad\u0131 ge\u00e7iyor. <\/p>\n
15 dakikal\u0131k grafikte USD\/CAD 1,3672\u2019de i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc ve g\u00fcn a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u015f\u0131 olan 1,3615\u2019in \u00fczerinde kald\u0131. Stochastic RSI (fiyat\u0131n a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 al\u0131m\/a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 sat\u0131m b\u00f6lgesini g\u00f6steren k\u0131sa vadeli momentum g\u00f6stergesi) a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 al\u0131m seviyelerinden geri \u00e7ekildi. 1,3615 civar\u0131nda destek (d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fte al\u0131m\u0131n geldi\u011fi seviye) \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131karken, yak\u0131n vadede belirgin bir diren\u00e7 (y\u00fckseli\u015fte sat\u0131\u015f\u0131n geldi\u011fi seviye) g\u00f6r\u00fcnm\u00fcyor. <\/p>\n
Bir y\u0131l sonra tablo de\u011fi\u015fti. \u00c7at\u0131\u015fma \u015fiddeti azald\u0131, tanker ak\u0131\u015f\u0131 2025\u2019in sonuna do\u011fru normale d\u00f6nd\u00fc. WTI ham petrol kriz d\u00f6nemindeki seviyelerden geriledi ve Nisan 2026 sonu itibar\u0131yla 84 dolar civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcyor. Devam eden fakat daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck bu enerji fiyat\u0131, Kanada dolar\u0131n\u0131 destekledi ve USD\/CAD\u2019de y\u00fckseli\u015fi s\u0131n\u0131rlad\u0131. <\/p>\n
Ancak ge\u00e7en y\u0131l tetiklenen enflasyon kal\u0131c\u0131 oldu ve merkez bankalar\u0131n\u0131 temkinli tutuyor. ABD\u2019de Mart 2026 T\u00dcFE (enflasyon: t\u00fcketici fiyatlar\u0131ndaki y\u0131ll\u0131k art\u0131\u015f) y\u0131ll\u0131k %2,9 geldi. Kanada\u2019da T\u00dcFE %2,7 oldu. Her iki oran da %2 hedefinin \u00fczerinde kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in piyasalar art\u0131k Fed veya BoC\u2019den yak\u0131n zamanda faiz indirimi beklemiyor. <\/p>\n
T\u00fcrev (fiyat\u0131 ba\u015fka bir varl\u0131\u011fa ba\u011fl\u0131 s\u00f6zle\u015fmeler) i\u015flemi yapanlar i\u00e7in bu durum, ima edilen oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n (opsiyon fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n ima etti\u011fi beklenen dalgalanma) d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck fiyatlanm\u0131\u015f olabilece\u011fi bir ortam yarat\u0131yor. USD\/CAD\u2019in 1,3550 civar\u0131nda s\u0131k\u0131\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir d\u00f6nemde opsiyon straddle veya strangle almak (iki y\u00f6nl\u00fc hareketten kazanmak i\u00e7in al\u0131m ve sat\u0131m opsiyonlar\u0131n\u0131 birlikte almak) etkili bir y\u00f6ntem olabilir. Bu strateji, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda beklenmedik bir enflasyon verisinin tetikleyebilece\u011fi g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir harekette, y\u00f6n fark etmeksizin kazan\u00e7 hedefler. <\/p>\n
Ayr\u0131ca faiz fark\u0131 (iki \u00fclkenin faizleri\/tahvil getirileri aras\u0131ndaki fark) \u00fczerinden f\u0131rsat g\u00f6r\u00fclebilir. Ge\u00e7mi\u015fte ABD ile Kanada 2 y\u0131ll\u0131k tahvil getirileri aras\u0131ndaki fark a\u00e7\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda USD\/CAD genelde y\u00fckselir. Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar, vadeli i\u015flemler (gelecekte belirli fiyattan alma\/satma s\u00f6zle\u015fmesi) \u00fczerindeki opsiyonlar\u0131 veya forward s\u00f6zle\u015fmeleri (iki taraf aras\u0131nda ileri tarihli kurdan i\u015flem anla\u015fmas\u0131) kullanarak, yakla\u015fan verilerle bu fark\u0131n a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131p a\u00e7\u0131lmayaca\u011f\u0131na ya da daral\u0131p daralmayaca\u011f\u0131na g\u00f6re pozisyon alabilir. <\/p>\n
VT Markets canl\u0131 hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturun<\/a>\u00a0ve\u00a0hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n<\/a>. <\/b><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" USD\/CAD 1,3670\u2019e t\u0131rmand\u0131: Petrol 100 dolara yakla\u015fsa da Kanada Dolar\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lendi. G\u00f6zler BoC ve Fed\u2019in faiz kararlar\u0131nda; y\u0131l sonra enflasyon kal\u0131c\u0131, opsiyon f\u0131rsat\u0131.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-45686","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45686","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=45686"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45686\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=45686"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=45686"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=45686"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}