EUR\/JPY, iki g\u00fcnl\u00fck y\u00fckseli\u015fin ard\u0131ndan geriledi ve sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc Avrupa saatlerinde 186,40 civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc. G\u00fcnl\u00fck grafikte parite y\u00fckselen kanal\u0131n alt\u0131na sarkt\u0131. Bu durum, d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f y\u00f6nl\u00fc bir d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015fe i\u015faret edebilir.<\/p>\n
Parite, h\u00e2l\u00e2 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck EMA\u2019n\u0131n (\u00dcssel Hareketli Ortalama: son g\u00fcnlere daha fazla a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131k veren hareketli ortalama) 185,00 seviyesinin \u00fczerinde. Bu da k\u0131sa vadeli g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc hafif pozitif tutuyor. \u00d6te yandan 186,66\u2019daki dokuz g\u00fcnl\u00fck EMA\u2019n\u0131n hemen alt\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcyor; bu seviye k\u0131sa vadede diren\u00e7 (yukar\u0131 hareketi zorla\u015ft\u0131ran seviye) olarak \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
14 g\u00fcnl\u00fck RSI (G\u00f6reli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi: fiyat\u0131n h\u0131z\u0131n\u0131\/g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc \u00f6l\u00e7en g\u00f6sterge) 53 civar\u0131nda. Bu, y\u00fckseli\u015f momentumunun pozitif ama a\u015f\u0131r\u0131ya ka\u00e7mad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor. Daha geni\u015f y\u00fckseli\u015f trendi korunursa, hareketli ortalamalara do\u011fru geri \u00e7ekilmeler s\u00fcrebilir.<\/p>\n
EUR\/JPY 186,66\u2019ya, yani kanal\u0131n alt s\u0131n\u0131r\u0131na do\u011fru toparlan\u0131rsa 17 Nisan\u2019da g\u00f6r\u00fclen 187,95\u2019teki t\u00fcm zamanlar\u0131n zirvesini yeniden test edebilir. 187,95\u2019in \u00fczeri, kanal\u0131n \u00fcst s\u0131n\u0131r\u0131na yak\u0131n 189,80 b\u00f6lgesine do\u011fru alan a\u00e7abilir.<\/p>\n
Zay\u0131flama s\u00fcrerse izlenecek bir sonraki seviye, 185,00\u2019daki 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck EMA deste\u011fi (d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc s\u0131n\u0131rlayabilen seviye) olacak. Bu analiz, bir yapay zek\u00e2 arac\u0131 deste\u011fiyle haz\u0131rlanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r.<\/p>\n
EUR\/JPY, 186,40 civar\u0131nda kritik bir b\u00f6lgede. Yak\u0131n d\u00f6nemdeki y\u00fckselen kanal\u0131n alt\u0131na inmesi temkinli olmay\u0131 gerektiriyor. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc k\u0131sa vadeli y\u00f6n k\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor ve momentumda de\u011fi\u015fim riski art\u0131yor. RSI\u2019nin 53\u2019e yak\u0131n olmas\u0131 piyasan\u0131n dengede oldu\u011funa i\u015faret ediyor; bu da her iki y\u00f6ne sert bir hareketin g\u00fcndeme gelebilece\u011fi anlam\u0131na gelir.<\/p>\n
D\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f bekleyenler i\u00e7in temel g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm (makro veriler ve merkez bankas\u0131 beklentileri) destekleyici olabilir. Son veriler, Euro B\u00f6lgesi enflasyonunun ge\u00e7en ay %2,4\u2019e geriledi\u011fini g\u00f6sterdi. Bu da Avrupa Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (ECB) haziranda faiz indirece\u011fi beklentilerini art\u0131rd\u0131. Daha \u201cn\u00f6tr\u201d (ne s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131ran ne de gev\u015feten) bir Japonya Merkez Bankas\u0131 (BoJ) ile olu\u015fabilecek politika ayr\u0131\u015fmas\u0131 pariteyi bask\u0131layabilir. Bu \u00e7er\u00e7evede 185,00 deste\u011fini hedefleyen put opsiyonlar\u0131 (fiyat d\u00fc\u015ferse de\u011fer kazanan opsiyon) \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kabilir.<\/p>\n
Ancak 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck ortalaman\u0131n \u00fczerinde kald\u0131k\u00e7a y\u00fckseli\u015f trendi teknik olarak bitmi\u015f say\u0131lmaz. 186,66\u2019n\u0131n yeniden \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131k\u0131lmas\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f sinyalini ge\u00e7ersiz k\u0131labilir ve 187,95 zirvesinin yeniden testine y\u00f6nelik pozisyonlar\u0131 tetikleyebilir. Bu senaryoda k\u0131sa vadeli call opsiyonlar\u0131 (fiyat y\u00fckselirse de\u011fer kazanan opsiyon) y\u00fckseli\u015fi de\u011ferlendirmek i\u00e7in kullan\u0131labilir.<\/p>\n
Japon yetkililerin m\u00fcdahale (kurda a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 hareketi s\u0131n\u0131rlamak i\u00e7in piyasaya d\u00f6viz al\u0131m-sat\u0131m\u0131yla girilmesi) riskini de hesaba katmak gerekir. 2024 sonlar\u0131nda Maliye Bakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 yen\u2019i g\u00fc\u00e7lendirmek i\u00e7in devreye girmi\u015fti. Yen yeniden genel olarak zay\u0131f seyrederse ani ve sert hareket riski y\u00fckselir. Bu ortamda y\u00f6n\u00fc kestiremeyip b\u00fcy\u00fck fiyat hareketi bekleyenler i\u00e7in oynakl\u0131\u011fa (volatilite: fiyat dalgalanma derecesi) y\u00f6nelik stratejiler, \u00f6rne\u011fin straddle (ayn\u0131 vade ve kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131yla hem al\u0131m hem sat\u0131m opsiyonu alma) cazip olabilir.<\/p>\n
Teknik ve temel sinyallerin \u00e7eli\u015fti\u011fi bu tabloda opsiyonlar, riski \u00f6nceden s\u0131n\u0131rlamak i\u00e7in kullan\u0131labilir. 186,00 alt\u0131nda k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131m ve kal\u0131c\u0131l\u0131k d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f pozisyonlar\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131karabilir; 186,66\u2019n\u0131n net \u015fekilde geri al\u0131nmas\u0131 ise al\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131 yeniden g\u00fc\u00e7lendirebilir. Bu seviyelerden biri belirgin bi\u00e7imde a\u015f\u0131lana kadar piyasada karars\u0131zl\u0131k s\u00fcrebilir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
EUR\/JPY 186,40\u2019ta alarm zilleri: y\u00fckselen kanal k\u0131r\u0131ld\u0131. 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck EMA 185,00 destek, 9 g\u00fcnl\u00fck EMA 186,66 diren\u00e7. RSI 53. 186,66 \u00fcst\u00fc 187,95-189,80; alt\u0131 185,00 hedef, opsiyonlarda put\/straddle \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-45635","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45635","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=45635"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45635\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=45635"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=45635"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=45635"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}