{"id":45615,"date":"2026-04-28T07:26:36","date_gmt":"2026-04-28T07:26:36","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/wti-hurmuzun-kapanmasiyla-orta-dogu-petrol-arzinin-sikilasmasi-sonucu-9520-dolar-yakininda-iki-gunluk-yukselisini-surduruyor\/"},"modified":"2026-04-28T07:26:36","modified_gmt":"2026-04-28T07:26:36","slug":"wti-hurmuzun-kapanmasiyla-orta-dogu-petrol-arzinin-sikilasmasi-sonucu-9520-dolar-yakininda-iki-gunluk-yukselisini-surduruyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/wti-hurmuzun-kapanmasiyla-orta-dogu-petrol-arzinin-sikilasmasi-sonucu-9520-dolar-yakininda-iki-gunluk-yukselisini-surduruyor\/","title":{"rendered":"WTI, H\u00fcrm\u00fcz\u2019\u00fcn kapanmas\u0131yla Orta Do\u011fu petrol arz\u0131n\u0131n s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fmas\u0131 sonucu 95,20 dolar yak\u0131n\u0131nda iki g\u00fcnl\u00fck y\u00fckseli\u015fini s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcyor"},"content":{"rendered":"

WTI ikinci g\u00fcnde de y\u00fckseldi; Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc Asya saatlerinde varil ba\u015f\u0131na 95,20 dolar civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc. Fiyatlar\u0131, H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019n\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde kapal\u0131 kalmas\u0131 ve Orta Do\u011fu\u2019daki arz\u0131n (piyasaya sunulan petrol miktar\u0131) s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fmas\u0131 destekledi.<\/p>\n

Piyasalar ayr\u0131ca ate\u015fkes ihtimalini ve \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n ABD\u2019ye sundu\u011fu yeni \u00f6nerinin ard\u0131ndan g\u00fczerg\u00e2h\u0131n yeniden a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131p a\u00e7\u0131lamayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 de\u011ferlendirdi. Haberlere g\u00f6re \u0130ran, Pakistan \u00fczerinden iletti\u011fi mesajda ABD\u2019nin deniz ablukas\u0131n\u0131 (donanmayla uygulanan ge\u00e7i\u015f engeli) kald\u0131rmas\u0131, H\u00fcrm\u00fcz ge\u00e7i\u015f kurallar\u0131n\u0131 de\u011fi\u015ftirmesi ve gelecekte askeri harek\u00e2t olmayaca\u011f\u0131na dair g\u00fcvence vermesi halinde \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n sona erebilece\u011fini s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n

Ate\u015fkes \u00d6nerisi ve Anla\u015fmazl\u0131k Noktalar\u0131<\/h3>\n

Bir ABD\u2019li yetkili Pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc, Ba\u015fkan Donald Trump\u2019\u0131n \u00f6neriden memnun olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi. \u0130ranl\u0131 kaynaklar, \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar durmadan ve K\u00f6rfez\u2019de deniz ta\u015f\u0131mac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131na ili\u015fkin anla\u015fmazl\u0131klar \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fclmeden Tahran\u2019\u0131n n\u00fckleer program\u0131n\u0131 g\u00fcndeme almayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtti.<\/p>\n

\u00c7at\u0131\u015fma dokuzuncu haftas\u0131nda; enerji fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 y\u00fckseltti ve tedarik zincirlerini (mal\u0131n \u00fcretimden ta\u015f\u0131maya uzanan ak\u0131\u015f\u0131) aksatt\u0131. Uluslararas\u0131 Enerji Ajans\u0131, talep (t\u00fcketim iste\u011fi) yava\u015flama riskleriyle birlikte olas\u0131 bir arz \u015foku (k\u0131sa s\u00fcrede ciddi arz kesintisi) uyar\u0131s\u0131 yapt\u0131.<\/p>\n

\u0130ran, k\u00fcresel petrol ve gaz\u0131n yakla\u015f\u0131k %20\u2019sinin ge\u00e7ti\u011fi H\u00fcrm\u00fcz\u2019den ak\u0131\u015f\u0131 k\u0131s\u0131tlarken; ABD, \u0130ran limanlar\u0131na y\u00f6nelik ablukay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fc. Reuters\u2019\u0131n gemi izleme verileri, alt\u0131 \u0130ran tankerinin geri d\u00f6nd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00f6sterdi. Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k ADNOC\u2019a ait bir LNG (s\u0131v\u0131la\u015ft\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f do\u011fal gaz) tankerinin H\u00fcrm\u00fcz\u2019\u00fc ge\u00e7ti\u011fi ve Hindistan\u2019a yakla\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 bildirildi.<\/p>\n

Piyasa Fiyatlamas\u0131 ve \u0130\u015flem Etkileri<\/h3>\n

Bu belirsizlik, t\u00fcrev piyasas\u0131na (de\u011feri petrol gibi bir varl\u0131\u011fa ba\u011fl\u0131 s\u00f6zle\u015fmeler) da yans\u0131d\u0131. CBOE Ham Petrol Volatilite Endeksi (OVX), 50\u2019nin \u00fczerine s\u0131\u00e7rad\u0131. Volatilite (fiyat oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131) endeksi olan OVX\u2019in y\u00fckselmesi, piyasada sert hareket beklentisinin artt\u0131\u011f\u0131 anlam\u0131na gelir. Bu d\u00fczey, 2022\u2019deki b\u00fcy\u00fck arz aksamalar\u0131ndan beri g\u00f6r\u00fclmemi\u015fti. Y\u00fcksek \u201cz\u0131mni volatilite\u201d (opsiyon fiyatlar\u0131na yans\u0131yan beklenen oynakl\u0131k) opsiyon al\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 pahal\u0131la\u015ft\u0131r\u0131r; ancak korunmas\u0131z pozisyon ta\u015f\u0131mak (zarar\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rlayan \u00f6nlem olmadan i\u015flemde kalmak) daha da riskli hale gelir.<\/p>\n

Krizden \u00f6nce de piyasa zaten s\u0131k\u0131yd\u0131. ABD Enerji Enformasyon \u0130daresi\u2019nin (EIA) verileri, 2026 Mart\u0131 ve Nisan ba\u015f\u0131na kadar stoklar\u0131n d\u00fczenli bi\u00e7imde azald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 (envanter d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc: depolardaki petrol miktar\u0131n\u0131n azalmas\u0131) g\u00f6steriyordu. Uluslararas\u0131 Enerji Ajans\u0131\u2019n\u0131n son ayl\u0131k raporu da ikinci \u00e7eyrekte k\u00fcresel arz a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret etmi\u015fti. H\u00fcrm\u00fcz\u2019deki kesinti, g\u00fcnde yakla\u015f\u0131k 21 milyon varillik ak\u0131\u015f\u0131 etkileyerek mevcut sorunu b\u00fcy\u00fct\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

Bu nedenle, volatiliteden kazan\u00e7 hedefleyen stratejiler g\u00fcndeme gelebilir. \u00d6rne\u011fin \u201cstraddle\u201d (ayn\u0131 vadede ayn\u0131 kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 al\u0131m ve sat\u0131m opsiyonunu birlikte alma) ve \u201cstrangle\u201d (ayn\u0131 vadede farkl\u0131 kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 al\u0131m ve sat\u0131m opsiyonunu birlikte alma) gibi y\u00f6ntemler, y\u00f6n\u00fc do\u011fru tahmin etmeden b\u00fcy\u00fck bir fiyat hareketinden yararlanmay\u0131 ama\u00e7lar. Vadeli i\u015flem s\u00f6zle\u015fmeleriyle (futures: belirli tarihte belirli fiyattan al\u0131m-sat\u0131m taahh\u00fcd\u00fc) sadece tek y\u00f6ne bahis almak ise, diplomatik haber ak\u0131\u015f\u0131 aniden de\u011fi\u015firse y\u00fcksek risk ta\u015f\u0131r.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Petrolde tansiyon s\u00fcr\u00fcyor: WTI 95,20 dolara \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. H\u00fcrm\u00fcz\u2019de k\u0131s\u0131tlamalar arz\u0131 s\u0131k\u0131\u015ft\u0131r\u0131rken ate\u015fkes pazarl\u0131\u011f\u0131 belirsiz. OVX 50\u2019yi a\u015ft\u0131; opsiyonlar pahal\u0131, risk i\u015ftah\u0131 azal\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-45615","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45615","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=45615"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45615\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=45615"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=45615"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=45615"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}