NZD\/USD, Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019n\u0131n zay\u0131flamas\u0131yla 0,5910 civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc. ABD Hazine tahvili getirilerinin (faiz oranlar\u0131n\u0131n) d\u00fc\u015fmesi, Dolar\u2019a deste\u011fi azaltt\u0131 ve Kiwi\u2019nin (Yeni Zelanda Dolar\u0131) toparlanmas\u0131na yard\u0131mc\u0131 oldu.<\/p>\n
Jeopolitik haber ak\u0131\u015f\u0131 kar\u0131\u015f\u0131kt\u0131. Orta Do\u011fu\u2019daki gerilim belirsizli\u011fi art\u0131rmaya devam etti. Haberlere g\u00f6re \u0130ran D\u0131\u015fi\u015fleri Bakan\u0131 Abbas Araqchi, ABD\u2019nin m\u00fczakere talebinde bulundu\u011funu s\u00f6yledi. \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n teklifi de\u011ferlendirdi\u011fi belirtilince, g\u00fcvenli liman (risk art\u0131nca s\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131lan varl\u0131k) talebi bir miktar azald\u0131.<\/p>\n
Piyasalar, faiz indirimi y\u00f6n\u00fcndeki siyasi bask\u0131 ve daha net \u201cileri y\u00f6nlendirme\u201d (merkez bankas\u0131n\u0131n gelecekteki politika mesaj\u0131) nedeniyle ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (Fed) g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fc yeniden fiyatlad\u0131. Bu de\u011fi\u015fim, ABD verileri g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc kalsa bile ABD Dolar\u0131 \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 olu\u015fturdu.<\/p>\n
4 saatlik grafikte NZD\/USD, t\u00fcm hareketli ortalamalar\u0131n \u00fczerinde kald\u0131. 20 periyotluk yatay SMA (basit hareketli ortalama) 0,5890 civar\u0131nda. 100 SMA, 200 SMA\u2019n\u0131n \u00fczerinde ve ikisi de 20 SMA\u2019n\u0131n alt\u0131nda.<\/p>\n
G\u00f6stergeler pozitif b\u00f6lgede kalsa da ivme (fiyat hareketinin g\u00fcc\u00fc) s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. Nisan ay\u0131 ayl\u0131k zirvesi olan 0,5930\u2019un a\u015f\u0131lmas\u0131, yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nde yeni alan a\u00e7abilir.<\/p>\n
Bug\u00fcn tablo de\u011fi\u015fti. ABD 10 y\u0131ll\u0131k tahvil getirisi 4,6% civar\u0131nda g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc seyrediyor; bu oran ge\u00e7en y\u0131la k\u0131yasla belirgin \u015fekilde y\u00fcksek. Yeni Zelanda\u2019da ilk \u00e7eyrek enflasyonu 4,0% ile gelirken bu durum RBNZ\u2019yi (Yeni Zelanda Merkez Bankas\u0131) temkinli tutuyor. Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k ABD enflasyonu 3,5% civar\u0131nda \u201cyap\u0131\u015fkan\u201d (kolay d\u00fc\u015fmeyen) kal\u0131yor. Bu da piyasalar\u0131n Fed\u2019in sert faiz indirimleri beklentisini \u00f6telemesine neden oldu.<\/p>\n
Parite 0,5930\u2019un \u00fczerinde kal\u0131yorsa, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar al\u0131m (call) opsiyonlar\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnebilir. Call opsiyonu, belirli bir vadede belirli fiyattan alma hakk\u0131 veren s\u00f6zle\u015fmedir; maliyet \u00f6denen primle (opsiyon \u00fccreti) s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131d\u0131r. Bu strateji, 0,6000 psikolojik seviyesine do\u011fru y\u00fckseli\u015f beklentisine, s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 riskle pozisyon almaya imkan verir.<\/p>\n
Ancak ABD getirilerindeki g\u00fc\u00e7, \u00f6nemli bir kar\u015f\u0131 r\u00fczgar. Olas\u0131 bir geri d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015fe kar\u015f\u0131 korunmak i\u00e7in, 0,5890 ana destek seviyesinin alt\u0131nda kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 sat\u0131m (put) opsiyonu almak mant\u0131kl\u0131 olabilir. Put opsiyonu, belirli fiyattan satma hakk\u0131 verir; b\u00f6ylece Fed\u2019in \u201cdaha uzun s\u00fcre y\u00fcksek faiz\u201d duru\u015funun Dolar\u2019\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lendirmesi senaryosuna kar\u015f\u0131 koruma sa\u011flar.<\/p>\n
Bu ayr\u0131\u015fma nedeniyle \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda opsiyon spread\u2019leri (ayn\u0131 varl\u0131kta birden fazla opsiyonu birlikte kullanma) \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kabilir. \u00d6rne\u011fin bo\u011fa call spread\u2019i, y\u00fckseli\u015f s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131ysa daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck prim maliyetiyle s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 ama daha kontroll\u00fc kazan\u00e7 hedefler; risk ve potansiyel getiri ba\u015ftan bellidir.<\/p>\n
VT Markets canl\u0131 hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturun<\/a>\u00a0ve\u00a0hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n<\/a>. <\/b><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Kiwi\u2019de kritik e\u015fik: NZD\/USD 0,5910\u2019da, Fed indirimi fiyatlamas\u0131 zay\u0131f Dolar\u0131 destekledi. 0,5930 \u00fcst\u00fc kal\u0131c\u0131l\u0131k 0,6000\u2019i g\u00fcndeme ta\u015f\u0131r; 0,5890 alt\u0131 put\u2019la korunma \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-45604","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45604","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=45604"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45604\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=45604"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=45604"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=45604"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}