ABD Dolar Endeksi (DXY), Pazartesi Avrupa i\u015flemlerinde 98,30 civar\u0131nda g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc erken y\u00fckseli\u015fleri geri vererek ABD piyasas\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u00f6ncesinde d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seyretti. \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n yak\u0131nda ABD ile sava\u015f\u0131 bitirmeye haz\u0131r oldu\u011fu y\u00f6n\u00fcndeki haberler, risk i\u015ftah\u0131n\u0131 (yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n daha riskli varl\u0131klara y\u00f6nelme e\u011filimi) art\u0131r\u0131nca ABD Dolar\u0131 geriledi.<\/p>\n
Asya borsalar\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc art\u0131da kapatt\u0131, yaz\u0131m s\u0131ras\u0131nda Avrupa borsalar\u0131 da y\u00fckseli\u015fteydi. ABD seans\u0131 \u00f6ncesinde S&P 500 vadeli i\u015flemleri (endeksin gelecekteki fiyat\u0131na dair s\u00f6zle\u015fmeler) yatay kald\u0131. Bu g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm, daha riskli varl\u0131klara y\u00f6nelime i\u015faret etti.<\/p>\n
Axios, \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n Pakistanl\u0131 arabulucular \u00fczerinden ABD\u2019ye H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019n\u0131n yeniden a\u00e7\u0131lmas\u0131 ve sava\u015f\u0131n bitirilmesine ili\u015fkin yeni bir teklif iletti\u011fini yazd\u0131. H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131, k\u00fcresel enerji arz\u0131n\u0131n (d\u00fcnya genelindeki petrol ve gaz ak\u0131\u015f\u0131) yakla\u015f\u0131k %20\u2019sinin ge\u00e7ti\u011fi kritik bir ge\u00e7i\u015f noktas\u0131. N\u00fckleer g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerin ise daha sonraya b\u0131rak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 belirtildi.<\/p>\n
Haberde ayr\u0131ca ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Donald Trump\u2019\u0131n, hafta sonu ABD\u2019li temsilcilerin \u0130slamabad\u2019a yapmas\u0131 planlanan ziyareti iptal etti\u011fi aktar\u0131ld\u0131. Axios\u2019a g\u00f6re Trump bunu \u201czaman kayb\u0131\u201d olarak niteledi ve \u0130ran D\u0131\u015fi\u015fleri Bakan\u0131 Seyyid Abbas Arak\u00e7i\u2019nin kar\u015f\u0131 teklifini yetersiz buldu.<\/p>\n
G\u00f6zler \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131klanacak ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131 (Fed) karar\u0131nda da olacak. Piyasa, Fed\u2019in politika faizini (merkez bankas\u0131n\u0131n temel faiz oran\u0131) \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc toplant\u0131 \u00fcst \u00fcste %3,50\u2013%3,75 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda sabit tutmas\u0131n\u0131 ve enerji fiyatlar\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015f ile tedarik \u015foklar\u0131na (arz\u0131n aniden bozulmas\u0131) ba\u011fl\u0131 yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc enflasyon (fiyat art\u0131\u015f\u0131) risklerine dikkat \u00e7ekmesini bekliyor.<\/p>\n
ABD Dolar Endeksi \u015fu anda zay\u0131f g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor; son d\u00f6nemde OPEC+ \u00fcretimi etraf\u0131ndaki jeopolitik gerilimin tetikledi\u011fi y\u00fckseli\u015fin ard\u0131ndan 106,50 civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcyor. Petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 dengelemek i\u00e7in olas\u0131 bir acil toplant\u0131ya ili\u015fkin do\u011frulanmam\u0131\u015f haberler piyasalar\u0131 sakinle\u015ftirerek \u201crisk alma\u201d e\u011filimini g\u00fc\u00e7lendirdi. WTI ham petrol (ABD tipi ham petrol g\u00f6stergesi) bu haber ak\u0131\u015f\u0131yla 95 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerinden 89 dolar seviyesine \u00e7ekildi.<\/p>\n
Benzer bir tablo 2025\u2019teki k\u0131sa s\u00fcreli H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131 geriliminde de g\u00f6r\u00fclm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc; tansiyonun aniden d\u00fc\u015fmesi, \u201cg\u00fcvenli liman\u201d (kriz d\u00f6nemlerinde tercih edilen) dolar pozisyonlar\u0131n\u0131n h\u0131zl\u0131 \u015fekilde kapanmas\u0131na yol a\u00e7m\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Bu olay, enerji arz\u0131 korkular\u0131 ortadan kalk\u0131nca piyasa havas\u0131n\u0131n ne kadar h\u0131zl\u0131 de\u011fi\u015febilece\u011fini g\u00f6sterdi. Dolar, takip eden g\u00fcnlerde euro ve yen kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda sert gerilemi\u015fti.<\/p>\n
Bu de\u011fi\u015fim t\u00fcrev piyasas\u0131nda (fiyat\u0131 ba\u015fka bir varl\u0131\u011fa ba\u011fl\u0131 s\u00f6zle\u015fmeler) da g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor: CBOE Volatilite Endeksi (VIX, S&P 500 i\u00e7in \u201ckorku endeksi\u201d olarak bilinen oynakl\u0131k g\u00f6stergesi) 22 zirvesinden son bir g\u00fcnde 18\u2019in alt\u0131na indi. Jeopolitik tansiyon d\u00fc\u015fmeye devam ederse, oynakl\u0131k satmak (fiyat dalgalanmas\u0131n\u0131n d\u00fc\u015fece\u011fine oynayan strateji) daha s\u0131k kullan\u0131lan bir yakla\u015f\u0131m olabilir. S&P 500 \u201cput\u201d opsiyonlar\u0131n\u0131n primindeki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f (endekse kar\u015f\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe sigorta sa\u011flayan opsiyonlar\u0131n maliyeti), bu duygu de\u011fi\u015fiminin en net i\u015fareti.<\/p>\n
Dolar\u0131n zay\u0131flama ihtimaliyle, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar EUR\/USD gibi ana paritelerde opsiyonlara (belirli fiyattan al\u0131m-sat\u0131m hakk\u0131 veren s\u00f6zle\u015fmeler) y\u00f6nelebilir. K\u0131sa vadeli euro al\u0131m opsiyonu (call) almak veya dolar al\u0131m opsiyonu satmak, risk i\u015ftah\u0131n\u0131n s\u00fcrmesine do\u011frudan pozisyon alma y\u00f6ntemidir. G7 para birimleri opsiyonlar\u0131nda ima edilen oynakl\u0131k (opsiyon fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n i\u015faret etti\u011fi beklenen dalgalanma) geriledi; bu da bu stratejileri ge\u00e7en haftaya g\u00f6re daha ucuz hale getirdi.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
H\u00fcrm\u00fcz\u2019de yumu\u015fama sinyaliyle risk i\u015ftah\u0131 artt\u0131, DXY erken y\u00fckseli\u015fi sildi. Asya-Avrupa borsalar\u0131 art\u0131da, VIX geriledi. Fed sabit faiz bekleniyor; petrol d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc dolar\u0131 bask\u0131l\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-45554","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45554","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=45554"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45554\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=45554"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=45554"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=45554"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}