{"id":45502,"date":"2026-04-27T04:52:52","date_gmt":"2026-04-27T04:52:52","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/asya-seansinda-eur-usd-abd-dolarindaki-zayifligin-etkisiyle-20-gunluk-ema-destegiyle-11730-civarinda-toparlaniyor\/"},"modified":"2026-04-27T04:52:52","modified_gmt":"2026-04-27T04:52:52","slug":"asya-seansinda-eur-usd-abd-dolarindaki-zayifligin-etkisiyle-20-gunluk-ema-destegiyle-11730-civarinda-toparlaniyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/asya-seansinda-eur-usd-abd-dolarindaki-zayifligin-etkisiyle-20-gunluk-ema-destegiyle-11730-civarinda-toparlaniyor\/","title":{"rendered":"Asya seans\u0131nda EUR\/USD, ABD dolar\u0131ndaki zay\u0131fl\u0131\u011f\u0131n etkisiyle 20 g\u00fcnl\u00fck EMA deste\u011fiyle 1,1730 civar\u0131nda toparlan\u0131yor"},"content":{"rendered":"

EUR\/USD, Pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc Asya seans\u0131nda erken kay\u0131plar\u0131n\u0131 telafi ederek 1,1730 civar\u0131nda hafif y\u00fckseldi. Hareket, ABD dolar\u0131n\u0131n zay\u0131flamas\u0131yla geldi; ABD Dolar Endeksi (DXY, dolar\u0131n ba\u015fl\u0131ca para birimleri kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131ndaki g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc \u00f6l\u00e7en endeks) %0,06 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle yakla\u015f\u0131k 98,45\u2019e indi.<\/p>\n

DXY, ABD\u2019nin \u0130ran\u2019la bar\u0131\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerinin devam\u0131 i\u00e7in \u0130slamabad\u2019a planlanan ziyareti iptal etmesinin ard\u0131ndan 99,35 civar\u0131nda a\u00e7\u0131ld\u0131. \u0130ptal karar\u0131, \u0130ran D\u0131\u015fi\u015fleri Bakan\u0131 Seyed Abbas Araghchi\u2019nin g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeleri yeniden ba\u015flatmak \u00fczere Pakistan\u2019\u0131 ziyaret etmesiyle ayn\u0131 d\u00f6neme denk geldi.<\/p>\n

Jeopolitik Geli\u015fmeler ve Piyasaya Etkisi<\/h3>\n

Bloomberg\u2019in aktard\u0131\u011f\u0131 Axios\u2019a g\u00f6re \u0130ran, H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (k\u00fcresel petrol sevkiyat\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan kritik deniz ge\u00e7idi) yeniden a\u00e7\u0131lmas\u0131 ve sava\u015f\u0131n sona erdirilmesi i\u00e7in ABD\u2019ye bir \u00f6neri sundu. \u00d6neride, ABD\u2019nin H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019na y\u00f6nelik olas\u0131 ablukas\u0131 (deniz trafi\u011fini fiilen k\u0131s\u0131tlayan askeri\/ekonomik bask\u0131) kald\u0131r\u0131lana kadar n\u00fckleer g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerin ertelenmesi yer ald\u0131. Bu \u00e7er\u00e7eve, yakla\u015f\u0131k iki ayd\u0131r s\u00fcren gerilimle ba\u011flant\u0131l\u0131.<\/p>\n

Bu hafta, ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131 (Fed) ve Avrupa Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (ECB) \u00e7ar\u015famba ve per\u015fembe g\u00fcnk\u00fc kararlar\u0131 nedeniyle oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n (fiyatlar\u0131n k\u0131sa s\u00fcrede sert dalgalanmas\u0131) artmas\u0131 bekleniyor. EUR\/USD, 20 g\u00fcnl\u00fck EMA\u2019n\u0131n (\u00fcstel hareketli ortalama; son fiyatlara daha fazla a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131k veren teknik g\u00f6sterge) 1,1696 seviyesinin \u00fczerinde kal\u0131rken, RSI 54,9\u2019da. RSI (G\u00f6reli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi), momentum g\u00f6stergesidir; genelde 50 \u00fczeri al\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131n daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc oldu\u011funa i\u015faret eder.<\/p>\n

Diren\u00e7 (y\u00fckseli\u015fte zorlan\u0131lan seviye) 1,1749\u2019da; ard\u0131ndan 1,1828, 1,1941 ve 1,2085 civar\u0131 izleniyor. Destek (d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fte tutunma beklenen seviye) olarak 1,1696, 1,1670, 1,1572 ve 1,1413 \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Merkez Bankalar\u0131 ve Politika Ayr\u0131\u015fmas\u0131<\/h3>\n

Bu haftaki Fed ve ECB toplant\u0131lar\u0131 piyasalar\u0131n ana oda\u011f\u0131. Ancak ekonomik veriler farkl\u0131la\u015ft\u0131; ay ba\u015f\u0131ndaki raporlara g\u00f6re ABD\u2019de enflasyon %2,8\u2019de diren\u00e7li kal\u0131rken, Euro B\u00f6lgesi enflasyonu %2,1\u2019e geriledi. Bu ayr\u0131\u015fma, Fed\u2019in ECB\u2019ye k\u0131yasla daha \u201cs\u0131k\u0131\u201d bir duru\u015fu (faizleri y\u00fcksek tutma veya indirimi geciktirme) s\u00fcrd\u00fcrmesi i\u00e7in daha fazla gerek\u00e7e oldu\u011funu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnd\u00fcr\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

Bu politika ayr\u0131\u015fmas\u0131 nedeniyle, olas\u0131 bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe kar\u015f\u0131 EUR\/USD\u2019de 1,0800 kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131na (opsiyonda \u00f6nceden belirlenen al\u0131m\/sat\u0131m fiyat\u0131) yak\u0131n \u201cput\u201d opsiyonlar\u0131 (belirli fiyattan satma hakk\u0131 veren t\u00fcrev \u00fcr\u00fcn) de\u011ferlendirilebilir. Fed\u2019in beklenenden daha \u201c\u015fahin\u201d (enflasyonla m\u00fccadelede daha sert; faiz indirimi konusunda daha isteksiz) bir sinyal vermesi halinde bu opsiyonlar d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f y\u00f6nl\u00fc pozisyon almaya yard\u0131mc\u0131 olur. Bu seviyenin alt\u0131na sark\u0131lmas\u0131, y\u0131l\u0131n dibi olan 1,0720\u2019ye do\u011fru alan a\u00e7abilir.<\/p>\n

A\u00e7\u0131klamalar s\u0131ras\u0131nda oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n keskin \u015fekilde artmas\u0131 bekleniyor; Cboe EuroCurrency Volatility Index (euro\/dolar i\u00e7in beklenen oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00f6l\u00e7en endeks) beklentiyle 8,2\u2019ye y\u00fckseldi. Y\u00f6n konusunda emin olmay\u0131p b\u00fcy\u00fck bir hareket bekleyenler i\u00e7in \u201clong straddle\u201d stratejisi (ayn\u0131 vadede hem al\u0131m opsiyonu\/call hem sat\u0131m opsiyonu\/put almak) kullan\u0131labilir. Bu y\u00f6ntem, fiyat\u0131n yukar\u0131 ya da a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc hareket etmesi halinde kazan\u00e7 imk\u00e2n\u0131 sa\u011flar.<\/p>\n

Piyasa, tek bir haberde h\u0131zla y\u00f6n de\u011fi\u015ftirebildi\u011fi i\u00e7in, uzun (y\u00fckseli\u015f y\u00f6nl\u00fc) pozisyonlar 1,0820\u2019deki yak\u0131n deste\u011fin alt\u0131na \u201cstop-loss\u201d (zarar\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rlamak i\u00e7in otomatik sat\u0131\u015f emri) ile korunmal\u0131. Risk y\u00f6netimi kritik; iki merkez bankas\u0131ndan gelecek bir s\u00fcrpriz teknik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc kolayca g\u00f6lgede b\u0131rakabilir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Piyasalar nefesini tuttu: EUR\/USD, zay\u0131flayan dolar ve \u0130ran kaynakl\u0131 man\u015fetlerle 1,1730\u2019a toparland\u0131. Fed-ECB kararlar\u0131 oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131 art\u0131rabilir; diren\u00e7 1,1749, destek 1,1696. Opsiyon stratejileri \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-45502","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45502","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=45502"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45502\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=45502"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=45502"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=45502"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}