AUD\/USD ikinci g\u00fcn de y\u00fckseldi ve Pazartesi g\u00fcnk\u00fc s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 geri \u00e7ekilmenin ard\u0131ndan Asya seans\u0131nda yakla\u015f\u0131k 0,7170\u2019e ula\u015ft\u0131. Parite, yakla\u015f\u0131k iki haftad\u0131r korunan bant i\u00e7inde kald\u0131.<\/p>\n
ABD Dolar\u0131, piyasalar\u0131n bu haftaki FOMC toplant\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 beklemesiyle zay\u0131f seyrini s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fc. Genel olarak olumlu risk i\u015ftah\u0131, Dolara talebi azaltt\u0131.<\/p>\n
AUD\/USD, ABD-\u0130ran bar\u0131\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerinin t\u0131kanmas\u0131na ve H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131 \u00e7evresindeki gerilime ra\u011fmen Avustralya Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (RBA) \u201c\u015fahin\u201d (faizlerin y\u00fcksek kalabilece\u011fine i\u015faret eden s\u0131k\u0131 duru\u015f) s\u00f6yleminden destek buldu. Bu unsurlar, seans boyunca paritenin g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc kalmas\u0131na yard\u0131mc\u0131 oldu.<\/p>\n
Teknik a\u00e7\u0131dan son d\u00f6nemdeki yatay seyir, Mart\u2019ta test edilen 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck basit hareketli ortalamadan (belirli g\u00fcn say\u0131s\u0131ndaki kapan\u0131\u015f fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n ortalamas\u0131) gelen y\u00fckseli\u015fin ard\u0131ndan \u201cyukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc konsolidasyon\u201d (y\u00fckseli\u015f sonras\u0131 dinlenme ve g\u00fc\u00e7 toplama) olarak g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Momentum g\u00f6stergeleri (fiyat hareketinin h\u0131z\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6l\u00e7en ara\u00e7lar) pozitif kald\u0131: RSI (G\u00f6reli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi) 60\u2019\u0131n \u00fczerinde ve a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 al\u0131m b\u00f6lgesinde de\u011fil; MACD histogram\u0131 (iki hareketli ortalama aras\u0131ndaki fark\u0131n g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00f6steren b\u00f6l\u00fcm) art\u0131 b\u00f6lgede.<\/p>\n
Banttan \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f ve y\u00fckseli\u015fin teyidi i\u00e7in 0,7185\u20130,7190 \u00fczerine net bir hareket gerekiyor. Geri \u00e7ekilmelerde 0,7100 \u00f6ncesinde destek izleniyor; 0,7100 alt\u0131na belirgin ini\u015f ise d\u00fczeltmeye i\u015faret eder.<\/p>\n
AUD\/USD, 0,7170 civar\u0131nda al\u0131c\u0131 \u00e7ekerek olumlu bir g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm sergiliyor. Bu hareketi, \u00f6zellikle 2026 ilk \u00e7eyrek enflasyonunun %3,6 ile g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc gelmesinin ard\u0131ndan RBA\u2019n\u0131n \u015fahin duru\u015fu destekliyor. Bu veri, RBA\u2019n\u0131n faizleri di\u011fer merkez bankalar\u0131na k\u0131yasla daha uzun s\u00fcre y\u00fcksek tutabilece\u011fi beklentisini g\u00fc\u00e7lendiriyor.<\/p>\n
Bu haftaki kritik FOMC toplant\u0131s\u0131 \u00f6ncesinde ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019n\u0131n zay\u0131flamas\u0131, Avustralya Dolar\u0131\u2019ndaki y\u00fckseli\u015fi destekliyor. ABD\u2019de \u00e7ekirdek enflasyon (enerji ve g\u0131da gibi oynak kalemler hari\u00e7 enflasyon) %2,8 civar\u0131nda seyrederken yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar, Fed\u2019den (ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131) net bir politika mesaj\u0131 gelece\u011fine \u015fimdilik g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc \u015fekilde bahis yapmaktan ka\u00e7\u0131n\u0131yor. Bu belirsizlik \u201cgreenback\u201d (ABD Dolar\u0131) \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 kurarken Avustralya Dolar\u0131 gibi risk i\u015ftah\u0131na duyarl\u0131 para birimlerine yar\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
Temel tarafta emtia fiyatlar\u0131 da destek veriyor: Demir cevheri ton ba\u015f\u0131na 115 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerinde tutunuyor. Ayr\u0131ca veriler, \u00c7in ekonomisinin 2026 ilk \u00e7eyrekte %5,3 b\u00fcy\u00fcd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00f6sterdi. Bu, Avustralya\u2019n\u0131n en b\u00fcy\u00fck ticaret orta\u011f\u0131na ili\u015fkin g\u00fcveni art\u0131rarak Avustralya Dolar\u0131 i\u00e7in ek destek sa\u011fl\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
T\u00fcrev \u00fcr\u00fcn (dayanak varl\u0131\u011fa ba\u011fl\u0131 s\u00f6zle\u015fmeler) yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131 i\u00e7in bu g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm, yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc k\u0131r\u0131lma senaryosunu \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131yor. 0,7190 direncinin hemen \u00fczerinde \u201ckullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131\u201d (strike: opsiyonun devreye girdi\u011fi fiyat seviyesi) al\u0131m opsiyonu (call: fiyat y\u00fckseli\u015fine y\u00f6nelik hak) almak, y\u00fckseli\u015fin s\u00fcrmesine pozisyon almak i\u00e7in bir y\u00f6ntem olabilir. 2025\u2019teki oynakl\u0131ktan (volatilite: fiyatlar\u0131n dalgalanma \u015fiddeti) hat\u0131rland\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00fczere, FOMC gibi bir kataliz\u00f6r (piyasay\u0131 h\u0131zla hareketlendiren geli\u015fme) ortaya \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131\u011f\u0131nda bu t\u00fcr bantlar sert bi\u00e7imde k\u0131r\u0131labilir.<\/p>\n
Di\u011fer yandan 0,7100\u2019e do\u011fru geri \u00e7ekilmeler, uzun pozisyon (fiyat art\u0131\u015f\u0131na oynayan i\u015flem) a\u00e7mak veya sat\u0131m opsiyonu (put: fiyat d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcne y\u00f6nelik hak) satmak i\u00e7in f\u0131rsat yaratabilir. Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar, bu seviyede ya da alt\u0131nda \u201cnakit teminatl\u0131\u201d put (cash-secured: olas\u0131 al\u0131m i\u00e7in nakit ayr\u0131larak yap\u0131lan opsiyon sat\u0131\u015f\u0131) satarak prim (opsiyon geliri) toplay\u0131p ayn\u0131 zamanda bir giri\u015f seviyesi belirleyebilir. Ancak deste\u011fin alt\u0131nda kal\u0131c\u0131 bir k\u0131r\u0131lma, bu y\u00fckseli\u015f beklentisinin yeniden de\u011ferlendirilmesi gerekti\u011fini g\u00f6sterir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
AUD\/USD iki g\u00fcnd\u00fcr t\u0131rman\u0131p 0,7170\u2019e dayand\u0131: FOMC \u00f6ncesi zay\u0131f Dolar ve \u015fahin RBA r\u00fczg\u00e2r\u0131 arkada. 0,7190 \u00fczeri k\u0131r\u0131lma y\u00fckseli\u015fi teyit eder; 0,7100 kritik destek.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-45499","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45499","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=45499"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45499\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=45499"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=45499"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=45499"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}