GBP\/USD, g\u00fcnl\u00fck a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u015f seviyesinin alt\u0131nda kald\u0131 ancak kay\u0131plar\u0131n\u0131 azaltt\u0131; Pazartesi Asya saatlerinde 1,3520 civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc. ABD\u2013\u0130ran g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeleri t\u0131kand\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in risk i\u015ftah\u0131 d\u00fc\u015ferken Sterlin zay\u0131flad\u0131.<\/p>\n
Bloomberg, Pazar g\u00fcn\u00fc Ba\u015fkan Donald Trump\u2019\u0131n \u0130ran\u2019la do\u011frudan g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelere destek olabilecek Pakistan heyeti ziyaretini iptal etti\u011fini yazd\u0131. Trump, \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n g\u00fcvenli hatlar \u00fczerinden ABD ile do\u011frudan ileti\u015fime ge\u00e7ebilece\u011fini s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n
Cumartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc Trump, g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelere arabuluculuk yapan Pakistan\u2019a Jared Kushner ve Steve Witkoff\u2019un gitmemesini istedi. Trump, \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n \u201c\u00e7ok \u015fey teklif etti\u011fini ama yeterli olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131\u201d s\u00f6ylerken, \u0130ran Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 Mesud Peze\u015fkiyan \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n \u201ctehdit veya abluka alt\u0131nda dayat\u0131lan m\u00fczakerelere\u201d girmeyece\u011fini s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n
CNN, Cumartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc Washington DC\u2019deki Beyaz Saray Muhabirleri Yeme\u011fi s\u0131ras\u0131nda Beyaz Saray yak\u0131n\u0131nda olas\u0131 silah sesleri sonras\u0131 Trump\u2019\u0131n Gizli Servis (ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131\u2019n\u0131 koruyan birim) taraf\u0131ndan h\u0131zla sahneden indirildi\u011fini bildirdi. Ba\u015fkan Yard\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131 JD Vance ve baz\u0131 kabine \u00fcyeleri de alandan \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n
Ate\u015fkesin bask\u0131 alt\u0131na girmesiyle ABD Dolar\u0131 \u201cg\u00fcvenli liman\u201d talebiyle g\u00fc\u00e7lendi. (G\u00fcvenli liman: kriz zamanlar\u0131nda yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131n\u0131n s\u0131\u011f\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131 varl\u0131k.) \u0130srail ve Hizbullah, \u00fc\u00e7 haftal\u0131k \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmas\u0131zl\u0131k hedefleyen ABD arac\u0131l\u0131 uzatmaya ra\u011fmen sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131 art\u0131rd\u0131.<\/p>\n
Jeopolitik gerilim y\u00fckselirken piyasa korkusunda belirgin art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor ve bu durum \u201ct\u00fcrev\u201d piyasas\u0131na (hisse\/kur gibi bir varl\u0131\u011fa dayal\u0131 s\u00f6zle\u015fmeler) h\u0131zla yans\u0131yor. CBOE Volatilite Endeksi (VIX) \u2014 piyasadaki oynakl\u0131k beklentisini g\u00f6sterdi\u011fi i\u00e7in \u201ckorku endeksi\u201d olarak an\u0131l\u0131r \u2014 bu ay %30\u2019dan fazla y\u00fckselerek 28 civar\u0131na \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. (Volatilite\/oynakl\u0131k: fiyatlar\u0131n ne kadar h\u0131zl\u0131 ve sert dalgaland\u0131\u011f\u0131.) Bu seviye, 2024 sonundaki dalgal\u0131 d\u00f6nemden beri kal\u0131c\u0131 olmam\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Bu tablo, \u201copsiyon\u201d maliyetlerinin (belirli bir fiyattan alma\/satma hakk\u0131 veren s\u00f6zle\u015fmeler; korunma veya k\u0131sa vadeli i\u015flem i\u00e7in kullan\u0131l\u0131r) h\u0131zla artt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131, beklemenin daha pahal\u0131 \u201cprim\u201d (opsiyonun fiyat\u0131) anlam\u0131na gelebilece\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p>\n
Riskten ka\u00e7\u0131\u015f, ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019n\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lendiriyor; Dolar Endeksi (DXY) sermaye g\u00fcvenli liman ararken 107\u2019deki kritik direncin \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. (DXY: dolar\u0131n ba\u015fl\u0131ca para birimlerine kar\u015f\u0131 de\u011ferini \u00f6l\u00e7en endeks.) GBP\/USD i\u00e7in bu ortam a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bask\u0131n\u0131n s\u00fcrebilece\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor. Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar 1,3500 deste\u011finin alt\u0131na sarkma ihtimaline kar\u015f\u0131 \u201cput\u201d almay\u0131 veya \u201cay\u0131 piyasas\u0131 put spreadi\u201d kurmay\u0131 de\u011ferlendirebilir. (Put: fiyat d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcne kar\u015f\u0131 k\u00e2r\/koruma sa\u011flayan opsiyon. Put spread: maliyeti d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrmek i\u00e7in bir put al\u0131p ba\u015fka bir put sat\u0131larak kurulan kombinasyon.) Benzer bir dinamik 2022\u2019de Do\u011fu Avrupa\u2019da gerilim artarken g\u00f6r\u00fclm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc; dolar \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kan s\u0131\u011f\u0131nak olmu\u015ftu.<\/p>\n
Orta Do\u011fu\u2019da, \u00f6zellikle \u0130ran ve \u0130srail\u2013Hizbullah ate\u015fkesindeki bozulma enerji piyasalar\u0131n\u0131 do\u011frudan etkiliyor. WTI ham petrol (ABD tipi petrol g\u00f6stergesi) son iki haftada %12 y\u00fckseldi ve varil fiyat\u0131 95 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131; piyasalar olas\u0131 arz kesintilerini fiyatl\u0131yor. Petrol vadeli i\u015flemlerinde (gelecekte teslimli standart s\u00f6zle\u015fme) \u201ccall\u201d opsiyonlar\u0131 (fiyat y\u00fckseli\u015finden fayda sa\u011flayan opsiyon) ve enerji hisseleri, enflasyona kar\u015f\u0131 korunma veya \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n tetikledi\u011fi ek y\u00fckseli\u015flere oynama a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan daha \u00f6nemli hale geliyor.<\/p>\n
Bu riskten ka\u00e7\u0131\u015f havas\u0131, istikrardan beslenen hisse piyasalar\u0131 i\u00e7in g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir bask\u0131. S&P 500 ve FTSE 100 gibi ana endekslerde sat\u0131\u015f bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n artmas\u0131 beklenebilir. Bu endekslerde \u201cparan\u0131n d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda\u201d put almak, sert bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe kar\u015f\u0131 daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck maliyetli bir koruma sa\u011flar. (Paran\u0131n d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda: mevcut fiyat\u0131n d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda kalan, bu y\u00fczden primi daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck olabilen opsiyon.)<\/p>\n
Canl\u0131 VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturun<\/a>\u00a0ve\u00a0hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n<\/a>. <\/b><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Jeopolitik tansiyon t\u0131rman\u0131yor: ABD\u2013\u0130ran g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeleri t\u0131kan\u0131nca risk i\u015ftah\u0131 d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc, GBP\/USD 1,3520\u2019ye geriledi. Dolar g\u00fc\u00e7lenirken VIX %30 artt\u0131; 1,3500 deste\u011fi kritik, put stratejileri \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-45494","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45494","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=45494"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45494\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=45494"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=45494"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=45494"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}