OCBC analistleri, H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019ndaki restle\u015fme ve ABD-\u0130ran sava\u015f\u0131 nedeniyle risk i\u015ftah\u0131n\u0131n (yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n riskli varl\u0131klara y\u00f6nelme iste\u011fi) azalmas\u0131 ve ithal maliyet bask\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n artmas\u0131yla USD\/SGD\u2019de s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 da olsa yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc risk g\u00f6r\u00fcyor. USD\/SGD, ABD dolar\u0131ndaki genel toparlanmayla gece saatlerinde hafif y\u00fckseldi ve son olarak 1,2780 civar\u0131ndayd\u0131.<\/p>\n
Analistler g\u00fcnl\u00fck grafikte d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f y\u00f6nl\u00fc ivmenin (fiyat\u0131n a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 h\u0131z\u0131n\u0131n) zay\u0131flad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131, RSI\u2019\u0131n y\u00fckseldi\u011fini bildiriyor. RSI (G\u00f6reli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi), fiyat\u0131n a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 al\u0131m\/a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 sat\u0131m b\u00f6lgesine yakla\u015f\u0131p yakla\u015fmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steren bir teknik g\u00f6stergedir. K\u0131sa vadeli diren\u00e7 1,2790\/1,28 seviyelerinde (21 ve 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck hareketli ortalamalar; ayr\u0131ca 2026 dipten zirveye hareketin %38,2 Fibonacci d\u00fczeltmesi) ve 1,2850\u2019de (200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck hareketli ortalama ve %23,6 Fibonacci seviyesi) bulunuyor. Hareketli ortalama, belirli g\u00fcn say\u0131s\u0131ndaki ortalama fiyat\u0131 alarak trendi daha net g\u00f6steren bir \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcmd\u00fcr. Fibonacci d\u00fczeltmesi ise fiyat\u0131n \u00f6nceki b\u00fcy\u00fck hareketine g\u00f6re olas\u0131 geri \u00e7ekilme\/d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f seviyelerini i\u015faret eden teknik seviyelerdir. Destek 1,2750\/60 (50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck hareketli ortalama ve %50 Fibonacci seviyesi) ve 1,2670\u2019te (%76,4 Fibonacci) g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Analistler Singapur dolar\u0131n\u0131, daha y\u00fcksek \u201cbeta\u201dya (piyasa dalgalanmas\u0131na daha hassas) sahip d\u00f6vizlere g\u00f6re daha dayan\u0131kl\u0131 kalabilen b\u00f6lgesel bir \u201cdefansif\u201d para birimi olarak tan\u0131ml\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
OCBC ekonomistleri, \u00e7at\u0131\u015fman\u0131n uzamas\u0131 ve H\u00fcrm\u00fcz\u2019\u00fcn kapanmas\u0131 nedeniyle \u015firketlerin enerji ve petrokimya maliyetlerinin artmas\u0131n\u0131 bekliyor. Bu maliyetlerin tedarik zincirleri boyunca yans\u0131mas\u0131yla Singapur enflasyonunun 2% seviyesine do\u011fru yakla\u015faca\u011f\u0131n\u0131; bunun 2026 ikinci \u00e7eyre\u011fe ve muhtemelen sonras\u0131na sarkabilece\u011fini \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n
Singapur dolar\u0131 genelde b\u00f6lgesel \u00f6l\u00e7ekte defansif bir para birimi gibi hareket etse de, i\u00e7erideki enflasyon bask\u0131s\u0131 bu dayan\u0131kl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 zay\u0131flatabilir. 2022\u2019deki enerji \u015fokunda da benzer \u015fekilde, ABD dolar\u0131 k\u00fcresel \u00f6l\u00e7ekte g\u00fc\u00e7lenmi\u015fti. T\u00fcrev i\u015flem yapanlar (opsiyon\/forward gibi s\u00f6zle\u015fmelerle kur riskini y\u00f6netmeye yarayan \u00fcr\u00fcnler), USD\/SGD kurunun y\u00fckselmesine kar\u015f\u0131 koruma sa\u011flayan stratejileri de\u011ferlendirebilir; k\u00fcresel \u201cg\u00fcvenli liman\u201d aray\u0131\u015f\u0131, MAS\u2019\u0131n (Singapur Merkez Bankas\u0131\/para otoritesi) g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc duru\u015funa ra\u011fmen k\u0131sa s\u00fcreli\u011fine daha bask\u0131n gelebilir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
H\u00fcrm\u00fcz gerilimi t\u0131rman\u0131rken OCBC, risk i\u015ftah\u0131ndaki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f ve ithal maliyet bask\u0131s\u0131yla USD\/SGD\u2019de s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 yukar\u0131 risk g\u00f6r\u00fcyor. Teknikte ivme zay\u0131fl\u0131yor; diren\u00e7 1,28-1,2850; destek 1,2750. Enflasyon 2%\u2019ye yakla\u015fabilir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-45486","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45486","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=45486"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45486\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=45486"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=45486"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=45486"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}