G\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f (XAG\/USD), Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00fcn i\u00e7i en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviye olan 73,95 dolardan toparlanmas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan %0,50\u2019den fazla y\u00fckseldi. Washington ile Tahran aras\u0131nda g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerin yeniden ba\u015flayabilece\u011fine dair haberler, ABD hisseleri ve de\u011ferli metallerdeki y\u00fckseli\u015fle ayn\u0131 d\u00f6neme denk geldi. Yaz\u0131m s\u0131ras\u0131nda XAG\/USD 75,83 dolarda.<\/p>\n
Fiyat hareketi, 75,64 dolarda bulunan 20 g\u00fcnl\u00fck ve 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck Basit Hareketli Ortalamalar (SMA: belirli g\u00fcn say\u0131s\u0131ndaki kapan\u0131\u015f fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n ortalamas\u0131) \u00e7evresinde yatay seyre (konsolidasyon: belirgin y\u00f6n olmadan dar bantta hareket) i\u015faret ediyor. 23 Mart\u2019ta 61,02 dolar civar\u0131ndaki dipten bu yana g\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f daha y\u00fcksek dipler yapt\u0131 (her geri \u00e7ekilmede diplerin bir \u00f6nceki dipten y\u00fcksek kalmas\u0131), son y\u00fckseli\u015f 83,05 dolar civar\u0131nda tepe yapt\u0131ktan sonra 75,00 dolara do\u011fru geri \u00e7ekildi.<\/p>\n
Momentum (ivme: fiyat\u0131n h\u0131z\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6l\u00e7en g\u00f6stergeler) a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc riske i\u015faret ediyor; G\u00f6reli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi (RSI: 0-100 aras\u0131 de\u011fer al\u0131r, al\u0131m-sat\u0131m bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6l\u00e7er) zay\u0131f g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcmde. D\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn s\u00fcrmesi i\u00e7in fiyat\u0131n \u00f6nce 75,00 dolar\u0131n alt\u0131na inmesi, ard\u0131ndan 13 Nisan dibi 72,61 dolar\u0131n ve 7 Nisan dibi 69,82 dolar\u0131n k\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 gerekir.<\/p>\n
Yukar\u0131 hareket i\u00e7in fiyat\u0131n yeniden 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA\u2019n\u0131n ve ard\u0131ndan 78,57 dolardaki 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA\u2019n\u0131n (daha k\u0131sa vadeli ortalama) \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131 gerekiyor. Bu b\u00f6lgenin \u00fczerinde izlenen bir sonraki seviye 80,00 dolar.<\/p>\n
Temel g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm (fiyat\u0131 etkileyen arz-talep ve makro etkenler) y\u00fckseli\u015fi destekliyor. G\u00fcm\u00fc\u015fte sanayi talebi artarken, Uluslararas\u0131 Enerji Ajans\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (IEA) son verileri 2026\u2019n\u0131n ilk \u00e7eyre\u011finde g\u00fcne\u015f paneli kurulumlar\u0131n\u0131n y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda (ge\u00e7en y\u0131l\u0131n ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nemine g\u00f6re) %15 artt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor. Silver Institute\u2019un 2026 raporu da \u00fcst \u00fcste d\u00f6rd\u00fcnc\u00fc y\u0131l belirgin arz a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131na (talebin arz\u0131 a\u015fmas\u0131) i\u015faret ediyor; bu durum piyasada fiyat\u0131 a\u015fa\u011f\u0131da tutan g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir destek zemini olu\u015fturuyor.<\/p>\n
Para politikas\u0131 (merkez bankas\u0131n\u0131n faiz ve likidite kararlar\u0131) da destekleyici. ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131 (Fed), enflasyonun son veride %2,8\u2019e gerilemesi sonras\u0131 faiz art\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131na ara sinyali verdi. Bu ortam ABD dolar\u0131n\u0131 zay\u0131flat\u0131r ve faiz geliri \u00fcretmeyen varl\u0131klar\u0131 (kupon\/faiz \u00f6demesi olmayan varl\u0131klar) g\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f gibi alternatifleri daha cazip k\u0131lar. Piyasa, \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyre\u011fe kadar olas\u0131 bir faiz indirimi fiyatl\u0131yor; bu da bir sonraki y\u00fckseli\u015f dalgas\u0131n\u0131 destekleyebilir.<\/p>\n
Bu olumlu zeminle, beklenen yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc ivmeden yararlanmak i\u00e7in al\u0131m opsiyonu (call: belirli bir fiyattan alma hakk\u0131 veren s\u00f6zle\u015fme) al\u0131nmas\u0131 de\u011ferlendirilebilir. Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar, mevcut bant aral\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n (k\u0131sa vadede gidip gelinen fiyat aral\u0131\u011f\u0131) biraz \u00fczerinde, yakla\u015f\u0131k 88 dolar kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 (strike: opsiyonun \u201chak fiyat\u0131\u201d) Haziran veya Temmuz 2026 vadeli call opsiyonlar\u0131na bakabilir. Bu strateji, psikolojik 90 dolar seviyesine (yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar i\u00e7in \u201cyuvarlak\u201d ve takip edilen seviye) ve \u00fczerine olas\u0131 hareketten kald\u0131ra\u00e7l\u0131 (daha az sermayeyle daha b\u00fcy\u00fck fiyat hareketine maruz kalma) faydalanmay\u0131 hedefler.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
G\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f 73,95\u2019ten toparlan\u0131p 75,83\u2019e y\u00fckseldi; 20\/100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA \u00e7evresinde s\u0131k\u0131\u015f\u0131yor. RSI zay\u0131f. 75 alt\u0131 72,61-69,82 risk. \u00dcstte 78,57-80 hedef; arz a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 Fed deste\u011fiyle \u00e7a\u011fr\u0131 opsiyonu g\u00fcndemde.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-45480","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45480","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=45480"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45480\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=45480"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=45480"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=45480"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}