NZD\/USD, ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (USD) Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc zay\u0131flamas\u0131yla y\u00fckseldi. Parite 0,5880 civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcrken g\u00fcn i\u00e7inde yakla\u015f\u0131k %0,46 art\u0131da seyretti. \u00dc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc haftal\u0131k art\u0131\u015f\u0131na haz\u0131rlan\u0131yordu.<\/p>\n
Haberlere g\u00f6re ABD\u2019li yetkililer Steve Witkoff ve Jared Kushner, \u0130ran\u2019la ba\u011flant\u0131l\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeler i\u00e7in \u0130slamabad\u2019a gidecekti. \u0130ran D\u0131\u015fi\u015fleri Bakan\u0131 Abbas Araghchi\u2019nin de \u0130slamabad\u2019a y\u00f6neldi\u011fi bildirildi.<\/p>\n
ABD Dolar Endeksi (DXY: dolar\u0131n ba\u015fl\u0131ca para birimlerine kar\u015f\u0131 genel g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00f6steren endeks) 98,94 ile g\u00f6r\u00fclen bir haftan\u0131n zirvesinden 98,56\u2019ya geriledi; yakla\u015f\u0131k %0,27 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f kaydetti. Hareket, g\u00fcvenli liman (belirsizlikte tercih edilen varl\u0131klar) talebinin azalmas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan geldi.<\/p>\n
Do\u011frudan g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelere ili\u015fkin do\u011frulanm\u0131\u015f bir i\u015faret yoktu; Pakistan\u2019\u0131n taraflar aras\u0131nda arac\u0131 kanal olarak rol ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 belirtildi. Devam eden ABD deniz ablukas\u0131, m\u00fczakere \u00f6n\u00fcnde engel olarak tan\u0131mland\u0131.<\/p>\n
H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131 \u00e7evresindeki gerilim s\u00fcrd\u00fc. B\u00f6lgenin \u201c\u00e7ift tarafl\u0131 abluka\u201d alt\u0131nda kalmas\u0131 petrol sevkiyat\u0131n\u0131 aksat\u0131yordu. Petrol fiyatlar\u0131 risk primi (jeopolitik risk nedeniyle fiyata eklenen ilave pay) ta\u015f\u0131maya devam ederken bu durum enflasyon (genel fiyat art\u0131\u015f\u0131) endi\u015felerini art\u0131rd\u0131.<\/p>\n
Yeni Zelanda\u2019da piyasalar, y\u00fcksek enflasyon ve petrole ba\u011fl\u0131 riskler nedeniyle Yeni Zelanda Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (RBNZ) May\u0131s toplant\u0131s\u0131nda faizleri daha da art\u0131rmas\u0131n\u0131 bekliyordu. ABD\u2019de ise piyasalar, gelecek haftaki Fed toplant\u0131s\u0131nda \u201cpas ge\u00e7ilmesini\u201d (faiz art\u0131rmama) tamamen fiyatlad\u0131; faizin daha uzun s\u00fcre sabit kalaca\u011f\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc.<\/p>\n
Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar, ABD-\u0130ran hatt\u0131nda ABD Dolar\u0131 ve NZD\/USD\u2019yi oynatabilecek geli\u015fmeleri izliyordu.<\/p>\n
T\u00fcrev \u00fcr\u00fcn (de\u011feri ba\u015fka bir varl\u0131\u011fa ba\u011fl\u0131 finansal s\u00f6zle\u015fmeler) i\u015flemi yapanlar i\u00e7in bu politika ayr\u0131\u015fmas\u0131, NZD\/USD al\u0131m opsiyonu (call: belirli fiyattan alma hakk\u0131) almay\u0131 daha temkinli bir strateji haline getirebilir. \u00d6rne\u011fin 6-8 hafta vadeli, 0,6200 kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 (strike: opsiyonun hak fiyat\u0131) al\u0131m opsiyonlar\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fclebilir. Bu yakla\u015f\u0131m, y\u00fckseli\u015ften faydalanmay\u0131 hedeflerken olas\u0131 zarar\u0131 \u00f6denen primle (opsiyon \u00fccreti) s\u0131n\u0131rlar.<\/p>\n
Alternatif olarak risk d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015fleri (risk reversal: al\u0131m ve sat\u0131m opsiyonlar\u0131 aras\u0131ndaki fiyat fark\u0131\/e\u011filimi g\u00f6steren yap\u0131) izlenebilir. Piyasa jeopolitik g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerin bozulmas\u0131ndan \u00e7ekinirken, NZD\/USD sat\u0131m opsiyonlar\u0131nda (put: belirli fiyattan satma hakk\u0131) z\u0131mni oynakl\u0131k (implied volatility: opsiyon fiyat\u0131na yans\u0131yan beklenen dalgalanma) y\u00fcksek kalabilir. Bu durumdan yararlanmak i\u00e7in sat\u0131m opsiyonu satarak elde edilen primle al\u0131m opsiyonu almak, daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck net maliyetle yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc pozisyon kurmaya yard\u0131mc\u0131 olabilir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
S\u00fcrpriz ralli: Dolar zay\u0131flad\u0131, NZD\/USD 0,5880\u2019e t\u0131rman\u0131p %0,46 artt\u0131. ABD-\u0130ran\/Pakistan diplomasisi risk i\u015ftah\u0131n\u0131 destekliyor; RBNZ s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fma, Fed pas g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcyle parite \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc haftal\u0131k y\u00fckseli\u015fe haz\u0131rlan\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-45467","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45467","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=45467"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45467\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=45467"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=45467"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=45467"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}