EUR\/GBP cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc 0,8671 civar\u0131nda kald\u0131; dar bir aral\u0131kta hareket etti ve g\u00fcn\u00fc genel olarak yatay kapatt\u0131. Piyasan\u0131n dikkati ABD\u2013\u0130ran geli\u015fmelerinde kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in parite \u00fcst \u00fcste \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc haftal\u0131k d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe haz\u0131rlan\u0131yordu.<\/p>\n
Sterlin, mart ay\u0131na ili\u015fkin Birle\u015fik Krall\u0131k Perakende Sat\u0131\u015flar verisiyle (t\u00fcketicilerin ma\u011faza ve \u00e7evrim i\u00e7i harcamalar\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steren veri) destek buldu. Man\u015fet sat\u0131\u015flar ayl\u0131k bazda (MoM) %0,7 artt\u0131; beklenti %0,2 idi. \u00d6nceki ay %0,6 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fclm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. Sat\u0131\u015flar y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda (YoY) %1,7 artt\u0131; \u00f6nceki %1,8\u2019in alt\u0131nda kalsa da %1,3 tahmininin \u00fczerinde geldi.<\/p>\n
Euro, Almanya IFO \u0130\u015f Ortam\u0131 Endeksi\u2019nin (\u015firketlerin mevcut durum ve beklentilerine dayal\u0131 g\u00fcven g\u00f6stergesi) nisan ay\u0131nda 86,3\u2019ten 84,4\u2019e gerilemesiyle zay\u0131flad\u0131; beklenti 85,5\u2019ti. Mevcut Durum 86,7\u2019den 85,4\u2019e indi (beklenti 86,2), Beklentiler ise 85,9\u2019dan 83,3\u2019e d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc (beklenti 85).<\/p>\n
Haberlerde \u0130ran D\u0131\u015fi\u015fleri Bakan\u0131 Abbas Araghchi\u2019nin \u0130slamabad\u2019a gitmesinin beklendi\u011fi belirtildi; ancak IRNA, ziyaretin ABD ile do\u011frudan temas i\u00e7in de\u011fil, Pakistanl\u0131 yetkililerle g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeler i\u00e7in oldu\u011funu yazd\u0131. ABD\u2019nin deniz ablukas\u0131 ve H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019nda \u201c\u00e7ifte abluka\u201d ihtimali, petrol arz\u0131na y\u00f6nelik riskleri ve enerji fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 y\u00fcksek tutarak enflasyon (fiyat art\u0131\u015f h\u0131z\u0131) endi\u015felerini art\u0131rd\u0131.<\/p>\n
ECB (Avrupa Merkez Bankas\u0131) ve BoE\u2019nin (\u0130ngiltere Merkez Bankas\u0131) gelecek hafta faizleri sabit tutmas\u0131 bekleniyor; odak, y\u00f6nlendirmede olacak. Enflasyon genelde T\u00dcFE (T\u00fcketici Fiyat Endeksi) ve \u00e7ekirdek T\u00dcFE (g\u0131da ve enerji gibi oynak kalemler hari\u00e7) ile izleniyor; bir\u00e7ok merkez bankas\u0131 yakla\u015f\u0131k %2 hedefi benimsiyor.<\/p>\n
BoE, son bir y\u0131lda enflasyon riskine daha sert kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k verdi; iki faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131yla politika faizini (Bank Rate) %5,75\u2019e ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131. Mart 2026 Birle\u015fik Krall\u0131k enflasyonu %3,1 ile y\u00fcksek kal\u0131rken, karar vericilerin faiz indiriminde acele etmeyece\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor. Bu yakla\u015f\u0131m, t\u00fcketicinin g\u00f6rece diren\u00e7li seyrinin s\u00fcrmesiyle de destekleniyor; son perakende sat\u0131\u015f verileri s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 ama devam eden bir art\u0131\u015fa i\u015faret etti.<\/p>\n
Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k ECB, Avro B\u00f6lgesi\u2019nde \u00f6zellikle Almanya\u2019da s\u00fcren zay\u0131f b\u00fcy\u00fcme nedeniyle daha temkinli kald\u0131. Son bir y\u0131lda yaln\u0131zca bir kez faiz art\u0131ran ECB\u2019nin ana politika faizi %4,25 seviyesinde. Avro B\u00f6lgesi enflasyonu %2,5\u2019e inerken, piyasalar y\u0131l sonuna kadar faiz indirimi olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 fiyatl\u0131yor. Bu geni\u015fleyen faiz fark\u0131 (iki ekonomi aras\u0131ndaki faiz oran\u0131 fark\u0131), Euro \u00fczerinde Sterlin\u2019e kar\u015f\u0131 bask\u0131y\u0131 art\u0131r\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
T\u00fcrev (de\u011feri bir ba\u015fka varl\u0131\u011fa ba\u011fl\u0131 finansal \u00fcr\u00fcn) i\u015flemi yapanlar i\u00e7in bu ortam, EUR\/GBP\u2019de s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 ama s\u00fcren bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015ften kazan\u00e7 hedefleyen stratejileri \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131yor. Paritede \u201cput opsiyonu\u201d (belirli tarihe kadar belirli fiyattan satma hakk\u0131) almak, a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6n beklentisine oynarken azami zarar\u0131 ba\u015ftan s\u0131n\u0131rlamay\u0131 sa\u011flar.<\/p>\n
Di\u011fer yandan, paritenin \u00f6nemli diren\u00e7 seviyelerinin alt\u0131nda kalaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnenler i\u00e7in \u201cout-of-the-money\u201d (kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131 mevcut fiyattan daha uzak oldu\u011fu i\u00e7in \u015fu an k\u00e2rda olmayan) \u201ccall opsiyonu\u201d (belirli fiyattan alma hakk\u0131) satmak, prim geliri (opsiyon sat\u0131c\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00fccret) toplamak i\u00e7in kullan\u0131labilir. Enerji fiyatlar\u0131 oynakl\u0131k (fiyatlar\u0131n h\u0131zl\u0131 ve sert dalgalanmas\u0131) kayna\u011f\u0131 olmaya devam etti\u011fi i\u00e7in, opsiyonlar \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda riski y\u00f6netmekte faydal\u0131 bir ara\u00e7 olabilir.<\/p>\n
Canl\u0131 VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturun<\/a>\u00a0ve\u00a0hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n<\/a>. <\/b><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" EUR\/GBP 0,8671\u2019de yatay; \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc haftal\u0131k d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f kap\u0131da. Sterlin perakende sat\u0131\u015f s\u00fcrpriziyle g\u00fc\u00e7lenirken Euro, IFO\u2019daki sert gerilemeyle bask\u0131land\u0131. Faiz ayr\u0131\u015fmas\u0131 ve \u0130ran riski, opsiyon stratejilerini \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-45456","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45456","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=45456"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45456\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=45456"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=45456"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=45456"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}