{"id":45435,"date":"2026-04-24T17:25:49","date_gmt":"2026-04-24T17:25:49","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/mufgden-derek-halpenny-hurmuz-bogazindaki-aksama-petrol-ve-girdi-maliyetlerini-artirarak-abd-enflasyonunu-38e-yaklastiriyor\/"},"modified":"2026-04-24T17:25:49","modified_gmt":"2026-04-24T17:25:49","slug":"mufgden-derek-halpenny-hurmuz-bogazindaki-aksama-petrol-ve-girdi-maliyetlerini-artirarak-abd-enflasyonunu-38e-yaklastiriyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/mufgden-derek-halpenny-hurmuz-bogazindaki-aksama-petrol-ve-girdi-maliyetlerini-artirarak-abd-enflasyonunu-38e-yaklastiriyor\/","title":{"rendered":"MUFG\u2019den Derek Halpenny: H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019ndaki aksama petrol ve girdi maliyetlerini art\u0131rarak ABD enflasyonunu %3,8\u2019e yakla\u015ft\u0131r\u0131yor"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019n\u0131n uzun s\u00fcre kapal\u0131 kalmas\u0131, petrol ve \u00fcretim girdisi maliyetlerini y\u00fckseltiyor; tar\u0131m ve akaryak\u0131t fiyatlar\u0131 zaten art\u0131\u015fta. Ham petrol\u00fcn 2. \u00e7eyrekte varil ba\u015f\u0131na ortalama 115 dolar seviyesinde kalaca\u011f\u0131 varsay\u0131l\u0131yor. Bu durum ABD\u2019de enflasyonu 2. \u00e7eyrekte yakla\u015f\u0131k %3,6\u2019ya, y\u0131l\u0131n 3. ve 4. \u00e7eyre\u011finde ise yakla\u015f\u0131k %3,8\u2019e ta\u015f\u0131yabilir.<\/p>\n<p>Haberlere g\u00f6re ABD\u2019de \u00e7ift\u00e7ilikle ilgili girdilerde sert art\u0131\u015flar var. Azotlu g\u00fcbre %30\u2019dan fazla y\u00fckseldi. \u00dcre g\u00fcbresi %47 artt\u0131 (rekor art\u0131\u015f). Tar\u0131mda kullan\u0131lan dizel yak\u0131t %46 y\u00fckseldi.<\/p>\n<h3>Enerji ve Girdi Kaynakl\u0131 Enflasyon Bask\u0131s\u0131<\/h3>\n<p>H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131 haftalarca kapal\u0131 kal\u0131rsa bu maliyetler daha da artabilir. Daha pahal\u0131 g\u00fcbre ve yak\u0131t, tedarik zinciri (\u00fcr\u00fcn\u00fcn \u00fcretimden raflara ula\u015fana kadar ge\u00e7ti\u011fi t\u00fcm a\u015famalar) boyunca fiyatlara yans\u0131yaca\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in t\u00fcketici g\u0131da fiyatlar\u0131 etkilenebilir.<\/p>\n<p>Bu senaryo, k\u00fcresel piyasalarda oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n (fiyatlar\u0131n h\u0131zl\u0131 ve sert dalgalanmas\u0131) artmas\u0131 ve merkez bankalar\u0131n\u0131n para politikas\u0131n\u0131 (faiz ve likidite kararlar\u0131) daha sert s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rmas\u0131 i\u00e7in ek bask\u0131 anlam\u0131na geliyor. Rafine yak\u0131t (ham petrolden i\u015flenerek elde edilen benzin, motorin gibi \u00fcr\u00fcnler) ve g\u00fcbre fiyatlar\u0131ndaki etki, enflasyon tahminlerinin d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck kalmas\u0131na yol a\u00e7abilir.<\/p>\n<p>Makale, bir yapay zek\u00e2 arac\u0131 (metin \u00fcretmeye yard\u0131mc\u0131 yaz\u0131l\u0131m) kullan\u0131larak haz\u0131rland\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve bir edit\u00f6r taraf\u0131ndan incelendi\u011fini belirtiyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131 haftalarca kapal\u0131 kal\u0131rsa petrolde 115 dolar senaryosu enflasyonu alevlendirebilir! G\u00fcbrede %47, dizelde %46 art\u0131\u015f g\u0131daya yans\u0131r; ABD enflasyonu %3,6-%3,8 band\u0131na \u00e7\u0131kabilir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-45435","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45435","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=45435"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45435\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=45435"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=45435"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=45435"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}