ABD Savunma Bakan\u0131 Pete Hegseth, Reuters\u2019a g\u00f6re Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klamada \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n daha fazla deniz may\u0131n\u0131 d\u00f6\u015femeye y\u00f6nelik herhangi bir ad\u0131m\u0131n\u0131n ate\u015fkesin ihlali say\u0131laca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi. Hegseth, H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019ndan ge\u00e7i\u015flerin s\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc belirtti.<\/p>\n
Hegseth ayr\u0131ca, bo\u011fazdaki durumu \u00e7\u00f6zmeye y\u00f6nelik ciddi bir Avrupa giri\u015fimini ABD\u2019nin memnuniyetle kar\u015f\u0131layaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ifade etti. Ba\u015fka ayr\u0131nt\u0131 verilmedi.<\/p>\n
A\u00e7\u0131klamalar piyasalarda belirgin bir harekete yol a\u00e7mad\u0131. Haber yaz\u0131l\u0131rken ABD Dolar Endeksi (DXY: dolar\u0131n ba\u015fl\u0131ca para birimleri kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131ndaki g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00f6steren g\u00f6sterge) g\u00fcn i\u00e7inde %0,2 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle 98,60 seviyesindeydi.<\/p>\n
ABD borsa endeks vadeli i\u015flemleri (vadeliler: piyasan\u0131n a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u015f \u00f6ncesi y\u00f6n\u00fcne i\u015faret eden kontratlar) kar\u0131\u015f\u0131kt\u0131. Dow vadeli i\u015flemleri %0,1 gerilerken S&P 500 vadeli i\u015flemleri yakla\u015f\u0131k %0,4 y\u00fckseldi.<\/p>\n
Son uydu g\u00f6r\u00fcnt\u00fcleri ve deniz ula\u015f\u0131m hatt\u0131 raporlar\u0131, d\u00fcnya petrol arz\u0131n\u0131n yakla\u015f\u0131k be\u015fte birinin her g\u00fcn ge\u00e7ti\u011fi H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131 yak\u0131n\u0131nda \u0130ran deniz devriyelerinde belirgin art\u0131\u015fa i\u015faret ediyor. May\u0131n d\u00f6\u015fenmemi\u015f olsa da bu askeri g\u00f6vde g\u00f6sterisi petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 etkiliyor. Brent petrol (k\u00fcresel petrol fiyatlamas\u0131nda referans t\u00fcr) son bir ayda %10\u2019dan fazla y\u00fckselerek varil ba\u015f\u0131na 88 dolara \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131.<\/p>\n
Bu tablo, enerji piyasalar\u0131nda \u201crisk primi\u201dnin (arz kesintisi gibi olumsuz senaryolara kar\u015f\u0131 fiyata eklenen ekstra pay) y\u00fckseldi\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor. Gerginlik t\u0131rman\u0131rsa olas\u0131 arz \u015fokuna (arz\u0131n aniden d\u00fc\u015fmesi) kar\u015f\u0131, petrol vadeli i\u015flemlerinde veya USO gibi petrol odakl\u0131 ETF\u2019lerde (borsa yat\u0131r\u0131m fonu: hisse gibi al\u0131n\u0131p sat\u0131lan fon) al\u0131m opsiyonu (call: belirli fiyattan alma hakk\u0131) almak \u201ckald\u0131ra\u00e7l\u0131\u201d (k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck sermayeyle daha b\u00fcy\u00fck pozisyon etkisi) bir pozisyon sa\u011flayabilir. Ge\u00e7mi\u015fte, 1970\u2019lerin sonundaki d\u00f6nemlerde g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc gibi, bir bo\u011faz kapanmas\u0131 tehdidi bile petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 h\u0131zl\u0131 bi\u00e7imde ikiye katlayabilir.<\/p>\n
Jeopolitik belirsizlik, piyasa oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 da art\u0131rabilir. VIX endeksi (beklenen piyasa dalgalanmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6l\u00e7en \u201ckorku g\u00f6stergesi\u201d) son haftalarda 14\u2019ten 18\u2019e y\u00fckseldi. Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar, artan endi\u015feye do\u011frudan oynama veya uzun hisse pozisyonlar\u0131n\u0131 \u201chedge etme\u201d (riski dengeleme) amac\u0131yla VIX al\u0131m opsiyonlar\u0131n\u0131 de\u011ferlendirebilir.<\/p>\n
Ayr\u0131ca \u201cg\u00fcvenli liman\u201da y\u00f6neli\u015f (riskli varl\u0131klardan daha g\u00fcvenli g\u00f6r\u00fclen varl\u0131klara ge\u00e7i\u015f) ABD dolar\u0131n\u0131 destekleyebilir. Ayn\u0131 zamanda S&P 500 gibi b\u00fcy\u00fck endekslerde sat\u0131m opsiyonu (put: belirli fiyattan satma hakk\u0131) almak, petrol fiyat\u0131ndaki ani s\u0131\u00e7raman\u0131n tetikleyebilece\u011fi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe kar\u015f\u0131 korunma veya d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015ften kazan\u00e7 sa\u011flama imk\u00e2n\u0131 sunar. Piyasa, daha \u00f6nce \u00f6nemsemedi\u011fi riski giderek daha fazla fiyatl\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Hegseth: \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n H\u00fcrm\u00fcz\u2019de may\u0131n hamlesi ate\u015fkes ihlali; ge\u00e7i\u015fler s\u00fcr\u00fcyor. Piyasalar \u015fimdilik sakin, ancak petrol risk primi y\u00fckseliyor: Brent 88 dolar, VIX 18\u2019e \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Avrupa giri\u015fimi \u00e7a\u011fr\u0131s\u0131.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-45430","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45430","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=45430"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45430\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=45430"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=45430"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=45430"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}