EUR\/USD iki haftan\u0131n en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyesi olan 1,1680\u2019e geriledi; New York seans\u0131nda 1,1668\u2019i g\u00f6rd\u00fc. Parite g\u00fcn\u00fc %0,17 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle 1,1683\u2019ten kapatt\u0131; sat\u0131\u015f bask\u0131s\u0131 (fiyat\u0131 a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 \u00e7eken yo\u011fun sat\u0131\u015f) zay\u0131flamaya ba\u015flad\u0131.<\/p>\n
\u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki 24 saatte EUR\/USD\u2019nin 1,1665\u20131,1715 band\u0131nda hareket etmesi bekleniyor. Destek (fiyat\u0131n d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fte tutunabilece\u011fi seviye) 1,1685 ve 1,1665; diren\u00e7 (fiyat\u0131n y\u00fckseli\u015fte zorlanabilece\u011fi seviye) 1,1715 ve 1,1750.<\/p>\n
1\u20133 haftal\u0131k g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcmde EUR\/USD\u2019nin bant i\u00e7inde (belirli bir aral\u0131kta) kalmaya devam etti\u011fi de\u011ferlendiriliyor: \u00f6nce 1,1665\u20131,1840, ard\u0131ndan 1,1665\u20131,1795 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131na darald\u0131. Son d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle 1,1668\u2019in g\u00f6r\u00fclmesi, pariteyi band\u0131n alt s\u0131n\u0131r\u0131na yakla\u015ft\u0131rd\u0131.<\/p>\n
1,1625\u2019e do\u011fru hareketin g\u00fcndeme gelmesi i\u00e7in EUR\/USD\u2019nin 1,1665\u2019in alt\u0131na inip orada kal\u0131c\u0131 olmas\u0131 gerekir. 1,1750 a\u015f\u0131lmad\u0131k\u00e7a, 1,1665\u2019in alt\u0131na net bir k\u0131r\u0131lma riski devam ediyor.<\/p>\n
EUR\/USD\u2019de 1,1665 deste\u011fi yak\u0131ndan izleniyor; bu seviyenin alt\u0131nda kal\u0131c\u0131l\u0131k, daha fazla d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe i\u015faret eder. Parite zay\u0131f seyrini s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcyor ve a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bask\u0131 art\u0131yor. \u015eimdilik fiyat\u0131n 1,1665\u20131,1715 gibi dar bir aral\u0131kta kalmas\u0131 olas\u0131.<\/p>\n
Bu teknik zay\u0131fl\u0131\u011f\u0131, merkez bankalar\u0131na dair beklentilerde b\u00fcy\u00fcyen fark da destekliyor. Mart 2025 ABD enflasyon verileri beklentiden g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc geldi; bu durum Fed\u2019in (ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131) daha sert s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fabilece\u011fi beklentilerini (faizi daha h\u0131zl\u0131 art\u0131rma veya daha uzun s\u00fcre y\u00fcksek tutma) g\u00fc\u00e7lendirdi. Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k Avrupa\u2019daki politika yap\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131n son a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131 daha temkinli bir \u00e7izgiye i\u015faret ediyor. Bu ayr\u0131\u015fma (politika fark\u0131), 2021 sonlar\u0131nda ABD enflasyonunun h\u0131zlanmas\u0131yla dolar\u0131n genel olarak de\u011fer kazanmas\u0131na benzer bir tablo yarat\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
1,1665 deste\u011finin k\u0131r\u0131laca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnen yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar i\u00e7in 1,1650 veya 1,1600 kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 put opsiyonu (belirli bir fiyattan satma hakk\u0131 veren opsiyon) almak basit bir y\u00f6ntemdir. Bu, 1,1625 hedefine do\u011fru olas\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015ften faydalanmay\u0131 sa\u011flar ve azami riski net bi\u00e7imde s\u0131n\u0131rlar. Opsiyon primi (\u00f6denen bedel), parite beklenmedik \u015fekilde yukar\u0131 d\u00f6nerse kaybedilebilecek en y\u00fcksek tutard\u0131r.<\/p>\n
Paritenin \u015fimdilik bantta kalaca\u011f\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcl\u00fcyorsa \u201ciron condor\u201d (dar bantta kalma beklentisiyle, alt tarafta put spread ve \u00fcst tarafta call spread sat\u0131larak kurulan s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 riskli opsiyon stratejisi) uygun bir yakla\u015f\u0131m olabilir. Bu y\u00f6ntem, 1,1665 deste\u011finin alt\u0131nda bir put spread (ayn\u0131 vadede farkl\u0131 kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 put al-sat kombinasyonu) ve 1,1750 direncinin \u00fczerinde bir call spread (ayn\u0131 vadede farkl\u0131 kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 call al-sat kombinasyonu) satmay\u0131 i\u00e7erir. EUR\/USD bu geni\u015f bant i\u00e7inde kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u00fcrece, zaman de\u011ferinin erimesinden ve d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck oynakl\u0131ktan (fiyat dalgalanmas\u0131n\u0131n s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kalmas\u0131) kazan\u00e7 hedefler.<\/p>\n
Bu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f beklentisindeki en \u00f6nemli risk 1,1750 direncidir. Bu seviyenin \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131k\u0131lmas\u0131, a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bask\u0131n\u0131n zay\u0131flad\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret eder. Parite \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki g\u00fcnlerde 1,1750\u2019nin \u00fczerine net bi\u00e7imde yerle\u015firse, k\u0131sa t\u00fcrev pozisyonlar\u0131 (fiyat d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcne oynayan vadeli\/opsiyon i\u015flemleri) yeniden de\u011ferlendirilmeli veya korunmal\u0131d\u0131r (hedge: ters i\u015flemle riski azaltma).<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
EUR\/USD 1,1680\u2019e inerek iki haftan\u0131n dibini test etti; sat\u0131\u015f bask\u0131s\u0131 zay\u0131flasa da g\u00f6zler 1,1665 deste\u011finde. 24 saatte 1,1665\u20131,1715 band\u0131; k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131rsa 1,1625 g\u00fcndemde. Fed-ECB ayr\u0131\u015fmas\u0131 dolar lehine.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-45402","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45402","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=45402"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45402\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=45402"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=45402"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=45402"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}