ABD Dolar Endeksi (DXY), Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc Asya i\u015flemlerinde haftal\u0131k zirveye yak\u0131n, yakla\u015f\u0131k 99,00 seviyesinde kald\u0131. Bu hareket, k\u00fcresel enerji arz\u0131n\u0131n yakla\u015f\u0131k %20\u2019sinin ge\u00e7ti\u011fi H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019n\u0131n uzun s\u00fcre kapanabilece\u011fi endi\u015feleriyle petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fcksek seyretmesiyle geldi.<\/p>\n
WTI (Bat\u0131 Teksas t\u00fcr\u00fc ham petrol) o s\u0131rada 95,00 civar\u0131nda yatayd\u0131, ancak 17 Nisan\u2019daki 78,88 dolarl\u0131k dip seviyesine g\u00f6re yakla\u015f\u0131k %20 y\u00fckselmi\u015fti. H\u00fcrm\u00fcz endi\u015feleri, sonu\u00e7suz kalan ABD\u2013\u0130ran g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeleri ve ABD\u2019nin \u0130ran deniz limanlar\u0131na y\u00f6nelik s\u00fcren ablukas\u0131yla ba\u011flant\u0131l\u0131yd\u0131.<\/p>\n
Y\u00fcksek petrol fiyatlar\u0131 enflasyon beklentilerini (gelecek d\u00f6nemde fiyatlar\u0131n ne kadar artaca\u011f\u0131na dair piyasa \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcs\u00fc) yukar\u0131 \u00e7ekti. Bu da yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n k\u0131sa vadede ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (Fed) faiz indirimi yapaca\u011f\u0131na dair beklentilerini azaltmas\u0131na yol a\u00e7t\u0131. Piyasalar, saat 14:00 GMT\u2019de a\u00e7\u0131klanacak Michigan \u00dcniversitesi Nisan ay\u0131 1 y\u0131l ve 5 y\u0131l T\u00fcketici Enflasyon Beklentileri verisini bekliyor.<\/p>\n
Ard\u0131ndan dikkatler \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcnk\u00fc Fed faiz karar\u0131na \u00e7evriliyor; faizin sabit kalmas\u0131 bekleniyor. G\u00fcnl\u00fck grafikte DXY 98,86 civar\u0131nda, 20 g\u00fcnl\u00fck EMA\u2019n\u0131n (\u00fcstel hareketli ortalama; son g\u00fcnlere daha fazla a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131k vererek trendi izleyen ortalama) 98,80 seviyesinin hemen \u00fczerinde i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc.<\/p>\n
14 g\u00fcnl\u00fck RSI (g\u00f6reli g\u00fc\u00e7 endeksi; fiyat\u0131n h\u0131z\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6l\u00e7erek a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 al\u0131m\/a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 sat\u0131m sinyali arayan g\u00f6sterge) 50,11 ile orta \u00e7izgiye yak\u0131nd\u0131. Destek 98,53\u2019te, ard\u0131ndan 98,00 civar\u0131nda. Diren\u00e7 ise 99,16 ve yakla\u015f\u0131k 99,70 seviyelerinde bulunuyor.<\/p>\n
Y\u00fcksek petrol fiyatlar\u0131 enflasyonun yap\u0131\u015fkan (kolay gerilemeyen) kalmas\u0131na katk\u0131 veriyor. Son T\u00dcFE (CPI; t\u00fcketici fiyat endeksi, enflasyonun temel g\u00f6stergesi) verisi y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda %3,1 art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6stererek beklentinin az da olsa \u00fczerinde geldi. Bu, Fed\u2019in faiz patikas\u0131n\u0131n (faizlerin zaman i\u00e7inde izleyebilece\u011fi y\u00f6n) yeniden de\u011ferlendirilmesine yol a\u00e7t\u0131 ve piyasalar yak\u0131n vadede faiz indirimi olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirgin \u015fekilde d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrd\u00fc. Bu dinami\u011fin dolar\u0131 desteklemeyi s\u00fcrd\u00fcrebilece\u011fi de\u011ferlendiriliyor.<\/p>\n
Dolar Endeksi (DXY) \u015fu anda 105,50 civar\u0131nda; bu seviye, Nisan 2025\u2019te 99,00 band\u0131nda yatay seyretti\u011fi d\u00f6neme g\u00f6re daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc. Bu g\u00fc\u00e7, piyasan\u0131n Fed\u2019den \u201cuzun s\u00fcre y\u00fcksek faiz\u201d beklentisini fiyatlamas\u0131n\u0131n sonucu. Kal\u0131c\u0131 dolar g\u00fcc\u00fc di\u011fer b\u00fcy\u00fck para birimleri \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 olu\u015fturuyor.<\/p>\n
Bu belirsizlik ortam\u0131nda, d\u00f6viz opsiyonlar\u0131nda ima edilen oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n (opsiyon fiyatlar\u0131ndan hesaplanan beklenen dalgalanma) \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda artmas\u0131 olas\u0131. Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar, korunmas\u0131z spot (anl\u0131k) pozisyon ta\u015f\u0131mak yerine risk y\u00f6netimi i\u00e7in t\u00fcrev \u00fcr\u00fcnleri (vadeli i\u015flem\/opsiyon gibi, de\u011feri ba\u015fka bir varl\u0131\u011fa ba\u011fl\u0131 \u00fcr\u00fcnler) kullanmay\u0131 tercih edebilir. \u00d6zellikle \u00f6nemli veri a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131 etraf\u0131nda fiyat dalgalanmalar\u0131ndan kazan\u00e7 hedefleyen stratejiler de\u011ferlendirilebilir.<\/p>\n
Canl\u0131 VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturun<\/a>\u00a0ve\u00a0i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n<\/a>. <\/b><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Petrol H\u00fcrm\u00fcz kayg\u0131s\u0131yla y\u00fcksek kal\u0131nca DXY 99,00\u2019a yak\u0131n haftal\u0131k zirvede tutunuyor. Enflasyon beklentileri artt\u0131, Fed indirimi umudu zay\u0131flad\u0131. Michigan verisi ve Fed karar\u0131, dolar\u0131n y\u00f6n\u00fcnde belirleyici.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-45401","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45401","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=45401"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45401\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=45401"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=45401"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=45401"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}