GBP\/JPY yeniden 216,00 seviyesine yak\u0131n noktadan geri d\u00f6nd\u00fc ve per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc yakla\u015f\u0131k 215,70\u2019ten 215,00\u2019a geriledi. Yaz\u0131 haz\u0131rlan\u0131rken 215,06 seviyesinde i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcyordu. Odakta Orta Do\u011fu\u2019dan gelen haberler ve bunun piyasa alg\u0131s\u0131 (yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n risk alma iste\u011fi) \u00fczerindeki etkisi var.<\/p>\n
Parite ikinci g\u00fcnd\u00fcr yatay aral\u0131kta (belirli bir bant i\u00e7inde) hareket ediyor ve 216,00 seviyesini test etmedi. 216,00\u2019a do\u011fru y\u00fckseli\u015f denemeleri sat\u0131\u015fla kar\u015f\u0131lan\u0131rken 214,00 seviyesi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fleri \u015fimdilik s\u0131n\u0131rlad\u0131.<\/p>\n
G\u00f6reli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi (RSI: fiyat\u0131n h\u0131z\u0131n\u0131 ve y\u00f6n\u00fcn\u00fc \u00f6l\u00e7en g\u00f6sterge) y\u00fckseli\u015f e\u011filimini koruyor ancak 50 \u201cn\u00f6tr\u201d seviyesine do\u011fru geriliyor. Bu, yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc ivmenin zay\u0131flad\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret ediyor.<\/p>\n
G\u00fcnl\u00fck kapan\u0131\u015f\u0131n 215,00 alt\u0131nda ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmesi, 17 Nisan\u2019daki dip seviye olan 214,00\u2019\u0131n yeniden test edilme olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131r\u0131r. A\u015fa\u011f\u0131da izlenecek di\u011fer seviyeler: 20 g\u00fcnl\u00fck Basit Hareketli Ortalama (SMA: son 20 g\u00fcn\u00fcn ortalama fiyat\u0131) 213,35 ve 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA (son 50 g\u00fcn\u00fcn ortalama fiyat\u0131) 211,98.<\/p>\n
GBP\/JPY 215,91 \u00fczerini g\u00f6rerek y\u0131l\u0131n yeni zirvesini yaparsa 216,00\u2019a do\u011fru hareket edebilir. Haftal\u0131k d\u00f6viz tablosu, Japon Yeni\u2019nin (JPY) ba\u015fl\u0131ca para birimlerine kar\u015f\u0131 y\u00fczdesel de\u011fi\u015fimini g\u00f6sterir; JPY, en g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc performans\u0131 \u0130svi\u00e7re Frang\u0131\u2019na kar\u015f\u0131 sergiliyor.<\/p>\n
GBP\/JPY\u2019nin daha yukar\u0131 gitmekte zorland\u0131\u011f\u0131 bilinen bir g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm var. Y\u00fckseli\u015f ivmesi zay\u0131flarken, RSI\u2019\u0131n 50\u2019ye yakla\u015fmas\u0131yla g\u00f6r\u00fclen duraklamaya benzer \u015fekilde temkinli olmak gerekir. Parite g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir diren\u00e7le kar\u015f\u0131la\u015f\u0131yor; bu da yeni y\u00fckseli\u015fleri zorla\u015ft\u0131r\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
2025\u2019teki fiyat hareketine bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda 216,00 civar\u0131nda gelen tekrarlayan reddedilmeler (y\u00fckseli\u015f denemesinin kal\u0131c\u0131 olamamas\u0131), 215,00 alt\u0131na daha sert bir geri \u00e7ekilmenin \u00f6nc\u00fcs\u00fc olmu\u015ftu. Bu ge\u00e7mi\u015f \u00f6rnek, mevcut direncin a\u015f\u0131lamamas\u0131n\u0131n a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc hareketi h\u0131zland\u0131rabilece\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor. Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar, zay\u0131fl\u0131\u011f\u0131n teyidi i\u00e7in mevcut deste\u011fin alt\u0131nda net bir g\u00fcnl\u00fck kapan\u0131\u015f\u0131 izlemeli.<\/p>\n
Japonya Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (BoJ) para politikas\u0131 kritik. 2024\u2019te negatif faizden (bankalar\u0131n mevduata eksi faiz uygulad\u0131\u011f\u0131 d\u00f6nem) tarihi ama temkinli \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f, \u015fimdiye kadar yenin zay\u0131flamas\u0131n\u0131 durdurmakta etkisiz kald\u0131. Ancak yenin dolar kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda uzun y\u0131llar\u0131n en zay\u0131f seviyelerine yak\u0131n olmas\u0131, piyasaya m\u00fcdahale (kur hareketini s\u0131n\u0131rlamak i\u00e7in d\u00f6viz al\u0131m-sat\u0131m\u0131) riskini s\u00fcrekli g\u00fcndemde tutuyor. BoJ\u2019dan daha \u201c\u015fahin\u201d bir ton (faiz art\u0131rmaya daha yak\u0131n duru\u015f) yenin h\u0131zla g\u00fc\u00e7lenmesine ve GBP\/JPY\u2019nin d\u00fc\u015fmesine yol a\u00e7abilir.<\/p>\n
Sterlin taraf\u0131nda ise \u0130ngiltere enflasyonu inat\u00e7\u0131; son veriler, enflasyonun \u0130ngiltere Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (BoE) %2 hedefinin \u00fczerinde kald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor. Piyasalar bu y\u0131l faiz indirimi beklemeyi s\u00fcrd\u00fcrse de kal\u0131c\u0131 enflasyon bu takvimi \u00f6teleyebilir ve sterline destek verebilir. Bu faiz beklentisi ayr\u0131\u015fmas\u0131 pariteyi y\u00fcksek tutsa da, beklentilerdeki de\u011fi\u015fimlere kar\u015f\u0131 hassas hale getiriyor.<\/p>\n
Bu duran ivme ortam\u0131nda yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar, \u00f6nemli desteklerin alt\u0131na olas\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe kar\u015f\u0131 sat\u0131m opsiyonu (put: belirli fiyattan satma hakk\u0131) alarak korunmay\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnebilir. Bu y\u00f6ntem, \u00f6denen prim (opsiyonun maliyeti) kadar riskle a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc koruma sa\u011flar. Alternatif olarak bant hareketinin s\u00fcrece\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnenler, mevcut direncin olduk\u00e7a \u00fczerinde kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 al\u0131m opsiyonu (call: belirli fiyattan alma hakk\u0131) satarak prim geliri elde etmeyi de\u011ferlendirebilir.<\/p>\n
Tersine, mevcut zirvelerin \u00fczerinde net bir k\u0131r\u0131lma ve bu seviyelerin korunmas\u0131, y\u00fckseli\u015f trendinin devam\u0131na i\u015faret eder. Bu senaryoda al\u0131m opsiyonu almak, s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 riskle yukar\u0131 potansiyele kat\u0131lmay\u0131 sa\u011flar. Ayr\u0131ca bo\u011fa al\u0131m spreadi (bull call spread: daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131ndan call al\u0131p daha y\u00fcksek kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131ndan call satarak maliyeti azaltan strateji) ile giri\u015f maliyeti d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fcl\u00fcrken bir sonraki psikolojik seviyeye (piyasada yuvarlak rakamlar\u0131n daha fazla \u00f6nemsenmesi) do\u011fru harekette kazan\u00e7 hedeflenebilir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
GBP\/JPY 216,00 direncinden yine d\u00f6nd\u00fc; 215,00 deste\u011fi kritik. Orta Do\u011fu haberleri risk i\u015ftah\u0131n\u0131 belirliyor. RSI zay\u0131fl\u0131yor. 215,00 alt\u0131 214,00\/213,35\u2019e yol a\u00e7abilir; BoJ\/BoE tonlamas\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fc tayin edecek.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-45373","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45373","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=45373"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45373\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=45373"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=45373"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=45373"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}