\u0130srail\u2019in N12 News kanal\u0131na g\u00f6re, \u0130ran Meclis Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Muhammed Bak\u0131r Galibaf, Tahran\u2019\u0131n m\u00fczakere heyetinden istifa etti. Haberde, istifan\u0131n Devrim Muhaf\u0131zlar\u0131 Ordusu\u2019nun (IRGC: \u0130ran\u2019daki g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc askeri-g\u00fcvenlik yap\u0131s\u0131) m\u00fcdahalesi sonras\u0131 geldi\u011fi belirtildi.<\/p>\n
Galibaf k\u0131sa s\u00fcre \u00f6nce \u0130ran\u2019da \u201cradikal\u201d ya da \u201c\u0131l\u0131ml\u0131\u201d ayr\u0131m\u0131 olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131, herkesin \u201c\u0130ranl\u0131\u201d ve \u201cdevrimci\u201d oldu\u011funu s\u00f6ylemi\u015fti. \u0130srail\u2019in Channel 12 kanal\u0131 da ABD\u2019li yetkililere dayand\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131 haberinde, ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Donald Trump\u2019\u0131n sava\u015fa yeniden d\u00f6nmek istemedi\u011fini ancak se\u00e7eneklerinin s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 olabilece\u011fini aktard\u0131.<\/p>\n
Galibaf ba\u015fl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan piyasalarda risk i\u015ftah\u0131 azald\u0131 (riskten ka\u00e7\u0131\u015f: yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n hisse gibi daha oynak varl\u0131klardan \u00e7\u0131k\u0131p dolar, tahvil, alt\u0131n gibi daha g\u00fcvenli g\u00f6r\u00fclen varl\u0131klara y\u00f6nelmesi) ve ABD hisseleri eksiye d\u00f6nd\u00fc. ABD Dolar Endeksi (DXY: dolar\u0131n ba\u015fl\u0131ca para birimleri kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131ndaki g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc \u00f6l\u00e7en endeks) %0,26 y\u00fckselerek 98,85\u2019e \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131.<\/p>\n
WTI ham petrol (ABD referans ham petrol\u00fc) %4\u2019\u00fcn \u00fczerinde y\u00fckselerek varil ba\u015f\u0131na 97,00 dolara yakla\u015ft\u0131. Alt\u0131n %0,70 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle 4.700 dolara geriledi.<\/p>\n
\u201cRisk-on\u201d ve \u201crisk-off\u201d, piyasalar\u0131n daha riskli varl\u0131klar\u0131 m\u0131 yoksa daha g\u00fcvenli varl\u0131klar\u0131 m\u0131 tercih etti\u011fini anlat\u0131r. Risk-on d\u00f6neminde hisseler ve \u00e7o\u011fu emtia y\u00fckselme e\u011filimindeyken, risk-off d\u00f6neminde tahviller, alt\u0131n ve ABD dolar\u0131, Japon yeni ve \u0130svi\u00e7re frang\u0131 gibi g\u00fcvenli liman para birimleri g\u00fc\u00e7lenir.<\/p>\n
\u0130ran m\u00fczakere heyetindeki istifa, g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerde daha sert \u00e7izginin a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131k kazanabilece\u011fine i\u015faret ederek jeopolitik riski art\u0131r\u0131yor. Bu durum riskten ka\u00e7\u0131\u015f havas\u0131n\u0131 h\u0131zla g\u00fc\u00e7lendirdi. T\u00fcrev piyasalarda (t\u00fcrev: de\u011feri ba\u015fka bir varl\u0131\u011fa ba\u011fl\u0131 s\u00f6zle\u015fmeler, \u00f6rn. opsiyon ve vadeli i\u015flemler) oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n artmas\u0131 bekleniyor. CBOE Volatilite Endeksi (VIX: ABD hisse piyasas\u0131nda beklenen dalgalanmay\u0131 g\u00f6steren \u201ckorku endeksi\u201d) %15\u2019in \u00fczerinde artarak 22,5\u2019e \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131; bu, hisse piyasas\u0131nda endi\u015fenin y\u00fckseldi\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor.<\/p>\n
Bu gerilim petrol\u00fc do\u011frudan etkiliyor; WTI 97 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerine t\u0131rman\u0131yor. Daha fazla t\u0131rman\u0131\u015f, k\u00fcresel petrol arz\u0131n\u0131n yakla\u015f\u0131k %20\u2019sinin ge\u00e7ti\u011fi H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019n\u0131 (dar ge\u00e7i\u015f noktas\u0131) riske atabilir. B\u00f6yle bir senaryoda fiyatlar ge\u00e7en y\u0131l g\u00f6r\u00fclen 110 dolar b\u00f6lgesine h\u0131zla yakla\u015fabilir. Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar, olas\u0131 h\u0131zl\u0131 y\u00fckseli\u015ften yararlanmak i\u00e7in b\u00fcy\u00fck petrol ETF\u2019lerinde (ETF: borsada i\u015flem g\u00f6ren fon) yak\u0131n vadeli al\u0131m opsiyonlar\u0131n\u0131 (call option: belirli fiyattan alma hakk\u0131 veren s\u00f6zle\u015fme) de\u011ferlendirebilir.<\/p>\n
D\u00f6viz piyasas\u0131nda g\u00fcvenli limana y\u00f6neli\u015f \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor; DXY psikolojik 99,00 seviyesine yakla\u015f\u0131yor. Bu g\u00fc\u00e7lenme, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n ABD Hazine tahvillerinin (US Treasurys: ABD devlet bor\u00e7lanma k\u00e2\u011f\u0131tlar\u0131) y\u00fcksek likidite ve g\u00f6rece g\u00fcvenli yap\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 tercih etmesinden kaynaklan\u0131yor. Bu e\u011filimin s\u00fcrmesi; Avustralya ve Kanada dolar\u0131 gibi emtia ba\u011flant\u0131l\u0131 para birimleri kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda dolar\u0131 destekleyebilir.<\/p>\n
Riskten ka\u00e7\u0131\u015f ortam\u0131 emtia para birimlerini daha k\u0131r\u0131lgan hale getiriyor. Avustralya dolar\u0131, geleneksel g\u00fcvenli liman say\u0131lan Japon yeni kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda %0,8 geriledi. K\u00fcresel risk alg\u0131s\u0131na olumsuz bak\u0131\u015f\u0131 yans\u0131tmak i\u00e7in AUD\/JPY veya NZD\/CHF gibi paritelerde k\u0131sa pozisyon (short: fiyat d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnden kazan\u00e7 hedefleyen i\u015flem) \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kabilir.<\/p>\n
Alt\u0131nda 4.700 dolara do\u011fru ilk geri \u00e7ekilme, dolar\u0131n g\u00fc\u00e7lenmesiyle (dolar y\u00fckselince alt\u0131n yabanc\u0131 al\u0131c\u0131 i\u00e7in pahalan\u0131r) ili\u015fkili. Ancak bu etkinin kal\u0131c\u0131 olmas\u0131 beklenmeyebilir; jeopolitik endi\u015fe genelde alt\u0131na talebi art\u0131r\u0131r. Bu k\u0131sa vadeli zay\u0131flama, al\u0131m opsiyonu ile (call) yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc olas\u0131l\u0131\u011fa pozisyon almak isteyenler i\u00e7in f\u0131rsat olu\u015fturabilir.<\/p>\n
Canl\u0131 VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturun<\/a>\u00a0ve\u00a0hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n<\/a>. <\/b><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Son dakika: \u0130ran\u2019da Galibaf\u2019\u0131n m\u00fczakere heyetinden istifas\u0131 ve IRGC etkisi piyasalar\u0131 sarst\u0131. Riskten ka\u00e7\u0131\u015fla ABD hisseleri ekside; DXY 98,85. WTI 97$; VIX 22,5; H\u00fcrm\u00fcz riski fiyatlamada.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-45362","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45362","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=45362"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45362\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=45362"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=45362"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=45362"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}