GBP\/USD, Ortado\u011fu\u2019da gerilimin artmas\u0131yla Per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc 1,3500 civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc. ABD ile \u0130ran, H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131 yak\u0131nlar\u0131nda gemilere ya da petrol tankerlerine el koymaya ba\u015flad\u0131. Pakistanl\u0131 bir yetkili de Washington ile Tahran aras\u0131ndaki g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerin ask\u0131ya al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n
ABD g\u00fc\u00e7leri, ablukay\u0131 delmeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 belirtilen iki \u0130ran petrol s\u00fcpertankerini durdurdu. Petrol fiyatlar\u0131 gerilerken, S&P 500 ve Nasdaq, yapay zek\u00e2 odakl\u0131 \u015firketlerden gelen zay\u0131f k\u00e2rlara ra\u011fmen y\u00fckseldi.<\/p>\n
ABD\u2019de S&P Global verileri, Nisan\u2019da ekonomik faaliyetin (PMI: sat\u0131n alma y\u00f6neticileri endeksi; 50 \u00fczeri b\u00fcy\u00fcme, 50 alt\u0131 daralma) toparland\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6sterdi. \u0130malat PMI 52,3\u2019ten 54\u2019e, hizmet PMI 49,8\u2019den 51,3\u2019e \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. \u0130lk i\u015fsizlik maa\u015f\u0131 ba\u015fvurular\u0131 214 bine y\u00fckseldi (beklenti 212 bin); \u00f6nceki veri revizyonla 208 bine \u00e7ekildi.<\/p>\n
\u0130ngiltere\u2019de S&P Global Bile\u015fik PMI 50,3\u2019ten 52\u2019ye y\u00fckseldi; imalat ve hizmetler 50\u2019nin \u00fczerinde kald\u0131. S&P Global ve CBI (\u0130ngiliz Sanayi Konfederasyonu) raporlar\u0131, \u0130ran sava\u015f\u0131yla ba\u011flant\u0131l\u0131 olarak i\u015fletme girdi maliyetlerinin artt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n
Piyasalar, \u0130ngiltere Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (BoE) faizi %3,75\u2019te tutmas\u0131n\u0131 bekliyor. 17 Haziran\u2019da faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 yakla\u015f\u0131k %55; y\u0131l sonunda tepe seviyenin %4,25 civar\u0131nda olu\u015faca\u011f\u0131 fiyatlan\u0131yor. \u0130ngiltere Perakende Sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131 i\u00e7in beklenti ayl\u0131k %0,2 (\u00f6nceki %-0,4), y\u0131ll\u0131k %1,3 (\u00f6nceki %2,5). ABD taraf\u0131nda ise Nisan Michigan t\u00fcketici g\u00fcveni (Michigan \u00dcniversitesi anketi) g\u00fcncellenecek.<\/p>\n
GBP\/USD 1,3495\u2019teydi; 1,3414 civar\u0131ndaki hareketli ortalamalar\u0131n (belirli d\u00f6nem fiyat ortalamas\u0131; trendi izlemek i\u00e7in kullan\u0131l\u0131r) \u00fczerinde. Diren\u00e7 (y\u00fckseli\u015fte sat\u0131\u015f\u0131n artt\u0131\u011f\u0131 seviye) 1,3861 ve 1,3869. Destek (d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fte al\u0131m\u0131n artt\u0131\u011f\u0131 seviye) 1,3495; ard\u0131ndan 1,3414 ve 1,2996.<\/p>\n
Jeopolitik risk primi (belirsizlik nedeniyle kur\/fiyatlara eklenen pay) ortadan kalkt\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in GBP\/USD\u2019de ima edilen oynakl\u0131k (opsiyon fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n i\u015faret etti\u011fi beklenen dalgalanma) 2025\u2019teki H\u00fcrm\u00fcz krizine g\u00f6re belirgin \u015fekilde geriledi. 1 ayl\u0131k ima edilen oynakl\u0131k %6,5 civar\u0131nda. Bu ortamda \u201cprim sat\u0131\u015f\u0131\u201d hedefleyen stratejiler, \u00f6rne\u011fin k\u0131sa strangle (ayn\u0131 vadede, ayn\u0131 anda bir al\u0131m ve bir sat\u0131m opsiyonu satmak; fiyat\u0131n belli bir bantta kalmas\u0131na oynayan ve prim geliri hedefleyen yap\u0131) bant hareketi bekleyen yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar i\u00e7in daha cazip olabilir. Ama\u00e7, kur kar\u015f\u0131t merkez bankas\u0131 hik\u00e2yelerini sindirirken prim geliri toplamak.<\/p>\n
Mevcut seviye 1,4100 civar\u0131ndayken, y\u00f6nl\u00fc pozisyonlar net zarar s\u0131n\u0131r\u0131yla kurgulanmal\u0131. \u00d6rne\u011fin GBP\/USD call spread (ayn\u0131 vadede daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131ndan al\u0131m opsiyonu almak ve daha y\u00fcksek kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131ndan al\u0131m opsiyonu satmak; maliyeti d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fcr, kazanc\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rlar) yakla\u015fan \u0130ngiltere verileri beklentiyi a\u015farsa olas\u0131 yukar\u0131 k\u0131r\u0131lmaya daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck maliyetle pozisyon almaya yard\u0131mc\u0131 olabilir. ABD\u2019de g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc veriler dolar lehine devam ederse, bu yap\u0131 a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc riski s\u0131n\u0131rlar.<\/p>\n
Canl\u0131 VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturun<\/a>\u00a0ve\u00a0hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n<\/a>. <\/b><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" H\u00fcrm\u00fcz gerilimi GBP\/USD\u2019yi 1,35\u2019te tutuyor: ABD-\u0130ran hamleleri, PMI toparlanmas\u0131 ve BoE\u2019nin %3,75 beklentisi izleniyor. Oynakl\u0131k %6,5; bantta prim sat\u0131\u015f\u0131, k\u0131r\u0131lmada call spread \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-45356","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45356","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=45356"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45356\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=45356"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=45356"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=45356"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}