{"id":45330,"date":"2026-04-23T16:55:05","date_gmt":"2026-04-23T16:55:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/calisma-bakanligi-yukari-yonlu-revizyonlarin-ardindan-abdde-issizlik-maasi-basvurularinin-tahminleri-asarak-214-bine-yukseldigini-acikladi\/"},"modified":"2026-04-23T16:55:05","modified_gmt":"2026-04-23T16:55:05","slug":"calisma-bakanligi-yukari-yonlu-revizyonlarin-ardindan-abdde-issizlik-maasi-basvurularinin-tahminleri-asarak-214-bine-yukseldigini-acikladi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/calisma-bakanligi-yukari-yonlu-revizyonlarin-ardindan-abdde-issizlik-maasi-basvurularinin-tahminleri-asarak-214-bine-yukseldigini-acikladi\/","title":{"rendered":"\u00c7al\u0131\u015fma Bakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131, yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc revizyonlar\u0131n ard\u0131ndan ABD\u2019de i\u015fsizlik maa\u015f\u0131 ba\u015fvurular\u0131n\u0131n tahminleri a\u015farak 214 bine y\u00fckseldi\u011fini a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131"},"content":{"rendered":"

ABD \u00c7al\u0131\u015fma Bakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131, 18 Nisan\u2019da biten haftada ABD\u2019de yeni i\u015fsizlik sigortas\u0131 ba\u015fvurular\u0131n\u0131n 214 bine y\u00fckseldi\u011fini a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131. Bu, \u00f6nceki haftan\u0131n revize edilmi\u015f toplam\u0131na g\u00f6re 6 bin art\u0131\u015f anlam\u0131na geliyor. \u00d6nceki hafta verisi 207 binden 208 bine g\u00fcncellendi.<\/p>\n

11 Nisan\u2019da biten hafta i\u00e7in mevsim etkilerinden ar\u0131nd\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f (takvim kaynakl\u0131 dalgalanmalar d\u00fczeltilmi\u015f) devam eden i\u015fsizlik \u00f6dene\u011fi alan ki\u015fi say\u0131s\u0131 1,821 milyon oldu. Bu rakam, \u00f6nceki haftan\u0131n revize edilen seviyesine g\u00f6re 12 bin artt\u0131. \u00d6nceki hafta verisi 1,818 milyondan 1,809 milyona revize edildi.<\/p>\n

Piyasa Tepkisi ve Makro G\u00fcndem<\/h3>\n

Verinin ard\u0131ndan ABD dolar\u0131, d\u00f6viz piyasas\u0131nda g\u00fcn i\u00e7i kazan\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131 korudu. Ancak veri, piyasada belirgin bir y\u00f6n hareketi yaratmad\u0131; odak, \u0130ran\u2019daki sava\u015f kaynakl\u0131 geli\u015fmeler ve ham petrol fiyatlar\u0131nda kald\u0131.<\/p>\n

Son i\u015fsizlik ba\u015fvurusu verilerini (214 bin) ABD i\u015f g\u00fcc\u00fc piyasas\u0131n\u0131n s\u0131k\u0131 (i\u015f g\u00fcc\u00fc talebinin g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc, i\u015fsizli\u011fin d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck) seyrini korudu\u011funun teyidi olarak g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. Bu seviye, belirgin bir ekonomik zay\u0131fl\u0131\u011fa i\u015faret edecek kadar y\u00fcksek de\u011fil ve 2024-2025 boyunca g\u00f6r\u00fclen istikrarl\u0131 aral\u0131kta kal\u0131yor. Bu durum, ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (Fed) yak\u0131n vadede faiz indirimi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnmesi i\u00e7in bask\u0131y\u0131 azalt\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Bu istikrarl\u0131 istihdam g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc, son T\u00fcketici Fiyat Endeksi (T\u00dcFE: hanehalk\u0131n\u0131n sat\u0131n ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 mal ve hizmetlerin fiyat de\u011fi\u015fimi) raporuyla birlikte okunmal\u0131. Raporda \u00e7ekirdek enflasyon (g\u0131da ve enerji gibi oynak kalemler hari\u00e7 enflasyon) %3,6 seviyesinde y\u00fcksek kald\u0131. G\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc i\u015f g\u00fcc\u00fc piyasas\u0131 enflasyon \u00fczerinde rahatlama yaratmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in Fed\u2019in s\u0131k\u0131 para politikas\u0131 (faizlerin y\u00fcksek tutularak talebin so\u011futulmas\u0131) \u00e7izgisini korumas\u0131 beklenebilir. Bu \u00e7er\u00e7evede, faizin y\u00fcksek kalmas\u0131na oynayan t\u00fcrev i\u015flemler (t\u00fcretilmi\u015f finansal s\u00f6zle\u015fmeler) \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor; \u00f6rne\u011fin Aral\u0131k vadeli SOFR vadeli kontratlar\u0131nda call satmak. (Call opsiyonu: belirli fiyattan alma hakk\u0131 veren opsiyon; satmak, prim geliri elde edip fiyat\u0131n y\u00fckselmemesine oynayan pozisyondur. SOFR vadeli kontrat\u0131: k\u0131sa vadeli ABD faiz beklentisini yans\u0131tan vadeli i\u015flem s\u00f6zle\u015fmesi.)<\/p>\n

\u0130stihdam verisine s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 tepki verilmesi, piyasa oda\u011f\u0131n\u0131n ba\u015fka yerde oldu\u011funu g\u00f6steriyor. Ana risk unsuru \u0130ran\u2019daki \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma; bu geli\u015fme Brent petrol vadeli kontratlar\u0131n\u0131 varil ba\u015f\u0131na 95 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerinde tutuyor. Vadeli kontrat (futures): belirli tarihte belirli fiyattan al\u0131m-sat\u0131m anla\u015fmas\u0131d\u0131r. Tarihsel olarak, petrol fiyatlar\u0131nda bir \u00e7eyrekte h\u0131zl\u0131 %15 art\u0131\u015f (\u015eubat\u2019tan beri g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc gibi) piyasada oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n artmas\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6nc\u00fcs\u00fc olabiliyor.<\/p>\n

Oynakl\u0131k Riskine G\u00f6re Pozisyon Alma<\/h3>\n

Bu nedenle, VIX endeksinin (S&P 500 i\u00e7in beklenen oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6steren \u201ckorku endeksi\u201d) 15 civar\u0131nda seyretmesi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. Piyasa i\u00e7in temel tehdit, ABD i\u015f g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fcn kademeli zay\u0131flamas\u0131 de\u011fil, d\u0131\u015f kaynakl\u0131 bir petrol \u015foku. Ani jeopolitik t\u0131rmanmaya kar\u015f\u0131 korunmak (hedge: riski dengelemek i\u00e7in kar\u015f\u0131 pozisyon almak) amac\u0131yla VIX call opsiyonlar\u0131 veya petrol ETF\u2019leri (borsada i\u015flem g\u00f6ren fon) \u00fczerindeki opsiyonlar de\u011ferlendirilebilir.<\/p>\n

ABD dolar\u0131n\u0131n g\u00fcc\u00fc, DXY endeksinin (dolar\u0131n ba\u015fl\u0131ca para birimleri kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131ndaki sepet de\u011feri) 107,5 ile iki y\u0131l\u0131n zirvesine \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131yla belirginle\u015fiyor. Bu g\u00fc\u00e7, hem y\u00fcksek faizlerden hem de \u201cg\u00fcvenli liman\u201d (risk art\u0131nca talep g\u00f6ren varl\u0131k) \u00f6zelli\u011finden destek al\u0131yor. \u0130stihdam verisi, dolar i\u00e7in olas\u0131 bir bask\u0131 unsurunu ortadan kald\u0131r\u0131yor. Bu e\u011filimin s\u00fcrmesine y\u00f6nelik olarak, \u00f6zellikle enerji fiyatlar\u0131na daha duyarl\u0131 ekonomilerin para birimlerine kar\u015f\u0131, d\u00f6viz opsiyonlar\u0131 (kur \u00fczerinde al\u0131m\/sat\u0131m hakk\u0131 veren s\u00f6zle\u015fmeler) kullan\u0131labilir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

ABD\u2019de i\u015fsizlik ba\u015fvurular\u0131 214 bine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131; istihdam h\u00e2l\u00e2 s\u0131k\u0131. Fed\u2019e h\u0131zl\u0131 faiz indirimi bask\u0131s\u0131 azal\u0131rken DXY 107,5\u2019le g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc. Piyasada as\u0131l risk \u0130ran gerilimi: Brent 95$+, VIX hedge \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-45330","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45330","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=45330"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45330\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=45330"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=45330"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=45330"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}