USD\/JPY, Per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc Avrupa i\u015flemlerinde g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019n\u0131n deste\u011fiyle d\u00f6rd\u00fcnc\u00fc g\u00fcn \u00fcst \u00fcste y\u00fckselerek 159,75 civar\u0131na \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Hareket, H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019n\u0131n uzun s\u00fcre kapal\u0131 kalmas\u0131na ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak y\u00fckselen petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan geldi.<\/p>\n
ABD Dolar Endeksi (DXY: dolar\u0131n ba\u015fl\u0131ca para birimleri kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131ndaki de\u011ferini g\u00f6steren endeks) %0,2 artarak 98,80\u2019e yakla\u015ft\u0131 ve bir haftadan uzun s\u00fcrenin en y\u00fcksek seviyesini g\u00f6rd\u00fc. Petrol fiyatlar\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015f, ABD\u2019de enflasyon beklentilerini yukar\u0131 \u00e7ekti; bu da ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (Fed) faiz indirme ihtimalini azaltt\u0131.<\/p>\n
CME FedWatch (piyasadaki faiz beklentilerini, vadeli i\u015flem fiyatlar\u0131ndan olas\u0131l\u0131k olarak hesaplayan g\u00f6sterge) Aral\u0131k toplant\u0131s\u0131nda Fed\u2019in faizi %3,50\u2013%3,75 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda tutma olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 %76,8 olarak g\u00f6sterdi. Piyasalar ayr\u0131ca 13:45 GMT\u2019de a\u00e7\u0131klanacak Nisan ay\u0131na ili\u015fkin \u00f6nc\u00fc ABD S&P Global PMI verilerini bekliyor. PMI (Sat\u0131n Alma Y\u00f6neticileri Endeksi: \u015firketlerin \u00fcretim ve hizmet faaliyetlerine g\u00f6re ekonomik gidi\u015fat\u0131 \u00f6l\u00e7en anket verisi) taraf\u0131nda, imalat ve hizmetlerde beklenen toparlanmayla i\u015f faaliyetinin artmas\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n
Japon Yeni, 28 Nisan Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131klanacak Japonya Merkez Bankas\u0131 (BoJ) faiz karar\u0131 \u00f6ncesinde kar\u0131\u015f\u0131k seyretti. USD\/JPY, \u201cAl\u00e7alan \u00dc\u00e7gen\u201d formasyonundan (fiyat\u0131n daralan bantta a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 e\u011fimli bir yap\u0131 olu\u015fturdu\u011fu ve k\u0131r\u0131lma sonras\u0131 genelde hareketin h\u0131zland\u0131\u011f\u0131 teknik form) yukar\u0131 k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131m sonras\u0131 k\u0131sa vadede y\u00fckseli\u015f e\u011filimini korudu. 20 g\u00fcnl\u00fck EMA (\u00fcssel hareketli ortalama: son g\u00fcnlere daha fazla a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131k vererek trendi izleyen ortalama) 159,11\u2019de, RSI (G\u00f6reli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi: momentum g\u00f6stergesi; 70 \u00fczeri a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 al\u0131m, 30 alt\u0131 a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 sat\u0131m olarak izlenir) 57 civar\u0131nda.<\/p>\n
Diren\u00e7 seviyeleri 160,46 ve ard\u0131ndan 161,00 olarak \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Destek 159,41, ard\u0131ndan 159,11 seviyesinde; daha a\u015fa\u011f\u0131da 157,64 civar\u0131nda ek destek bulunuyor.<\/p>\n
Bu tablo, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki aylarda Fed politikas\u0131na ili\u015fkin piyasa beklentilerinde belirgin bir de\u011fi\u015fime yol a\u00e7t\u0131. Ge\u00e7en ay, Fed fon vadeli i\u015flemleri (Fed\u2019in politika faizine dair piyasa beklentisini yans\u0131tan s\u00f6zle\u015fmeler) y\u0131l sonuna kadar faiz indirimi olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 y\u00fcksek g\u00f6sterirken, \u015fimdi bu beklenti b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde zay\u0131flad\u0131. CME FedWatch, Aral\u0131k ay\u0131na kadar faizin %3,50\u2013%3,75 band\u0131nda kalmas\u0131n\u0131n daha bask\u0131n senaryo oldu\u011funu i\u015faret ediyor.<\/p>\n
ABD ekonomisi dayan\u0131kl\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fc koruyor; bu da dolar\u0131 destekliyor ve Fed\u2019e s\u0131k\u0131 duru\u015fu s\u00fcrd\u00fcrmek i\u00e7in alan veriyor. Mart \u00e7ekirdek T\u00dcFE (enerji ve g\u0131da gibi oynak kalemler hari\u00e7 enflasyon g\u00f6stergesi) y\u0131ll\u0131k %3,1 ile beklentilerin \u00fczerinde gelerek bu alg\u0131y\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lendirdi. Nisan PMI verisinin g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc gelmesi, ekonominin diren\u00e7li oldu\u011fu g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fc peki\u015ftirebilir.<\/p>\n
Di\u011fer tarafta Japon Yeni, 28 Nisan\u2019daki BoJ toplant\u0131s\u0131 \u00f6ncesi zay\u0131f kal\u0131yor. 2024\u2019teki s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan BoJ temkinli duru\u015funu s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcrken, Fed ile BoJ aras\u0131ndaki politika fark\u0131 (faiz fark\u0131: iki \u00fclkenin faizleri aras\u0131ndaki makas) y\u00fcksek kal\u0131yor. Bu ayr\u0131\u015fma, yenin dolar kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda zay\u0131f seyretmesinin temel nedenlerinden biri.<\/p>\n
USD\/JPY\u2019de \u00e7ok uzun y\u0131llar\u0131n zirvelerine yakla\u015f\u0131l\u0131rken, olas\u0131 sert geri d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f riskine kar\u015f\u0131 dikkatli olunmas\u0131 gerekiyor. Teknik tarafta 20 g\u00fcnl\u00fck EMA\u2019n\u0131n 159,11 civar\u0131, y\u00fckseli\u015f pozisyonlar\u0131 i\u00e7in \u00f6nemli bir destek olarak izlenebilir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Petrol \u015foku ve g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc Dolar USD\/JPY\u2019yi 159,75\u2019e ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131! DXY 98,80\u2019e \u00e7\u0131karken enflasyon beklentileri Fed indirimi ihtimalini zay\u0131flatt\u0131. BoJ \u00f6ncesi yen k\u0131r\u0131lgan; diren\u00e7 160,46\/161, destek 159,41.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-45317","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45317","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=45317"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45317\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=45317"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=45317"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=45317"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}