Avustralya Dolar\u0131 Per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc ABD Dolar\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 geriledi; AUD\/USD 0,7150 civar\u0131nda dar bir bantta hareket etti. ABD-\u0130ran bar\u0131\u015f s\u00fcrecinde ilerlemenin s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcnmesi piyasa alg\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 zay\u0131flatt\u0131. Buna kar\u015f\u0131n Avustralya\u2019daki \u015firket anketleri daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc geldi.<\/p>\n
Avustralya\u2019n\u0131n Nisan ay\u0131na ili\u015fkin \u00f6nc\u00fc S&P Global PMI verileri (Sat\u0131n Alma Y\u00f6neticileri Endeksi; \u015firketlerin faaliyet d\u00fczeyini \u00f6l\u00e7en ayl\u0131k anket) imalat\u0131n 49,8\u2019den 51,0\u2019e y\u00fckselerek yeniden b\u00fcy\u00fcme b\u00f6lgesine ge\u00e7ti\u011fini g\u00f6sterdi. Hizmetler endeksi de Mart\u2019taki 46,3\u2019ten 50,3\u2019e \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Ancak zay\u0131f talep ve artan maliyetler g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc bask\u0131lad\u0131.<\/p>\n
Orta Do\u011fu\u2019da \u0130ran, H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019nda iki gemiye el koydu\u011funu bildirdi. ABD ordusu ise \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc Hint Okyanusu\u2019ndaki konumlar\u0131ndan en az \u00fc\u00e7 \u0130ran bayrakl\u0131 petrol tankerini uzakla\u015ft\u0131rd\u0131.<\/p>\n
Bu hafta planlanan ikinci tur bar\u0131\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerine dair yeni haber ak\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kalmas\u0131, ate\u015fkesin s\u00fcr\u00fcp s\u00fcrmeyece\u011fine y\u00f6nelik endi\u015feleri art\u0131rd\u0131. Bu durum, Avustralya Dolar\u0131 gibi \u201criske duyarl\u0131\u201d varl\u0131klara (k\u00fcresel risk i\u015ftah\u0131 d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc\u011f\u00fcnde genelde de\u011fer kaybeden para birimleri) talebi zay\u0131f tuttu.<\/p>\n
ABD Per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc haftal\u0131k i\u015fsizlik maa\u015f\u0131 ba\u015fvurular\u0131n\u0131 ve \u00f6nc\u00fc S&P Global PMI verilerini a\u00e7\u0131klayacak. Yeni ba\u015fvurular\u0131n \u0131l\u0131ml\u0131 artmas\u0131, imalat ve hizmet PMI\u2019lar\u0131n\u0131n ise b\u00fcy\u00fcme g\u00f6stermesi bekleniyor.<\/p>\n
AUD\/USD\u2019nin 0,7150 civar\u0131nda zorland\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. ABD-\u0130ran geriliminin artmas\u0131 \u201criskten ka\u00e7\u0131\u015f\u201d ortam\u0131 (yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n daha g\u00fcvenli g\u00f6rd\u00fckleri varl\u0131klara y\u00f6nelmesi) yarat\u0131yor. Bu jeopolitik belirsizlik, yerel PMI verilerindeki toparlanman\u0131n etkisini g\u00f6lgede b\u0131rak\u0131yor. Bu tabloda k\u0131sa vadede y\u00f6n de\u011fil, dalgalanma \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
\u0130ran\u2019\u0131n H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019nda gemilere el koymas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan Brent t\u00fcr\u00fc ham petrol vadeli i\u015flemleri (gelecekte belirli fiyattan al\u0131m-sat\u0131m yapma s\u00f6zle\u015fmesi) bu hafta %4\u2019\u00fcn \u00fczerinde y\u00fckseldi ve varil ba\u015f\u0131na 97 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Bu g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm, 2019\u2019daki benzer gerilimlerde enerji ve d\u00f6viz piyasalar\u0131nda sert ve \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclmesi zor hareketleri hat\u0131rlat\u0131yor. Buna ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak AUD\/USD\u2019de 1 ayl\u0131k \u201c\u00f6rt\u00fck oynakl\u0131k\u201d (opsiyon fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n ima etti\u011fi beklenen dalgalanma) birka\u00e7 g\u00fcn i\u00e7inde %8,2\u2019den %9,8\u2019e y\u00fckseldi; bu da opsiyonlar\u0131 daha pahal\u0131 hale getirdi.<\/p>\n
K\u0131r\u0131lgan alg\u0131 nedeniyle, 0,7100 deste\u011finin alt\u0131na olas\u0131 bir sarkmaya kar\u015f\u0131 AUD\/USD \u201cput\u201d opsiyonu (kur d\u00fc\u015ferse de\u011fer kazanan opsiyon) al\u0131m\u0131 daha temkinli bir pozisyonlama olarak \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. Bu y\u00f6ntem, jeopolitik risk artarsa d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015ften faydalanmay\u0131 hedeflerken, azami zarar\u0131 \u00f6denen \u201cprim\u201d ile (opsiyon i\u00e7in pe\u015fin \u00f6denen bedel) s\u0131n\u0131rlar. B\u00f6ylece ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019n\u0131n \u201cg\u00fcvenli liman\u201d olarak g\u00fc\u00e7lenmesine (risk art\u0131nca daha \u00e7ok tercih edilen para birimi) s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 riskle oynanm\u0131\u015f olur.<\/p>\n
Y\u00f6n konusunda daha az emin olup sert bir hareket bekleyenler i\u00e7in \u201cstraddle\u201d gibi uzun volatilite (dalgalanma) stratejileri de\u011ferlendirilebilir. \u00c7at\u0131\u015fman\u0131n h\u0131zla yat\u0131\u015fmas\u0131 Avustralya Dolar\u0131\u2019nda g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir toparlanma yaratabilece\u011fi gibi, gerilimin artmas\u0131 sert d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe yol a\u00e7abilir. Bu yakla\u015f\u0131m, opsiyonlar\u0131n vadesi dolmadan \u00f6nce iki y\u00f6nde de belirgin bir fiyat hareketinden kazan\u00e7 hedefler.<\/p>\n
VT Markets canl\u0131 hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturun<\/a>\u00a0ve\u00a0hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n<\/a>. <\/b><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" AUD\/USD 0,7150\u2019de s\u0131k\u0131\u015ft\u0131: Jeopolitik risk i\u015ftah\u0131n\u0131 vuruyor. Avustralya PMI\u2019lar\u0131 toparlansa da H\u00fcrm\u00fcz gerilimi ve y\u00fckselen petrol, oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131 %9,8\u2019e ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131; put\/straddle stratejileri \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-45307","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45307","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=45307"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45307\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=45307"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=45307"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=45307"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}