Hindistan\u2019\u0131n HSBC \u0130malat PMI verisi, Mart ay\u0131ndaki 53,9 seviyesinden Nisan\u2019da 55,9\u2019a y\u00fckseldi. 50\u2019nin \u00fczerindeki de\u011ferler, imalat faaliyetlerinde (fabrika \u00fcretiminde) b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye i\u015faret eder.<\/p>\n
Nisan verisi, bir \u00f6nceki aya g\u00f6re daha h\u0131zl\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye i\u015faret ediyor. Art\u0131\u015f 2,0 puan oldu.<\/p>\n
Bu imalat verisi, Hindistan ekonomisinin beklentilerden daha h\u0131zl\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00f6steriyor. 55,9\u2019luk PMI, talep ve \u00fcretimin g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc oldu\u011funa i\u015faret eden olumlu bir sinyal olarak yorumlan\u0131r. \u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda hisse piyasalar\u0131nda yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc hareket g\u00f6r\u00fclebilir.<\/p>\n
Nifty 50 vadeli i\u015flemlerinde (gelecekte belirli fiyattan al\u0131m-sat\u0131m i\u00e7in yap\u0131lan borsa s\u00f6zle\u015fmeleri) uzun pozisyon (fiyat art\u0131\u015f\u0131 beklentisiyle al\u0131m y\u00f6n\u00fcnde i\u015flem) art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 ve al\u0131m opsiyonu (belli fiyattan sat\u0131n alma hakk\u0131 veren s\u00f6zle\u015fme) de\u011ferlendirmeye al\u0131nabilir. Ge\u00e7mi\u015fte bu t\u00fcr g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc PMI verileri, \u00f6zellikle 2020\u2019lerin ba\u015f\u0131ndaki pandemi sonras\u0131 y\u00fckseli\u015fte g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc gibi, piyasa toparlanmalar\u0131ndan \u00f6nce gelebiliyordu. Hindistan\u2019\u0131n \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki mali y\u0131l i\u00e7in GSYH (ekonominin toplam \u00fcretimi) b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahmininin %6,8\u2019e y\u00fckseltilmesi, \u015firket k\u00e2rlar\u0131n\u0131n artmaya devam edebilece\u011fi g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fc destekliyor.<\/p>\n
Bu g\u00fc\u00e7lenme, yabanc\u0131 sermaye giri\u015fini art\u0131rarak Hindistan Rupisi\u2019ni destekleyebilir. Yabanc\u0131 portf\u00f6y yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131 (hisse ve tahvil gibi menkul k\u0131ymetlere yat\u0131r\u0131m yapan yabanc\u0131 fonlar) bu \u00e7eyrekte Hindistan hisselerine 5 milyar dolar\u0131n \u00fczerinde giri\u015f yapt\u0131; bu verinin e\u011filimi h\u0131zland\u0131rmas\u0131 beklenebilir. Bu nedenle USD\/INR vadeli i\u015flemlerinde k\u0131sa pozisyon (kur d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc beklentisiyle sat\u0131\u015f y\u00f6n\u00fcnde i\u015flem) veya Rupi al\u0131m opsiyonu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fclebilir.<\/p>\n
G\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc veri, piyasan\u0131n y\u00f6n\u00fc daha netle\u015fti\u011fi i\u00e7in \u00f6rt\u00fck volatiliteyi (opsiyon fiyatlar\u0131na yans\u0131yan beklenen oynakl\u0131k) ge\u00e7ici olarak d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrebilir. Bu durum, sanayi ve imalat hisselerinde uzun opsiyon pozisyonlar\u0131 kurmak i\u00e7in daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck maliyetli bir f\u0131rsat yaratabilir.<\/p>\n
Buna kar\u015f\u0131n enflasyon riski izlenmeli; g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc b\u00fcy\u00fcme fiyat art\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131 h\u0131zland\u0131rabilir. \u00c7ekirdek T\u00dcFE (enerji ve g\u0131da gibi oynak kalemler hari\u00e7 t\u00fcketici enflasyonu) %5,2 civar\u0131ndayken Hindistan Merkez Bankas\u0131 (RBI) yak\u0131ndan takip edecektir. 2025\u2019teki h\u0131zl\u0131 faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 d\u00f6neminde g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc gibi, ekonomi a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 \u0131s\u0131n\u0131rsa RBI faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131yla devreye girebilir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
S\u00fcrpriz y\u00fckseli\u015f: Hindistan HSBC \u0130malat PMI Nisan\u2019da 55,9\u2019a \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131 (Mart 53,9). B\u00fcy\u00fcme h\u0131zlan\u0131rken borsaya destek ve Rupide g\u00fc\u00e7lenme beklentisi art\u0131yor; enflasyon\/RBI faiz riski izlenmeli.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-45294","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45294","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=45294"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45294\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=45294"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=45294"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=45294"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}