{"id":45277,"date":"2026-04-23T04:54:20","date_gmt":"2026-04-23T04:54:20","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/gbp-usd-dalgali-ve-belirsiz-islemler-ortaminda-ingiltere-pmilari-ve-perakende-satis-verileri-beklenirken-135-civarinda-seyrediyor\/"},"modified":"2026-04-23T04:54:20","modified_gmt":"2026-04-23T04:54:20","slug":"gbp-usd-dalgali-ve-belirsiz-islemler-ortaminda-ingiltere-pmilari-ve-perakende-satis-verileri-beklenirken-135-civarinda-seyrediyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/gbp-usd-dalgali-ve-belirsiz-islemler-ortaminda-ingiltere-pmilari-ve-perakende-satis-verileri-beklenirken-135-civarinda-seyrediyor\/","title":{"rendered":"GBP\/USD, dalgal\u0131 ve belirsiz i\u015flemler ortam\u0131nda \u0130ngiltere PMI\u2019lar\u0131 ve perakende sat\u0131\u015f verileri beklenirken 1,35 civar\u0131nda seyrediyor"},"content":{"rendered":"

GBP\/USD, \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fcn\u00fc 1,3510 civar\u0131nda kapatt\u0131. Londra\u2019da 1,3540\u2019a y\u00fckseldikten sonra g\u00fcn i\u00e7inde 1,3490\u2019a kadar indi. Parite 65 piplik (pip: d\u00f6vizde en k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck fiyat ad\u0131m\u0131) dar bir bantta kald\u0131; mumlarda g\u00f6r\u00fclen uzun fitiller (fitil: g\u00fcn i\u00e7i en y\u00fcksek ve en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyeyi g\u00f6steren \u00e7izgi) y\u00f6n konusunda karars\u0131zl\u0131\u011fa i\u015faret etti.<\/p>\n

\u0130ngiltere\u2019de T\u00dcFE (CPI: t\u00fcketici fiyat endeksi, enflasyon g\u00f6stergesi) Mart\u2019ta ayl\u0131k bazda %0,7 artt\u0131; beklenti %0,6\u2019yd\u0131. Y\u0131ll\u0131k T\u00dcFE %3,3\u2019e y\u00fckseldi. \u00c7ekirdek T\u00dcFE (g\u0131da ve enerji gibi oynak kalemler hari\u00e7 enflasyon) %3,1\u2019e geriledi; beklenti %3,2\u2019ydi.<\/p>\n

\u00d6ne \u00c7\u0131kan \u0130ngiltere Ve ABD Verileri<\/h3>\n

Per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc \u0130ngiltere\u2019de \u00f6nc\u00fc PMI (Sat\u0131n Alma Y\u00f6neticileri Endeksi; 50 \u00fcst\u00fc b\u00fcy\u00fcme, 50 alt\u0131 daralma) verilerinde \u0130malat 49,9, Bile\u015fik 49,8 bekleniyor. GfK T\u00fcketici G\u00fcveni (hanehalk\u0131 g\u00fcven anketi) -25 tahmin ediliyor; \u00f6nceki\/kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rma seviye -21. Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc \u0130ngiltere Perakende Sat\u0131\u015flar (t\u00fcketim harcamas\u0131 g\u00f6stergesi) \u015eubat\u2019taki -%0,4\u2019\u00fcn ard\u0131ndan ayl\u0131k %0,2 bekleniyor.<\/p>\n

ABD\u2019de Per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc \u00f6nc\u00fc PMI verilerinde Hizmetler 50 civar\u0131, \u0130malat 52,5 civar\u0131 bekleniyor. Ayr\u0131ca \u0130lk \u0130\u015fsizlik Ba\u015fvurular\u0131 (haftal\u0131k i\u015fsizlik maa\u015f\u0131 ba\u015fvurular\u0131) 212 bin tahmin ediliyor; \u00f6nce 207 bindi. Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc Michigan \u00dcniversitesi 1 y\u0131ll\u0131k enflasyon beklentisi (halk\u0131n enflasyon tahmini) %4,8 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

15 dakikal\u0131k grafikte GBP\/USD 1,3506 seviyesindeydi; g\u00fcn a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u015f\u0131 1,3517\u2019nin alt\u0131nda. Stokastik RSI (momentum g\u00f6stergesi; a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 al\u0131m\/sat\u0131m sinyali i\u00e7in kullan\u0131l\u0131r) 40 civar\u0131ndayd\u0131. G\u00fcnl\u00fck grafikte ise 1,3501 ile 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck EMA\u2019n\u0131n (\u00fcstel hareketli ortalama; daha yeni fiyatlara daha fazla a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131k verir) 1,3427 ve 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck EMA\u2019n\u0131n 1,3357 \u00fczerinde kald\u0131; Stokastik RSI 87 civar\u0131ndayd\u0131.<\/p>\n

S\u00fcr\u00fcc\u00fcler Strateji Ve Pozisyonlanma<\/h3>\n

Bu tablo alt\u0131nda para birimi hareketlerinde merkez bankalar\u0131 aras\u0131ndaki politika fark\u0131n\u0131n belirleyici olmas\u0131 beklenir. Bu \u00e7er\u00e7evede, \u0130ngiltere ekonomisi zay\u0131f kal\u0131rsa sterlindeki olas\u0131 de\u011fer kayb\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131 korunmak i\u00e7in (hedge: riski azaltma) uzun vadeli GBP\/USD put opsiyonlar\u0131 (put: belirli fiyattan satma hakk\u0131 veren opsiyon) almak daha temkinli bir se\u00e7enek olabilir. Merkez bankas\u0131 toplant\u0131lar\u0131 \u00e7evresinde oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n (volatility: fiyat dalgalanmas\u0131) artmas\u0131 beklenebilece\u011finden, y\u00f6n\u00fc kestiremeyip k\u0131r\u0131lma (breakout: bant d\u0131\u015f\u0131na g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc hareket) bekleyen yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar i\u00e7in straddle\/strangle (ayn\u0131 vadede al\u0131m-sat\u0131m opsiyonlar\u0131n\u0131 birlikte kullanarak hareketten faydalanma stratejileri) \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kabilir.<\/p>\n

ABD ile \u0130ngiltere aras\u0131ndaki faiz fark\u0131 (interest rate differential: iki \u00fclke faizi aras\u0131ndaki fark) son bir y\u0131lda a\u00e7\u0131ld\u0131; bu da carry trade\u2019i (faiz fark\u0131ndan getiri hedefleyen i\u015flem) daha cazip hale getiriyor. Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar forward s\u00f6zle\u015fmeler (belirli tarihte belirli kurdan al\u0131m-sat\u0131m anla\u015fmas\u0131) ile GBP\/USD\u2019de k\u0131sa pozisyon (short: d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f beklentisiyle sat\u0131\u015f y\u00f6nl\u00fc pozisyon) d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnebilir ve dolar ta\u015f\u0131maktan (dolar faizi) sterline g\u00f6re daha y\u00fcksek getiriyi (positive carry: faiz fark\u0131ndan gelen kazan\u00e7) hedefleyebilir. Ancak \u0130ngiltere Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019ndan beklenmedik \u015fahin (hawkish: daha s\u0131k\u0131 para politikas\u0131, daha y\u00fcksek faiz e\u011filimi) bir mesaj gelmesi bu pozisyonlar\u0131n h\u0131zl\u0131 kapanmas\u0131na yol a\u00e7abilir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Sterlin\/dolar 1,35\u2019te s\u0131k\u0131\u015ft\u0131: T\u00dcFE s\u00fcrprizi ve fitilli mumlar karars\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131 teyit ediyor. G\u00f6zler PMI, perakende ve ABD verilerinde. Faiz fark\u0131 dolar\u0131 desteklerken opsiyon stratejileri \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-45277","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45277","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=45277"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45277\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=45277"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=45277"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=45277"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}