{"id":45275,"date":"2026-04-23T04:23:57","date_gmt":"2026-04-23T04:23:57","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/ocbcden-christopher-wong-dusus-baskisinin-hafiflemesi-ve-rsiin-asiri-satim-seviyelerinden-yukselmesiyle-usd-krwnin-toparlanabilecegini-ongoruyor\/"},"modified":"2026-04-23T04:23:57","modified_gmt":"2026-04-23T04:23:57","slug":"ocbcden-christopher-wong-dusus-baskisinin-hafiflemesi-ve-rsiin-asiri-satim-seviyelerinden-yukselmesiyle-usd-krwnin-toparlanabilecegini-ongoruyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/ocbcden-christopher-wong-dusus-baskisinin-hafiflemesi-ve-rsiin-asiri-satim-seviyelerinden-yukselmesiyle-usd-krwnin-toparlanabilecegini-ongoruyor\/","title":{"rendered":"OCBC\u2019den Christopher Wong, d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n hafiflemesi ve RSI\u2019\u0131n a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 sat\u0131m seviyelerinden y\u00fckselmesiyle USD\/KRW\u2019nin toparlanabilece\u011fini \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcyor"},"content":{"rendered":"

OCBC\u2019den Christopher Wong, USD\/KRW\u2019de (dolar\/G\u00fcney Kore wonu) \u00f6nceki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn duraklad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131; d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f e\u011filiminin (bearish momentum: a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc hareketin g\u00fcc\u00fc) zay\u0131flad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve RSI\u2019nin (G\u00f6reli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi: fiyat\u0131n a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 al\u0131m\/a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 sat\u0131m durumunu g\u00f6steren teknik g\u00f6sterge) a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 sat\u0131m b\u00f6lgesinden yukar\u0131 \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtiyor. Wong\u2019a g\u00f6re 1492 seviyesine do\u011fru tepki y\u00fckseli\u015fi m\u00fcmk\u00fcn; destek ise 1460\/64 band\u0131nda.<\/p>\n

Wong, piyasada iki y\u00f6nl\u00fc i\u015flemlerin (hem al\u0131m hem sat\u0131m) canl\u0131 kald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131; USD\/KRW, USD\/SGD (dolar\/Singapur dolar\u0131) ve USD\/TWD\u2019de (dolar\/Tayvan dolar\u0131) k\u0131sa vadede yukar\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fc i\u015faret eden teknik sinyaller g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor. Yak\u0131n vadeli riskin azalabilece\u011fini, ate\u015fkes g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerinde olas\u0131 bir ilerlemenin risk i\u015ftah\u0131n\u0131 (yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n riskli varl\u0131klara y\u00f6nelme iste\u011fi) art\u0131rabilece\u011fini ekliyor.<\/p>\n

Usdkrw Technical Setup<\/h3>\n

Rapora g\u00f6re piyasa alg\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n pozitife d\u00f6nmesi, USD\/KRW\u2019de \u201cproxy sell-rally\u201d (y\u00fckseli\u015fleri sat\u0131\u015f f\u0131rsat\u0131 olarak de\u011ferlendirme) t\u00fcr\u00fc bir i\u015flemi destekleyebilir. Zamanlaman\u0131n, ABD veya \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n ate\u015fkes g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerinde tutum de\u011fi\u015ftirip de\u011fi\u015ftirmemesine ba\u011fl\u0131 oldu\u011fu ifade ediliyor.<\/p>\n

Dolar-won paritesindeki son d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn 1460\/64 destek seviyesinde durdu\u011fu ve bu b\u00f6lgenin \u015fimdilik korundu\u011fu belirtiliyor. D\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n zay\u0131flamas\u0131 ve RSI\u2019nin a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 sat\u0131m b\u00f6lgesinden \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131, k\u0131sa vadede tepki y\u00fckseli\u015fi olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131r\u0131yor. Bu da yak\u0131n vadede iki y\u00f6nl\u00fc i\u015flem f\u0131rsat\u0131 do\u011furuyor.<\/p>\n

1492\u2019ye do\u011fru olas\u0131 toparlanma, ABD verileriyle de destekleniyor. Mart 2026 i\u00e7in a\u00e7\u0131klanan ABD \u00e7ekirdek PCE (ki\u015fisel t\u00fcketim harcamalar\u0131 fiyat endeksi, g\u0131da ve enerji hari\u00e7 enflasyon g\u00f6stergesi) %2,9 ile beklentinin biraz \u00fczerinde geldi. Bu durum, piyasan\u0131n Fed\u2019in (ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131) faiz indirimi beklentisini \u00f6teledi. Bu temel tablo, k\u0131sa vadede dolar\u0131n g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc kalmas\u0131na neden olabilir; bu nedenle k\u0131sa vadeli USD\/KRW \u201ccall\u201d opsiyonu (belirli fiyattan alma hakk\u0131 veren opsiyon) gibi stratejiler izlenebilir.<\/p>\n

Geopolitical Risk And Strategy<\/h3>\n

Daha sert bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc s\u0131n\u0131rlayan ana unsurun, ABD-\u0130ran g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerinin t\u0131kand\u0131\u011f\u0131na dair haberlerle jeopolitik gerilim oldu\u011fu vurgulan\u0131yor. Bu belirsizlik, piyasada risk primi (belirsizlik nedeniyle fiyatlara eklenen pay) olu\u015fturuyor ve dolar\u0131 \u201cg\u00fcvenli liman\u201d (risk artt\u0131\u011f\u0131nda talep g\u00f6ren varl\u0131k) olarak destekliyor. Diplomasi ba\u015fl\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131n yak\u0131ndan izlenmesi gerekti\u011fi; ani bir ilerlemenin alg\u0131y\u0131 h\u0131zl\u0131 \u015fekilde de\u011fi\u015ftirebilece\u011fi belirtiliyor.<\/p>\n

Bu risk azald\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, G\u00fcney Kore ekonomisinin temel dinamiklerinin yeniden \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kabilece\u011fi ifade ediliyor. 2025\u2019in \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyre\u011finde benzer bir \u00f6rnekte jeopolitik kaynakl\u0131 s\u0131\u00e7raman\u0131n, ortam sakinle\u015fince h\u0131zla geri verildi\u011fi hat\u0131rlat\u0131l\u0131yor. Mart 2026\u2019da G\u00fcney Kore\u2019nin d\u0131\u015f ticaret fazlas\u0131n\u0131n 5,2 milyar dolara geni\u015flemesi (ihracat\u0131n g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc seyri) wonun ileride g\u00fc\u00e7lenebilece\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor.<\/p>\n

Bu nedenle k\u0131sa vadede 1460\/64 deste\u011finden kaynakl\u0131 tepki y\u00fckseli\u015fine pozisyon almak d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fclebilir. Ancak tansiyonun d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc\u011f\u00fcne dair net i\u015faretler geldi\u011finde h\u0131zl\u0131 \u015fekilde y\u00f6n de\u011fi\u015ftirip k\u0131sa pozisyonlara ge\u00e7meye (\u00f6rne\u011fin \u201cput\u201d opsiyonu: belirli fiyattan satma hakk\u0131 veren opsiyon) haz\u0131r olmak gerekir. K\u00fcresel risk alg\u0131s\u0131nda olumlu d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f, USD\/KRW y\u00fckseli\u015flerinde sat\u0131\u015f i\u00e7in temel tetikleyici olacak.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

USD\/KRW\u2019de d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f solukland\u0131: 1460\/64 destek korundu, RSI a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 sat\u0131mdan \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. OCBC, 1492\u2019ye tepki y\u00fckseli\u015fi bekliyor. Jeopolitik risk ve Fed beklentileri y\u00f6n\u00fc belirleyecek; iki y\u00f6nl\u00fc f\u0131rsat var.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-45275","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45275","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=45275"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45275\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=45275"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=45275"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=45275"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}