AUD\/USD, Orta Do\u011fu\u2019da gerilim y\u00fcksek seyrederken 0,7160 civar\u0131nda dar bir bantta kald\u0131 ve %0,12 y\u00fckseldi. Risk i\u015ftah\u0131yla S&P 500 t\u00fcm zamanlar\u0131n en y\u00fckse\u011fine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131, ancak daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ABD Dolar\u0131 (USD) y\u00fckseli\u015fi s\u0131n\u0131rlad\u0131.<\/p>\n
ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Trump ate\u015fkesi uzat\u0131rken, \u0130ran H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019nda iki konteyner gemisine el koydu. Bo\u011faz kapal\u0131 kal\u0131rken ABD \u0130ran bayrakl\u0131 tankerleri al\u0131koydu, \u0130ran da iki y\u00fck gemisine el koydu.<\/p>\n
Dikkat, 18 Nisan\u2019da biten haftaya ait ABD \u0130lk \u0130\u015fsizlik Ba\u015fvurular\u0131 (i\u015fsizlik maa\u015f\u0131 i\u00e7in ilk kez yap\u0131lan ba\u015fvuru say\u0131s\u0131) verisine d\u00f6n\u00fcyor. Beklenti 212 bin; \u00f6nceki veri 207 bindi. Piyasalar ayr\u0131ca Nisan ay\u0131 S&P Global Flash PMI\u2019lar\u0131 (\u00f6nc\u00fc sat\u0131n alma y\u00f6neticileri endeksi; 50 \u00fcst\u00fc b\u00fcy\u00fcme, 50 alt\u0131 daralma) bekliyor. \u0130malat i\u00e7in 52,5, hizmetler i\u00e7in 50 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n
Avustralya, Nisan S&P Global Flash PMI verilerini a\u00e7\u0131klayacak. Mart verileri daralmaya i\u015faret etmi\u015fti: imalat 49,8, hizmetler 46,3. ABD\u2019de \u00e7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc \u00f6nemli bir veri ak\u0131\u015f\u0131 yoktu.<\/p>\n
Grafiklerde AUD\/USD 0,7156 civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc ve 50-, 100- ve 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA\u2019lar\u0131n (basit hareketli ortalama; trendi izlemek i\u00e7in kullan\u0131lan teknik g\u00f6sterge) yak\u0131n\u0131ndaki 0,7048 seviyesinin \u00fczerinde kald\u0131. RSI (14) (g\u00f6reli g\u00fc\u00e7 endeksi; fiyat momentumunu \u00f6l\u00e7er) 62 seviyesindeydi. Destek 0,7156 ile 0,7057\u20130,7048 band\u0131nda; diren\u00e7 0,7495, 0,7765 ve 0,8015\u2019te g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n
\u015eu anda Avustralya Merkez Bankas\u0131 (RBA) politika faizini %4,35\u2019te tutuyor ve s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fma d\u00f6ng\u00fcs\u00fcnde zirveye yakla\u015f\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 mesaj\u0131n\u0131 veriyor. ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131 (Fed) daha y\u00fcksek faiz seviyesini korudu\u011fu i\u00e7in ABD Dolar\u0131 lehine getiri avantaj\u0131 (faiz fark\u0131) olu\u015fuyor. Avustralya\u2019da y\u0131ll\u0131k enflasyonun %3,4\u2019e gerilemesi, RBA\u2019n\u0131n temkinli duru\u015funu destekliyor. Bu politika ayr\u0131\u015fmas\u0131 AUD\/USD i\u00e7in \u00f6nemli bir bask\u0131 unsuru.<\/p>\n
\u00c7in kaynakl\u0131 talep de risk olmaya devam ediyor. \u00c7in\u2019in Caixin \u0130malat PMI verisi 50,9 ile s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 bir b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye i\u015faret ediyor ve Avustralya\u2019n\u0131n emtia ihracat\u0131na g\u00fcveni belirgin \u015fekilde art\u0131rm\u0131yor. Demir cevheri fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n son zirvelerinden geri \u00e7ekilmesi de Avustralya Dolar\u0131 \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 yarat\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
T\u00fcrev i\u015flem yapanlar i\u00e7in (t\u00fcrev \u00fcr\u00fcn: de\u011feri d\u00f6viz kuru gibi ba\u015fka bir varl\u0131\u011fa ba\u011fl\u0131 s\u00f6zle\u015fmeler) bu tablo, d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015ften veya yatay seyirden faydalanan stratejileri \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131yor. AUD\/USD\u2019de put opsiyonu almak (opsiyon: belirli vadede belirli fiyattan al\u0131m\/sat\u0131m hakk\u0131; put: satma hakk\u0131) 0,6500\u2019e do\u011fru olas\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe kar\u015f\u0131 korunma ve kazan\u00e7 imk\u00e2n\u0131 sunabilir. Alternatif olarak bear put spread (iki farkl\u0131 kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131yla iki put opsiyonu kullanarak maliyeti d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcren ve risk\/kazanc\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rlayan d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f stratejisi) ba\u015flang\u0131\u00e7 maliyetini azalt\u0131p riski netle\u015ftirebilir.<\/p>\n
Mevcut d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f e\u011filimi jeopolitikten \u00e7ok ekonomik temellere dayan\u0131rken, kritik veri a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131na odaklanmak gerekir. \u0130ma edilen oynakl\u0131k (implied volatility: opsiyon fiyatlar\u0131ndan hesaplanan beklenen dalgalanma) yakla\u015fan Avustralya T\u00dcFE (CPI: t\u00fcketici fiyat endeksi, enflasyon g\u00f6stergesi) ve ABD istihdam verileri \u00e7evresinde artabilir. Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar haftal\u0131k gibi k\u0131sa vadeli opsiyonlarla (short-dated\/weekly: k\u0131sa vadeli) bu verilerin yarataca\u011f\u0131 fiyat tepkisine pozisyon alabilir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Orta Do\u011fu gerilimi s\u00fcrerken AUD\/USD 0,7160\u2019ta s\u0131k\u0131\u015ft\u0131; S&P 500 rekoru deste\u011fi s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kald\u0131. G\u00f6zler ABD i\u015fsizlik ba\u015fvurusu ve PMI\u2019larda. Fed-RBA faiz fark\u0131, \u00c7in talebi zay\u0131f. Teknikte 0,7050 destek, 0,7495 diren\u00e7; opsiyonlarda d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f stratejileri \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-45274","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45274","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=45274"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45274\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=45274"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=45274"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=45274"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}