USD\/CAD, \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc Kuzey Amerika seans\u0131nda 1,3658 civar\u0131nda yatay seyretti. Hareket, Pazartesi g\u00fcnk\u00fc i\u015flemlerin ard\u0131ndan geldi. Pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc Kanada Dolar\u0131, ABD Dolar\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda %0,34 de\u011fer kazand\u0131 ve kur o seanstaki bant i\u00e7inde s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kald\u0131.<\/p>\n
Pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc parite g\u00fcn i\u00e7i en y\u00fcksek 1,3709\u2019u g\u00f6rd\u00fc ve 1,3644\u2019e yak\u0131n kapand\u0131. Bu, alt\u0131 g\u00fcnd\u00fcr s\u00fcren d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f serisini uzatt\u0131. Ancak Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc %0,15 y\u00fckseli\u015fle tamamland\u0131 ve \u201cy\u00fckseli\u015f teyitli delme\u201d (bullish piercing: d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f sonras\u0131 al\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131n g\u00fc\u00e7lenmesine i\u015faret eden iki mumluk d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f deseni) olu\u015ftu.<\/p>\n
G\u00f6reli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi (RSI: fiyat\u0131n h\u0131z\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6l\u00e7en momentum g\u00f6stergesi) momentumun h\u00e2l\u00e2 a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc oldu\u011funu g\u00f6steriyor. Fiyat Sal\u0131 g\u00fcnk\u00fc dip seviyeyi (swing low: k\u0131sa vadeli yerel dip) olan 1,3631\u2019in alt\u0131na sarkarsa 1,3600 test edilebilir; ard\u0131ndan 9 Mart\u2019taki g\u00fcnl\u00fck dip 1,3525 g\u00fcndeme gelir.<\/p>\n
Yukar\u0131 hareket i\u00e7in fiyat\u0131n \u00f6nce 1,3700\u2019\u00fc, ard\u0131ndan 1,3709\u2019u a\u015fmas\u0131 gerekiyor. Diren\u00e7 seviyeleri aras\u0131nda 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck Basit Hareketli Ortalama (SMA: son 50 g\u00fcn\u00fcn ortalama fiyat\u0131) olan 1,3727 ve 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA (son 100 g\u00fcn\u00fcn ortalamas\u0131) olan 1,3742 bulunuyor; daha yukar\u0131da 1,3800 seviyesi var.<\/p>\n
USD\/CAD\u2019in 1,3658 \u00e7evresinde yatay kalmas\u0131, piyasada karars\u0131zl\u0131\u011fa i\u015faret ediyor. \u0130zlenecek ana seviyeler 1,3709 direnci ve 1,3631 deste\u011fi. Bu dar bant, t\u00fcrev \u00fcr\u00fcn (derivative: de\u011feri kur\/fiyat gibi bir varl\u0131\u011fa ba\u011fl\u0131 s\u00f6zle\u015fmeler) yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda olas\u0131 bir k\u0131r\u0131lmaya (breakout: fiyat\u0131n band\u0131n d\u0131\u015f\u0131na \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131) haz\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 olmas\u0131n\u0131 gerektiriyor.<\/p>\n
Yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nde 1,3700\u2019\u00fcn a\u015f\u0131lmas\u0131, b\u00fcy\u00fck olas\u0131l\u0131kla ABD dolar\u0131ndaki g\u00fc\u00e7lenmeyle desteklenir. ABD\u2019nin Mart 2026 enflasyon verisi %3,1 ile y\u00fcksek kalmaya devam etti; bu da Fed\u2019in faiz indirimine h\u0131zl\u0131 gitmeyece\u011fi beklentisini g\u00fc\u00e7lendiriyor. Buna oynayan yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar, 1,3800\u2019e do\u011fru hareketi yakalamak i\u00e7in 1,3727 hareketli ortalama civar\u0131nda kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 (strike: opsiyonun devreye girdi\u011fi fiyat) al\u0131m opsiyonu (call option: belirli fiyattan alma hakk\u0131) d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnebilir.<\/p>\n
Di\u011fer taraftan sat\u0131c\u0131lar pariteyi 1,3631\u2019in alt\u0131na iterse, odak daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc Kanada dolar\u0131na kayar. WTI ham petrol (ABD tipi ham petrol g\u00f6stergesi) fiyatlar\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc seyrini koruyor ve varil ba\u015f\u0131na 85 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerinde; bu durum \u201cloonie\u201d (Kanada dolar\u0131n\u0131n piyasa takma ad\u0131) i\u00e7in destekleyici. Buna pozisyon almak i\u00e7in 1,3600 civar\u0131nda kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 sat\u0131m opsiyonu (put option: belirli fiyattan satma hakk\u0131) al\u0131narak 1,3525\u2019e yak\u0131n daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyelerin test edilmesi hedeflenebilir.<\/p>\n
Momentum sinyalleri kar\u0131\u015f\u0131k oldu\u011fundan, oynakl\u0131k (volatility: fiyat\u0131n h\u0131zl\u0131 ve geni\u015f aral\u0131kta hareket etmesi) odakl\u0131 bir yakla\u015f\u0131m daha temkinli olabilir. 2025 sonlar\u0131nda merkez bankas\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131 sonras\u0131 paritede sert ve beklenmedik hareketler g\u00f6r\u00fclm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. Uzun straddle (ayn\u0131 vadede hem call hem put alarak b\u00fcy\u00fck hareketten iki y\u00f6nde de faydalanmay\u0131 hedefleyen strateji), vade sonuna (expiry: opsiyonun biti\u015f tarihi) kadar iki y\u00f6nden birinde g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc hareket olursa kazan\u00e7 sa\u011flayabilir.<\/p>\n
Bir sonraki istihdam verileri \u00f6ncesinde bu s\u0131k\u0131\u015fman\u0131n (consolidation: dar bantta birikim) s\u00fcrece\u011fi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcl\u00fcrse iron condor (ayn\u0131 vadede band\u0131n d\u0131\u015f\u0131na ta\u015f\u0131nmayaca\u011f\u0131 beklentisiyle uzak kullan\u0131m fiyatlar\u0131nda call ve put sat\u0131p riski s\u0131n\u0131rlayan strateji) uygun olabilir. Bu strateji, \u201cparan\u0131n d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda\u201d (out-of-the-money: kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131 mevcut fiyattan uzak) put ve call satmay\u0131 i\u00e7erir ve kurun kalmas\u0131n\u0131 bekledi\u011fimiz bir aral\u0131k tan\u0131mlar. \u00d6rne\u011fin 1,3550\u20131,3750 band\u0131 d\u0131\u015f\u0131ndaki opsiyonlar\u0131n sat\u0131lmas\u0131, piyasa yeni bir kataliz\u00f6r (catalyst: fiyat\u0131 harekete ge\u00e7iren veri\/olay) beklerken prim (premium: opsiyon fiyat\u0131) geliri sa\u011flayabilir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
USD\/CAD 1,3658\u2019de s\u0131k\u0131\u015ft\u0131: 1,3709 diren\u00e7, 1,3631 destek kritik. RSI zay\u0131f; k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131rsa 1,3600\/1,3525 hedef. Fed-enflasyon ve petrol, opsiyonla breakout\/condor-straddle stratejilerini \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-45262","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45262","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=45262"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45262\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=45262"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=45262"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=45262"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}