GBP\/USD \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde yatay kald\u0131 ve 1,3514 civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc. Gerilim y\u00fcksek seyretti, ABD\u2013\u0130ran g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerinde net bir ilerleme g\u00f6r\u00fclmedi. ABD\u2019den \u00f6nemli bir veri ak\u0131\u015f\u0131 olmay\u0131nca yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar, enerji kaynakl\u0131 \u015fokla ili\u015fkilendirilen Birle\u015fik Krall\u0131k enflasyon verilerine odakland\u0131.<\/p>\n
ABD hisseleri y\u00fckseldi. Ancak \u00e7at\u0131\u015fman\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi, \u201cg\u00fcvenli liman\u201d (kriz d\u00f6nemlerinde daha \u00e7ok tercih edilen) varl\u0131klara, \u00f6zellikle ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019na talebi art\u0131rabilir. ABD Dolar Endeksi (DXY) 98,44 seviyesinde, %0,03 art\u0131da. (DXY: Dolar\u0131n, ba\u015fl\u0131ca para birimlerinden olu\u015fan bir sepet kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131ndaki g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00f6steren endeks.)<\/p>\n
\u0130ran\u2019\u0131n Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc ABD ile m\u00fczakere plan\u0131 olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 bildirildi. Reuters \u00f6nce 3\u20135 g\u00fcnl\u00fck ate\u015fkes penceresi oldu\u011funu yazd\u0131, ard\u0131ndan zaman \u00e7izelgesi olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fczeltti. Donald Trump ise \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n teklifini bekleyece\u011fini s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n
Birle\u015fik Krall\u0131k\u2019ta T\u00dcFE (CPI: t\u00fcketici fiyat endeksi, enflasyonun ana g\u00f6stergesi) Mart\u2019ta y\u0131ll\u0131k %3,3 artt\u0131; beklentiye paralel geldi. \u00c7ekirdek T\u00dcFE (enerji ve g\u0131da gibi oynak kalemler hari\u00e7 enflasyon) %3,2\u2019den %3,1\u2019e geriledi. ONS (\u0130ngiltere istatistik kurumu) fabrika \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n (\u00fcretici fiyatlar\u0131; \u015firketlerin \u00fcr\u00fcnleri fabrikadan \u00e7\u0131karken uygulad\u0131\u011f\u0131 fiyatlar) tahminlerin \u00fczerinde oldu\u011funu s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n
BoE (\u0130ngiltere Merkez Bankas\u0131) daha \u00f6nce enflasyonun Nisan\u2019da %2\u2019ye yakla\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131 bekliyordu; daha sonra tahminini %3,5\u2019e y\u00fckseltti. IMF ise %4 \u00f6ng\u00f6rd\u00fc. Piyasalar iki toplant\u0131 boyunca faiz de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fi beklemiyor. 29 Temmuz i\u00e7in fiyatlamalar, 25 baz puanl\u0131k art\u0131\u015f olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 yakla\u015f\u0131k %48 g\u00f6steriyor. (Baz puan: faiz oran\u0131nda %0,01\u2019lik de\u011fi\u015fim; 25 baz puan = %0,25.)<\/p>\n
Teknik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcmde GBP\/USD, 1,3417 civar\u0131ndaki 50, 100 ve 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA\u2019lar\u0131n (basit hareketli ortalama; belirli g\u00fcn say\u0131s\u0131ndaki ortalama fiyat) \u00fczerinde kald\u0131. Diren\u00e7 1,3855 ve 1,3869 yak\u0131n\u0131nda; destek 1,3417 civar\u0131nda.<\/p>\n
Parite 2025\u2019in ba\u015f\u0131nda 1,3400 \u00fczerinde tutunurken, bug\u00fcn 1,2950 civar\u0131nda daha dar bir bantta s\u0131k\u0131\u015f\u0131yor. GBP\/USD i\u00e7in 3 ayl\u0131k ima edilen oynakl\u0131k (opsiyon fiyatlar\u0131ndan t\u00fcretilen beklenen dalgalanma) %6,2\u2019ye geriledi; ge\u00e7en y\u0131l jeopolitik alevlenmelerde %8\u2019in \u00fczerindeydi. Paritenin bir sonraki merkez bankas\u0131 toplant\u0131lar\u0131 \u00f6ncesinde bant i\u00e7inde kalaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnen yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar i\u00e7in, \u201cout-of-the-money\u201d (mevcut fiyata g\u00f6re kullan\u0131m\u0131 k\u00e2rs\u0131z seviyede olan) \u201cstrangle\u201d satmak (farkl\u0131 kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 al\u0131m ve sat\u0131m opsiyonlar\u0131n\u0131 birlikte sat\u0131p prim geliri hedeflemek) prim toplamak i\u00e7in bir se\u00e7enek olabilir. (Prim: opsiyonun al\u0131m-sat\u0131m bedeli.)<\/p>\n
Canl\u0131 VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturun<\/a>\u00a0ve\u00a0hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n<\/a>. <\/b><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" GBP\/USD 1,3514\u2019te yatay: ABD\u2013\u0130ran gerilimi dolara g\u00fcvenli liman talebi yaratabilir. \u0130ngiltere enflasyonu beklentiye paralel, \u00e7ekirdek geriledi. Piyasalar BoE\u2019de sabit, oynakl\u0131k d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck; destek 1,3417, diren\u00e7 1,3869.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-45248","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45248","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=45248"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45248\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=45248"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=45248"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=45248"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}