EUR\/CAD alt\u0131nc\u0131 g\u00fcn \u00fcst \u00fcste geriledi ve \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc Avrupa saatlerinde 1,6040 civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc. Parite zay\u0131f kal\u0131rken, Kanada Dolar\u0131 (CAD) ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Donald Trump\u2019\u0131n ate\u015fkesi uzatmas\u0131n\u0131n risk i\u015ftah\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131rmas\u0131yla destek buldu. Buna kar\u015f\u0131n, ABD-\u0130ran g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerinin ikinci turunun \u00e7\u00f6kmesi tansiyonu y\u00fcksek tuttu.<\/p>\n
Kanada Dolar\u0131, \u0130ran yak\u0131nlar\u0131nda deniz ta\u015f\u0131mac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131na y\u00f6nelik yeni sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131n ard\u0131ndan petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n g\u00fc\u00e7lenmesiyle de desteklendi. Denizcilik otoriteleri, Liberya bayrakl\u0131 bir konteyner gemisinin \u0130ran Devrim Muhaf\u0131zlar\u0131 Ordusu (IRGC) ile ba\u011flant\u0131l\u0131 bir bot taraf\u0131ndan ate\u015f alt\u0131na al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131, iki ba\u015fka y\u00fck gemisinin de hedef al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 bildirdi.<\/p>\n
Bloomberg\u2019in, IRGC ile ba\u011flant\u0131l\u0131 Tasnim Haber Ajans\u0131\u2019n\u0131 kaynak g\u00f6steren haberine g\u00f6re \u0130ran, ABD\u2019nin deniz ablukas\u0131n\u0131 (deniz yoluyla ticareti k\u0131s\u0131tlayan askeri bask\u0131) gev\u015fetmeye istekli olabilece\u011fine dair \u201cbaz\u0131 i\u015faretler\u201d ald\u0131. Enerji fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fckselmesi, Kanada\u2019ya d\u00f6viz giri\u015fini art\u0131rabilir; \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc Kanada, ABD\u2019ye en b\u00fcy\u00fck ham petrol tedarik\u00e7isidir. Bu durum enflasyonu (fiyat art\u0131\u015f h\u0131z\u0131n\u0131) da yukar\u0131 iterek Kanada Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (BoC) s\u00f6ylemini etkileyebilir.<\/p>\n
ECB Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Christine Lagarde, Orta Do\u011fu gerilimi ve H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019ndaki abluka nedeniyle enerji arz\u0131na ili\u015fkin bir \u015fokun Euro B\u00f6lgesi g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fc \u00e7ok belirsiz hale getirdi\u011fini s\u00f6yledi. Enerji fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n en k\u00f6t\u00fc senaryo seviyelerine \u00e7\u0131kmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131, ancak ko\u015fullar\u0131n k\u0131r\u0131lgan kald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtti.<\/p>\n
Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k Euro B\u00f6lgesi, ge\u00e7en y\u0131l ya\u015fanan enerji \u015fokunun etkileriyle h\u00e2l\u00e2 u\u011fra\u015f\u0131yor. Avrupa Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (ECB) temkinli duru\u015fu, ana politika faizinin %4,0 seviyesinde olmas\u0131na yans\u0131yor. Kanada\u2019da faizlerin daha y\u00fcksek olmas\u0131 (%5,0), \u201cfaiz fark\u0131\u201d (iki \u00fclkenin faiz oranlar\u0131 aras\u0131ndaki fark) nedeniyle Kanada dolar\u0131n\u0131 elde tutmay\u0131 euroya g\u00f6re daha cazip k\u0131l\u0131yor; bu da \u00e7apraz kur \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 yarat\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
\u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar, EUR\/CAD\u2019de d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn s\u00fcrmesi ya da oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck kalmas\u0131 senaryolar\u0131na uygun stratejileri de\u011ferlendirebilir. Put opsiyonu (belirli bir tarihe kadar belirli fiyattan satma hakk\u0131 veren s\u00f6zle\u015fme) almak, euro kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda CAD\u2019in g\u00fc\u00e7lenmesinden s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 riskle faydalanma imk\u00e2n\u0131 sunar. Jeopolitik riskin yeniden art\u0131p petrol\u00fc yukar\u0131 itmesi halinde bu yakla\u015f\u0131m daha etkili olabilir.<\/p>\n
Bununla birlikte, parite 2025\u2019ten bu yana ciddi geriledi\u011fi i\u00e7in yatay bir seyir (konsolidasyon) olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 da g\u00f6z ard\u0131 edilmemeli. K\u0131sa vadeli strangle satmak (ayn\u0131 vadede, farkl\u0131 kullan\u0131m fiyatlar\u0131ndan bir al\u0131m ve bir sat\u0131m opsiyonu satarak prim toplama stratejisi) paritenin bant i\u00e7inde kalmas\u0131 halinde prim geliri sa\u011flayabilir. Orta Do\u011fu\u2019da diplomatik ilerleme sinyalleri gelirse enerji fiyatlar\u0131ndaki y\u00fckseli\u015f s\u0131n\u0131rlanabilir ve CAD\u2019deki y\u00fckseli\u015f ge\u00e7ici olarak yava\u015flayabilir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
EUR\/CAD alt\u0131 g\u00fcnd\u00fcr d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcyor: Trump\u2019\u0131n ate\u015fkesi uzatmas\u0131 risk i\u015ftah\u0131n\u0131, petrol ve H\u00fcrm\u00fcz gerilimi CAD\u2019i destekliyor. ECB temkinli, BoC faizi y\u00fcksek. Opsiyon stratejileri g\u00fcndemde.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-45215","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45215","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=45215"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45215\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=45215"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=45215"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=45215"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}