Alt\u0131n, Pakistan\u2019da yap\u0131laca\u011f\u0131 s\u00f6ylenen ABD\u2013\u0130ran g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerinin ikinci turuna dair bir do\u011frulama gelmemesiyle sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc %2\u2019den fazla d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. XAU\/USD, g\u00fcnl\u00fck 4.833 dolarl\u0131k zirveyi g\u00f6rd\u00fckten sonra 4.720 dolardan i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc.<\/p>\n
Beyaz Saray\u2019dan bir yetkili, Ba\u015fkan Yard\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131 Vance, Steve Wytkoff ve Jared Kushner liderli\u011findeki ABD heyetinin Washington\u2019da kald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi. \u0130ran D\u0131\u015fi\u015fleri Bakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 S\u00f6zc\u00fcs\u00fc ise Fars\u2019a, Washington\u2019la g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelere kat\u0131lma konusunda nihai karar al\u0131nmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n
ABD\u2019de perakende sat\u0131\u015flar (t\u00fcketicilerin ma\u011fazalardan yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 harcamalar) martta ayl\u0131k %1,7 artt\u0131; beklentilerin \u00fczerinde geldi. \u00d6nceki ay %0,7 art\u0131\u015f olmu\u015ftu. Y\u0131ll\u0131k art\u0131\u015f %4\u2019te kald\u0131. ADP d\u00f6rt haftal\u0131k ortalama istihdam verisi (\u00f6zel sekt\u00f6r istihdam\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6l\u00e7en g\u00f6sterge) 39 binden 54,8 bine y\u00fckseldi.<\/p>\n
ABD Dolar Endeksi (DXY: dolar\u0131n ba\u015fl\u0131ca para birimleri kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131ndaki g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00f6steren endeks) %0,43 artarak 98,47\u2019ye \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131 ve 98,57 ile alt\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fcn zirvesini g\u00f6rd\u00fc. 10 y\u0131ll\u0131k ABD Hazine tahvili faizi (getiri oran\u0131) 4,305%\u2019e y\u00fckseldi; yakla\u015f\u0131k 5 baz puan artt\u0131 (1 baz puan = %0,01).<\/p>\n
WTI ham petrol (ABD tipi petrol) H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019n\u0131n kapanmas\u0131n\u0131n fiyatlar\u0131 desteklemesiyle %5,50\u2019den fazla artarak varil ba\u015f\u0131na 90,77 dolara \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc ABD haftal\u0131k i\u015fsizlik maa\u015f\u0131 ba\u015fvurular\u0131 ve S&P Global \u00f6nc\u00fc PMI\u2019lar (sat\u0131n alma y\u00f6neticileri endeksi; ekonomik aktiviteyi g\u00f6steren erken veri) a\u00e7\u0131klanacak.<\/p>\n
Alt\u0131n, 4.889 dolardaki 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA\u2019y\u0131 (Basit Hareketli Ortalama: belirli g\u00fcn say\u0131s\u0131ndaki fiyatlar\u0131n ortalamas\u0131) a\u015famad\u0131 ve 4.712 dolardaki 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA\u2019n\u0131n alt\u0131na indi; odak 4.700 dolar seviyesine d\u00f6nd\u00fc. RSI (G\u00f6reli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi: fiyat\u0131n h\u0131z\u0131n\u0131\/ivmesini \u00f6l\u00e7en g\u00f6sterge) a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc sinyal verdi. \u0130zlenecek seviyeler: 4.679 dolardaki 20 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA, 2 Nisan dibi 4.555 dolar; diren\u00e7 (yukar\u0131da zorlan\u0131lan seviye) 4.750 ve 4.800 dolar civar\u0131.<\/p>\n
Alt\u0131n\u0131n 4.750 dolar\u0131n alt\u0131na sert \u015fekilde gerilemesi, g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc dolar ve y\u00fckselen tahvil faizleriyle alg\u0131n\u0131n bozuldu\u011funu g\u00f6steriyor. G\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc perakende sat\u0131\u015flar, enflasyonun kal\u0131c\u0131 seyretti\u011fi d\u00f6nemleri hat\u0131rlat\u0131yor ve ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (Fed) gev\u015feme (faiz indirme) ihtimalini azalt\u0131yor. Bu ortam, d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f beklentisine dayal\u0131 stratejileri \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131karabilir; \u00f6rne\u011fin alt\u0131n vadeli i\u015flemlerinde put opsiyonu (fiyat d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnden kazan\u00e7 sa\u011flayan al\u0131m hakk\u0131) almak.<\/p>\n
ABD\u2013\u0130ran g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerinin t\u0131kanmas\u0131 ve H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019n\u0131n \u201cdarbo\u011faz\u201d olarak kalmas\u0131, petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 y\u00fcksek tutabilir. Bo\u011fazdan k\u00fcresel petrol t\u00fcketiminin yakla\u015f\u0131k %21\u2019inin ge\u00e7ti\u011fi biliniyor. Bu da WTI\u2019da uzun pozisyon (fiyat art\u0131\u015f\u0131 beklentisiyle al\u0131m y\u00f6n\u00fcnde pozisyon) aray\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 destekleyebilir; \u00f6rne\u011fin call opsiyonlar\u0131yla (fiyat art\u0131\u015f\u0131ndan kazan\u00e7 sa\u011flayan al\u0131m hakk\u0131) olas\u0131 yeni y\u00fckseli\u015flerden faydalanma.<\/p>\n
Dolar Endeksi\u2019nin 98,40\u2019\u0131n \u00fczerine toparlanmas\u0131 \u00f6nemli; bunu 10 y\u0131ll\u0131k tahvil faizinin %4,3\u2019\u00fcn \u00fcst\u00fcne \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131 destekliyor. Fed ba\u015fkan aday\u0131n\u0131n \u201c\u015fahin\u201d tonu (enflasyonla m\u00fccadelede s\u0131k\u0131 duru\u015f; faizi y\u00fcksek tutma e\u011filimi), ge\u00e7en y\u0131l\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fck b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fcnde g\u00f6r\u00fclen daha \u201cg\u00fcvercin\u201d y\u00f6nlendirmenin (faiz indirimine daha yak\u0131n duru\u015f) uza\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret ediyor. Bu da \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda dolar\u0131n di\u011fer b\u00fcy\u00fck para birimlerine kar\u015f\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc kalabilece\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnd\u00fcr\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n
Alt\u0131nda 4.700 dolar seviyesi yak\u0131ndan izleniyor. 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck hareketli ortalaman\u0131n alt\u0131nda kal\u0131c\u0131l\u0131k, nisan diplerine do\u011fru ek sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131 tetikleyebilir. RSI\u2019daki zay\u0131flama, y\u00fckseli\u015f denemelerinde sat\u0131\u015f veya k\u0131sa pozisyon (fiyat d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc beklentisiyle sat\u0131\u015f y\u00f6n\u00fcnde pozisyon) fikrini destekliyor. Jeopolitik belirsizlik nedeniyle ima edilen oynakl\u0131k (opsiyon fiyatlar\u0131na yans\u0131yan beklenen dalgalanma) artt\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in, riski s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 stratejiler daha cazip olabilir.<\/p>\n
Per\u015fembe g\u00fcnk\u00fc i\u015fsizlik ba\u015fvurular\u0131 ve \u00f6nc\u00fc PMI verileri y\u00f6n i\u00e7in kritik. G\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc veriler, ABD ekonomisinin dayan\u0131kl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 anlat\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lendirir. Bu da tahvil faizlerini daha da yukar\u0131 itebilir ve Fed\u2019in faiz indirimine y\u00f6nelik piyasa beklentilerini \u00f6teleyerek alt\u0131n \u00fczerinde ek bask\u0131 yaratabilir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Alt\u0131nda sert sat\u0131\u015f: ABD\u2013\u0130ran g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmesi belirsizli\u011fi s\u00fcrerken g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ABD verileri dolar\u0131 ve tahvil faizlerini yukar\u0131 itti. XAU\/USD %2 d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc, 4.700 kritik; petrol H\u00fcrm\u00fcz endi\u015fesiyle s\u0131\u00e7rad\u0131.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-45159","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45159","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=45159"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45159\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=45159"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=45159"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=45159"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}