USD\/CAD Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc yatay seyretti. ABD Dolar\u0131 son kay\u0131plar\u0131n ard\u0131ndan dengelendi. Daha y\u00fcksek petrol fiyatlar\u0131 Kanada Dolar\u0131\u2019n\u0131 destekleyerek yukar\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fc s\u0131n\u0131rlad\u0131. Parite 1,3662 civar\u0131ndayd\u0131 ve alt\u0131 g\u00fcnl\u00fck d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f serisini sonland\u0131rd\u0131.<\/p>\n
ABD Dolar Endeksi (DXY: dolar\u0131n ba\u015fl\u0131ca para birimlerine g\u00f6re de\u011ferini \u00f6l\u00e7en endeks) 98,40 civar\u0131nda, g\u00fcn i\u00e7inde yakla\u015f\u0131k %0,35 art\u0131dayd\u0131. Bu hareket, ABD-\u0130ran geriliminin iki haftal\u0131k ate\u015fkes s\u00fcresi dolmadan yat\u0131\u015faca\u011f\u0131na dair beklentilerin zay\u0131flamas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan geldi.<\/p>\n
Pakistan\u2019da yap\u0131lmas\u0131 beklenen ikinci tur g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerin yak\u0131nda yeniden ba\u015flamas\u0131n\u0131n d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck ihtimal oldu\u011fu belirtildi; \u0130ran da kat\u0131l\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 do\u011frulamad\u0131. CNN, ABD Ba\u015fkan Yard\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131 JD Vance\u2019in \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc \u0130slamabad\u2019a gitmesinin beklendi\u011fini bildirdi.<\/p>\n
ABD verileri de Dolar\u2019\u0131 destekledi. Perakende Sat\u0131\u015flar (hane halk\u0131 harcamalar\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steren veri) Mart\u2019ta ayl\u0131k %1,7 artt\u0131; beklenti %1,4\u2019t\u00fc. \u015eubat verisi %0,7\u2019ydi. ADP \u0130stihdam De\u011fi\u015fimi (\u00f6zel sekt\u00f6r istihdam\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6l\u00e7en g\u00f6sterge) d\u00f6rt haftal\u0131k ortalamas\u0131 39 bin seviyesinden 54,8 bine y\u00fckseldi.<\/p>\n
Grafiklerde USD\/CAD, alt Bollinger Band\u0131 (fiyat\u0131n oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131na g\u00f6re olu\u015fturulan alt s\u0131n\u0131r) olan 1,3640 civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc. RSI (G\u00f6reli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi: a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 al\u0131m\/a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 sat\u0131m\u0131 g\u00f6steren momentum g\u00f6stergesi) 36\u2019ya yak\u0131nd\u0131 ve MACD (hareketli ortalamalara dayal\u0131 trend\/momentum g\u00f6stergesi) negatif kald\u0131.<\/p>\n
Destek 1,3640 civar\u0131nda, ard\u0131ndan Mart dibi olan 1,3525 seviyesinde. Diren\u00e7 1,3822 civar\u0131nda; \u00fcst bant (Bollinger \u00fcst s\u0131n\u0131r\u0131) 1,4005 civar\u0131nda.<\/p>\n
Ge\u00e7en y\u0131la k\u0131yasla ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019n\u0131n g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc kalaca\u011f\u0131na dair gerek\u00e7eler belirgin bi\u00e7imde zay\u0131flad\u0131. Mart 2026 Tar\u0131m D\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u0130stihdam (Non-Farm Payrolls: ABD\u2019de tar\u0131m d\u0131\u015f\u0131 istihdam art\u0131\u015f\u0131) 150 bin ile beklentinin alt\u0131nda kald\u0131. Son T\u00dcFE (CPI: t\u00fcketici fiyat endeksi, enflasyon g\u00f6stergesi) verisi de enflasyonun y\u0131ll\u0131k %2,8\u2019e geriledi\u011fini g\u00f6sterdi. Bu tablo, piyasalar\u0131n \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyrek sonuna kadar Fed\u2019in faiz indirimi yapaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 tamamen fiyatlamas\u0131na (piyasa beklentisinin fiyatlara yans\u0131mas\u0131na) yol a\u00e7t\u0131.<\/p>\n
\u00d6te yandan Kanada Dolar\u0131, kal\u0131c\u0131 y\u00fcksek enerji fiyatlar\u0131ndan destek buluyor. WTI ham petrol\u00fc (ABD tipi ham petrol g\u00f6stergesi) 2026\u2019n\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fck b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fcnde varil ba\u015f\u0131na 90 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerinde kald\u0131. Bu durum Kanada\u2019n\u0131n d\u0131\u015f ticaret ko\u015fullar\u0131n\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lendiriyor ve Kanada Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131 (BoC) Fed\u2019e k\u0131yasla faiz indirimi konusunda daha temkinli tutuyor. \u0130ki merkez bankas\u0131 aras\u0131ndaki bu artan politika ayr\u0131\u015fmas\u0131 (faiz\/para politikas\u0131 fark\u0131n\u0131n a\u00e7\u0131lmas\u0131) daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc CAD lehine.<\/p>\n
Bu g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcmle birlikte, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda USD\/CAD\u2019de olas\u0131 bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe y\u00f6nelik pozisyon alma d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fclebilir. 1,3800 kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 (strike: opsiyonun i\u015flem fiyat\u0131) sat\u0131m (put: fiyat d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnden kazand\u0131ran opsiyon) opsiyonu almak, belirli riskle (maximum kayb\u0131 pe\u015fin \u00f6denen primle s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131) a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc pozisyon almak i\u00e7in bir y\u00f6ntem olabilir. 2025\u2019te \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kan 1,3640 ve 1,3525 destekleri, bu senaryoda makul hedef seviyeler olarak izlenebilir.<\/p>\n
Ayr\u0131ca USD\/CAD opsiyonlar\u0131nda ima edilen oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n (implied volatility: piyasada beklenen dalgalanma, opsiyon fiyat\u0131na yans\u0131r) son diplerinden y\u00fckseldi\u011fi g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor; bu da piyasan\u0131n bir hareket bekledi\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor. Bu durum opsiyonlar\u0131 bir miktar pahal\u0131la\u015ft\u0131r\u0131r. Bu nedenle yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar, sat\u0131m bor\u00e7 spreadi (put debit spread: bir put al\u0131p daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 bir put satarak maliyeti azaltan strateji) ile ba\u015flang\u0131\u00e7 maliyetini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrebilir. Kritik unsur, d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f ivmesinin g\u00fc\u00e7lendi\u011fini teyit etmek i\u00e7in son desteklerin alt\u0131na k\u0131r\u0131lman\u0131n izlenmesi olacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
USD\/CAD yatay: Dolar jeopolitik risk ve g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc verilerle dengelendi, petrol destekli CAD y\u00fckseli\u015fi s\u0131n\u0131rlad\u0131. Teknikte 1,3640\/1,3525 destek, 1,3822 diren\u00e7; put opsiyonu \u00f6nerisi \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-45157","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45157","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=45157"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45157\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=45157"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=45157"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=45157"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}