USD\/JPY Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc, ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019n\u0131n g\u00fc\u00e7lenmesi ve risk i\u015ftah\u0131n\u0131n (yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n riskli varl\u0131klara y\u00f6nelme iste\u011fi) zay\u0131flamas\u0131yla y\u00fckseldi. Parite 159,57 civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc; yakla\u015f\u0131k %0,47 art\u0131da.<\/p>\n
Piyasalar, \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc sona erecek iki haftal\u0131k ate\u015fkes (\u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n ge\u00e7ici durdurulmas\u0131) \u00f6ncesinde ABD-\u0130ran g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerine dair belirsizli\u011fi izledi. H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019ndaki (k\u00fcresel petrol ta\u015f\u0131mac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n kritik ge\u00e7i\u015f noktas\u0131) hafta sonu gerilimi, h\u0131zl\u0131 ilerleme beklentisini azaltt\u0131.<\/p>\n
Pakistan Enformasyon Bakan\u0131, \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n ate\u015fkes bitmeden \u00f6nce g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelere kat\u0131l\u0131p kat\u0131lmayaca\u011f\u0131na karar vermesi gerekti\u011fini s\u00f6yledi; \u0130ran ise kat\u0131l\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 do\u011frulamad\u0131. Beyaz Saray\u2019dan bir yetkili, ABD Ba\u015fkan Yard\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131 JD Vance\u2019in g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeler i\u00e7in hen\u00fcz yola \u00e7\u0131kmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtti.<\/p>\n
Donald Trump, ate\u015fkesi uzatmay\u0131 planlamad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi ve anla\u015fma olmazsa \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n yeniden ba\u015flayabilece\u011fi uyar\u0131s\u0131nda bulundu. \u0130ran Meclis Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Muhammed Bak\u0131r Galibaf, Tahran\u2019\u0131n \u201csahada yeni hamleler g\u00f6stermeye haz\u0131rland\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131\u201d ve \u201ctehdit g\u00f6lgesinde m\u00fczakereyi kabul etmeyece\u011fini\u201d ifade etti.<\/p>\n
H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019nda aksama riski nedeniyle petrol fiyatlar\u0131 y\u00fcksek kald\u0131; bu durum enflasyon (fiyat art\u0131\u015flar\u0131) ve b\u00fcy\u00fcme endi\u015felerini art\u0131rd\u0131. Ham petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fckselmesi, Japonya\u2019n\u0131n enerjisinin b\u00fcy\u00fck b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fc ithal etmesi nedeniyle genelde yen \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 yarat\u0131r.<\/p>\n
Petrol kaynakl\u0131 enflasyon, faiz beklentilerini de etkiledi; piyasalar k\u0131sa vadede ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (Federal Reserve\/Fed) faiz indirim olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck fiyatlamaya ba\u015flad\u0131. Japonya Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (BoJ) ise kademeli s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fma (faizi yava\u015f art\u0131rma) \u00e7izgisini koruyaca\u011f\u0131, hatta Nisan toplant\u0131s\u0131nda faizi sabit tutabilece\u011fi konu\u015fuldu.<\/p>\n
ABD verileri dolar\u0131 destekledi: Perakende Sat\u0131\u015flar Mart\u2019ta ayl\u0131k bazda %1,7 artt\u0131 (beklenti %1,4), \u015eubat\u2019taki %0,7 sonras\u0131. ADP \u0130stihdam De\u011fi\u015fimi 4 haftal\u0131k ortalamas\u0131 39 bin\u2019den 54,8 bin\u2019e y\u00fckseldi. Dikkat 160,00 seviyesinde kald\u0131.<\/p>\n
Sert ve beklenmedik hareket ihtimali nedeniyle, volatilite (fiyattaki dalgalanma) sat\u0131n almak \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda daha temkinli bir yakla\u015f\u0131m olabilir. Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar, y\u00f6n ne olursa olsun b\u00fcy\u00fck fiyat hareketinden faydalanmak i\u00e7in USD\/JPY\u2019de straddle veya strangle (opsiyon stratejileri; biri ayn\u0131 vade ve kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131nda al\u0131m-sat\u0131m opsiyonu, di\u011feri farkl\u0131 kullan\u0131m fiyatlar\u0131nda al\u0131m-sat\u0131m opsiyonu alarak \u201cb\u00fcy\u00fck hareket\u201d beklentisi) d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnebilir.<\/p>\n
Y\u00f6nl\u00fc g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fc olanlar i\u00e7in uzun vadeli al\u0131m opsiyonlar\u0131 (call; belirli fiyattan alma hakk\u0131) y\u00fckseli\u015ften yararlan\u0131rken riski s\u0131n\u0131rlaman\u0131n bir yoludur. Ayr\u0131ca sat\u0131\u015f opsiyonu (put; belirli fiyattan satma hakk\u0131) almak, ani bir ters harekete kar\u015f\u0131 uzun pozisyonlar\u0131 korumak (hedge; zarar\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rlamak i\u00e7in koruma) a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck maliyetli bir y\u00f6ntem olabilir.<\/p>\n
Y\u00fcksek enerji fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n yeni bask\u0131lamas\u0131 dinami\u011fi bug\u00fcn de ge\u00e7erlili\u011fini koruyor. Brent ham petrol vadeli i\u015flemleri (futures; ileri tarihte belirli fiyattan al\u0131m-sat\u0131m s\u00f6zle\u015fmesi) Japonya\u2019n\u0131n d\u0131\u015f ticaret \u015fartlar\u0131n\u0131 (terms of trade; ihracat fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n ithalat fiyatlar\u0131na oran\u0131) olumsuz etkiliyor. Bu da dolar\u0131n, yen kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda avantajl\u0131 kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u201cpolitikada ayr\u0131\u015fma\u201d temas\u0131n\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lendiriyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
USD\/JPY, g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc dolar ve zay\u0131f risk i\u015ftah\u0131yla 159,57\u2019ye t\u0131rmand\u0131 (%0,47). ABD-\u0130ran belirsizli\u011fi, H\u00fcrm\u00fcz kaynakl\u0131 y\u00fcksek petrol ve ABD verileri yen\u2019i bask\u0131larken 160 seviyesi ve opsiyonla volatilite stratejileri \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-45152","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45152","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=45152"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45152\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=45152"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=45152"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=45152"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}