{"id":45150,"date":"2026-04-21T23:52:00","date_gmt":"2026-04-21T23:52:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/guclu-abd-perakende-satislari-ve-fed-baskaninin-sahin-tondaki-ifadesinin-ardindan-petrolun-sicramasiyla-djia-vadeli-islemleri-geriledi\/"},"modified":"2026-04-21T23:52:00","modified_gmt":"2026-04-21T23:52:00","slug":"guclu-abd-perakende-satislari-ve-fed-baskaninin-sahin-tondaki-ifadesinin-ardindan-petrolun-sicramasiyla-djia-vadeli-islemleri-geriledi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/guclu-abd-perakende-satislari-ve-fed-baskaninin-sahin-tondaki-ifadesinin-ardindan-petrolun-sicramasiyla-djia-vadeli-islemleri-geriledi\/","title":{"rendered":"G\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ABD perakende sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131 ve Fed Ba\u015fkan\u0131\u2019n\u0131n \u015fahin tondaki ifadesinin ard\u0131ndan petrol\u00fcn s\u0131\u00e7ramas\u0131yla DJIA vadeli i\u015flemleri geriledi"},"content":{"rendered":"

DJIA vadeli i\u015flemleri gece i\u015flemlerinde 49.800\u2019e yak\u0131n bir zirve g\u00f6rd\u00fc, ancak sal\u0131 g\u00fcnk\u00fc seansta geri d\u00f6nd\u00fc. Spot (nakit) piyasada DJIA yakla\u015f\u0131k %0,2 geriledi, S&P 500 %0,3 d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc ve Nasdaq Composite %0,1 indi. Petrol fiyatlar\u0131ndaki y\u00fckseli\u015f bask\u0131 yaratt\u0131.<\/p>\n

Mart ABD Perakende Sat\u0131\u015flar ayl\u0131k bazda %1,7 ile %1,4 beklentinin \u00fczerinde geldi. \u201cKontrol Grubu\u201d (GSYH hesaplar\u0131nda t\u00fcketime daha yak\u0131n g\u00f6r\u00fclen alt kalem) %0,7 ile %0,2 beklentiyi a\u015ft\u0131. Otomobilsiz sat\u0131\u015flar (ara\u00e7 sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n dalgal\u0131 etkisi \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131lm\u0131\u015f veri) %1,9 ile %1,4 tahminin \u00fczerinde ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti.<\/p>\n

Tahvil Getirileri ve Fed Takibi<\/h3>\n

12:30 GMT\u2019de veri a\u00e7\u0131kland\u0131ktan sonra ABD Hazine tahvili getirileri (devlet tahvillerinin faizi) y\u00fckseldi ve DJIA vadeli i\u015flemleri d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe d\u00f6nd\u00fc. 14:00 GMT\u2019de Fed ba\u015fkan aday\u0131 Kevin Warsh\u2019\u0131n kongre ifadesi FXStreet konu\u015fma takip\u00e7isinde 7,0 \u201c\u015fahin\u201d (faizlerin y\u00fcksek kalmas\u0131n\u0131 savunan) puan ald\u0131. Ard\u0131ndan dikkatler 18:30 GMT\u2019de Fed Y\u00f6netim Kurulu \u00dcyesi Christopher Waller\u2019\u0131n konu\u015fmas\u0131na \u00e7evrildi.<\/p>\n

WTI (ABD ham petrol\u00fc) %4 y\u00fckselerek varil ba\u015f\u0131na 93 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131, Brent %2 artarak 98 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerine y\u00fckseldi. \u0130ran\u2019la ba\u011flant\u0131l\u0131 ate\u015fkesin \u00e7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc sona ermesi bekleniyordu; anla\u015fma sa\u011flanamazsa olas\u0131 asker\u00ee ad\u0131mlar g\u00fcndeme geldi.<\/p>\n

UnitedHealth, 1\u00c7 (ilk \u00e7eyrek) sonu\u00e7lar\u0131 ve y\u0131l geneli beklentisini y\u00fckseltmesinin ard\u0131ndan %6\u2019n\u0131n \u00fczerinde artt\u0131. Amazon, Anthropic i\u00e7in 25 milyar dolara kadar kaynak ay\u0131rma plan\u0131n\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan %1\u2019in \u00fczerinde y\u00fckseldi. DJIA vadeli i\u015flemleri 49.000 ile 49.800\u2019\u00fcn hemen alt\u0131 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda hareket etti ve 49.400 civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc. Stokastik RSI (momentum\/g\u00fc\u00e7 g\u00f6stergesi; a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 al\u0131m-a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 sat\u0131m b\u00f6lgelerini izler) 16,50 civar\u0131ndayd\u0131; 49.800\u2019\u00fc toparlanma, 49.000\u2019i ise destek (d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fte tutunma seviyesi) olarak i\u015faret etti. Yakla\u015fan veriler aras\u0131nda haftal\u0131k i\u015fsizlik maa\u015f\u0131 ba\u015fvurular\u0131, \u00f6nc\u00fc PMI (sat\u0131n alma y\u00f6neticileri endeksi; ekonomik faaliyet g\u00f6stergesi) ve Michigan \u00dcniversitesi (UoM) enflasyon beklentileri yer al\u0131yor: %4,8 (1 y\u0131l) ve %3,4 (5 y\u0131l).<\/p>\n

Petrol, Enflasyon ve Oynakl\u0131k<\/h3>\n

Petrol fiyat\u0131n\u0131n Orta Do\u011fu gerilimiyle 93 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131 \u00f6nemli bir olumsuz etken. Bu durum enflasyonu besler (maliyetleri art\u0131r\u0131r) ve \u015firket k\u00e2r marjlar\u0131n\u0131 s\u0131k\u0131\u015ft\u0131r\u0131r; belirsizli\u011fi y\u00fckseltir. VIX\u2019in (S&P 500 i\u00e7in \u201ckorku endeksi\u201d; beklenen oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00f6l\u00e7er) ge\u00e7en ay 15 civar\u0131nda seyretti\u011fi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fcnde, yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc hareket beklenebilir. Daha y\u00fcksek oynakl\u0131ktan faydalanan stratejiler (\u00f6r. S&P 500\u2019de \u201cstraddle\u201d: ayn\u0131 vadede ayn\u0131 kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131ndan hem al\u0131m hem sat\u0131m opsiyonu almak; sert hareketten kazan\u00e7 hedefler) bu ortamda daha cazip hale gelebilir.<\/p>\n

Genel piyasa zay\u0131f g\u00f6r\u00fcnse de UnitedHealth ve Amazon gibi baz\u0131 hisselerde g\u00fc\u00e7 dikkat \u00e7ekiyor. Bu durum, sekt\u00f6r bazl\u0131 i\u015flemlerde f\u0131rsat olabilece\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor; faizlere duyarl\u0131 bankac\u0131l\u0131k gibi alanlar yerine sa\u011fl\u0131k ve yapay zek\u00e2 odakl\u0131 teknoloji \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kabilir. Bu hisselerde al\u0131m opsiyonu (call: belirli fiyattan alma hakk\u0131) kullanmak, k\u0131r\u0131lgan piyasada riski s\u0131n\u0131rlarken y\u00fckseli\u015f potansiyeli yakalamaya yard\u0131mc\u0131 olabilir.<\/p>\n

K\u0131sa vadeli endeks i\u015flemcileri i\u00e7in DJIA vadeli i\u015flemlerinde kritik seviyeler 49.000 ve 49.800. 49.000 deste\u011finin net bi\u00e7imde k\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131, sat\u0131m opsiyonu (put: belirli fiyattan satma hakk\u0131) gibi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f y\u00f6nl\u00fc pozisyonlar i\u00e7in g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir sinyal olabilir. O zamana kadar piyasa dalgal\u0131 seyredebilece\u011fi i\u00e7in, hafta sonuna do\u011fru gelecek enflasyon beklentileri verisi yak\u0131ndan izlenecek.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

DJIA vadeli 49.800\u2019\u00fc test edip geri \u00e7ekildi: g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ABD perakende sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131 tahvil faizlerini yukar\u0131 itti, petrol 93$ \u00fcst\u00fcne \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Fed \u015fahinli\u011fi ve jeopolitik riskle endeksler zay\u0131f; 49.000 destek, 49.800 diren\u00e7.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-45150","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45150","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=45150"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45150\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=45150"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=45150"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=45150"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}