GBP\/USD Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc ABD dolar\u0131ndaki g\u00fc\u00e7lenmeyle 1,3515 seviyesinde i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc. ABD-\u0130ran geriliminin t\u0131rmanmas\u0131 sterlini bask\u0131lad\u0131; piyasada ate\u015fkesin bozulabilece\u011fi endi\u015fesi artt\u0131 ve yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar g\u00fcvenli liman varl\u0131klara (risk art\u0131nca tercih edilen varl\u0131klar) y\u00f6neldi.<\/p>\n
Gerginlik H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019nda yo\u011funla\u015ft\u0131. ABD, bir \u0130ran gemisinin al\u0131konuldu\u011funu bildirdi. \u0130ran ise yeni m\u00fczakerelere kat\u0131lmad\u0131. Bu geli\u015fmeler petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 yukar\u0131 desteklerken dolara talebi art\u0131rd\u0131.<\/p>\n
Parite 1,3600 direncinin hemen alt\u0131nda tak\u0131ld\u0131. Bu b\u00f6lge, 0,618 Fibonacci d\u00fczeltme seviyesiyle (fiyat\u0131n ge\u00e7mi\u015f hareketine g\u00f6re olas\u0131 d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\/duraklama alan\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steren teknik oran) de g\u00fc\u00e7leniyor.<\/p>\n
Kur, \u201ca\u015f\u0131r\u0131 al\u0131m\u201d b\u00f6lgesinde (fiyat\u0131n k\u0131sa s\u00fcrede h\u0131zl\u0131 y\u00fckseldi\u011fini ve d\u00fczeltme riskinin artt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steren durum), ancak \u00e7ok belirgin de\u011fil. G\u00fcn\u00fcn ilk i\u015flemlerinde 1,3516\u2019daki destek (fiyat\u0131n d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fte tutunma e\u011filimi g\u00f6sterdi\u011fi seviye) civar\u0131nda seyretti.<\/p>\n
Benzer bask\u0131, 2025\u2019in ba\u015f\u0131nda ABD-\u0130ran gerilimi nedeniyle g\u00fcvenli liman dolara y\u00f6nelim artt\u0131\u011f\u0131nda g\u00f6r\u00fclm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. Parite, jeopolitik risk fiyatlamas\u0131yla 1,3600 direncinin alt\u0131nda zorlanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Ancak bu etki art\u0131k ana belirleyici de\u011fil.<\/p>\n
Bug\u00fcn odak, merkez bankas\u0131 politikalar\u0131ndaki ayr\u0131\u015fmaya kayd\u0131. \u0130ngiltere\u2019nin Mart 2026 enflasyon verisi %3,1 ile inat\u00e7\u0131 seyretti ve \u0130ngiltere Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (BoE) hedefinin \u00fczerinde kald\u0131. Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k ABD\u2019de T\u00dcFE (CPI: t\u00fcketici fiyat endeksi, enflasyonun temel g\u00f6stergesi) %2,5 ile daha h\u0131zl\u0131 so\u011fumaya i\u015faret etti.<\/p>\n
Bu tablo, BoE\u2019nin faizleri ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019ndan (Fed) daha uzun s\u00fcre y\u00fcksek tutmak zorunda kalabilece\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor. Faiz fark\u0131 (iki \u00fclkenin faiz oranlar\u0131 aras\u0131ndaki fark), sterlini dolar kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda temel olarak destekleyebilir. Bu nedenle \u015fu anda 1,3850 civar\u0131nda belirgin \u015fekilde daha y\u00fcksek seviyelerde i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz.<\/p>\n
Ge\u00e7en y\u0131ldan kalan jeopolitik risk primi (risk artt\u0131\u011f\u0131nda fiyata eklenen \u201cek getiri\u201d talebi) de zay\u0131flad\u0131. WTI ham petrol (ABD tipi ham petrol g\u00f6stergesi) 85 dolar civar\u0131nda dengelenerek H\u00fcrm\u00fcz gerilimi d\u00f6nemindeki s\u0131\u00e7ramalar\u0131n alt\u0131na indi. GBP\/USD\u2019de 1 ayl\u0131k z\u0131mni oynakl\u0131k (opsiyon fiyatlar\u0131ndan t\u00fcretilen, piyasan\u0131n bekledi\u011fi dalgalanma) 2025\u2019te %10\u2019un \u00fczerindeyken bug\u00fcn daha sakin %7,5\u2019e geriledi. Bu da opsiyonlar\u0131n daha ucuzlad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve piyasada daha s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 fiyat dalgas\u0131 beklendi\u011fini g\u00f6sterir.<\/p>\n
Daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck oynakl\u0131k ve olumlu temel g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcmle, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar 1,3900 \u00fczerindeki kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 (strike: opsiyonun al\u0131m\/sat\u0131m hakk\u0131n\u0131 verdi\u011fi seviye) GBP\/USD al\u0131m (call) opsiyonlar\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnebilir. Bu yakla\u015f\u0131m, sterlindeki olas\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lenmeye kat\u0131l\u0131m sa\u011flarken azami riski ba\u015ftan netle\u015ftirir. Maliyeti azaltmak i\u00e7in bo\u011fa al\u0131m spread\u2019i (bull call spread: bir call al\u0131p daha y\u00fcksek kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 ba\u015fka bir call satarak maliyeti d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcren strateji) de kullan\u0131labilir.<\/p>\n
Vadeli i\u015flemlere (futures: ileri tarihte belirli fiyattan al\u0131m-sat\u0131m s\u00f6zle\u015fmesi) bakanlar i\u00e7in, faiz avantaj\u0131 uzun GBP pozisyonlar\u0131n\u0131 \u201cta\u015f\u0131ma getirisi\u201d (carry: faiz fark\u0131ndan do\u011fan getiri) nedeniyle cazip k\u0131l\u0131yor. 2025\u2019teki 1,3600 direncini art\u0131k uzun vadeli potansiyel destek olarak izlemek gerekir. Yukar\u0131da takip edilecek bir sonraki kritik hedef, psikolojik 1,4000 seviyesi olacak.<\/p>\n
Canl\u0131 VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturun<\/a>\u00a0ve\u00a0hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n<\/a>. <\/b><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Piyasalar diken \u00fcst\u00fcnde: ABD-\u0130ran gerilimi dolar\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lendirdi, GBP\/USD 1,3515\u2019e indi. 1,3600 Fibonacci direnci izleniyor. Enflasyon ayr\u0131\u015fmas\u0131 sterlini desteklerken hedef 1,4000; d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck volatilite call stratejilerini \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-45124","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45124","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=45124"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45124\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=45124"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=45124"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=45124"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}